{"id":107031,"date":"2020-11-07T03:22:15","date_gmt":"2020-11-07T00:22:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/trailing-long-island-dems-face-climb-as-absentee-count-set-to-begin\/"},"modified":"2020-11-07T03:22:15","modified_gmt":"2020-11-07T00:22:15","slug":"trailing-long-island-dems-face-climb-as-absentee-count-set-to-begin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/trailing-long-island-dems-face-climb-as-absentee-count-set-to-begin\/","title":{"rendered":"#Trailing Long Island Dems face climb as absentee count set to begin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;<strong>#Trailing Long Island Dems face climb as absentee count set to begin<\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<div>\n                        Three Long Island state Senate Democrats face the steepest climbs to victory as election officials prepare to count the more than 1.5 million absentee ballots returned so far, a Post analysis reveals.<\/p>\n<p>State Sens. Monica Martinez, Jim Gaughran and Kevin Thomas face gaps of at least 15 percentage points between the number of votes they need to win and the number of absentee ballots Democratic voters have returned so far.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s no surprise that Long Island poses a particular challenge for Democrats, that\u2019s always been the case,\u201d said Prof. David Birdsell, the dean of the Baruch College\u2019s Marxe School of Public and International Affairs. \u201cThe further you go out on Long Island, the bigger challenge is.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Republicans hammered the trio of Democratic lawmakers for backing the 2019 budget deal struck by the state\u2019s Democratic leadership that contained New York\u2019s controversial overhaul of its bail laws.<\/p>\n<p>Suffolk County\u2019s Martinez needs to win 84 percent of the roughly 20,000 absentee ballots returned in her district as of Friday to take the lead. But voters with Democratic Party registration accounted for just 46 percent of the mail votes officials have received so far.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16581951\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img class=\"size-nypost-large-desktop-uncropped wp-image-16581951 lazyload\" alt=\"Democratic Sen. Jim Gaughran\" width=\"306\" height=\"441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/110718Democrats4BS.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=300 300w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/110718Democrats4BS.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=640 640w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/110718Democrats4BS.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1280 1280w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/110718Democrats4BS.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=306 306w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/110718Democrats4BS.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=612 612w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 306px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span>Sen. Jim Gaughran<\/span><span class=\"credit\">Brigitte Stelzer<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Meanwhile, Gaughran needs to win 69 percent of the 36,000 ballots returned as of Friday, but Democratic voters account for 51 percent so far.<\/p>\n<p>Thomas is in a similar boat, needing to win 64 percent of the returned ballots, while Democratic voters account for just 49 percent \u2014 a 15 percentage point gap.<\/p>\n<p>Democratic sources argue there is still hope for those lawmakers as thousands of voters without party affiliations also requested and returned mail-in ballots \u2014 votes they believe will break heavily their way.<\/p>\n<p>The paper\u2019s number crunch shows that ballots from unaffiliated voters could make all the difference for Brooklyn state Sen. Andrew Gounardes as he seeks to close a 6,000 vote deficit.<\/p>\n<p>Gounardes need to win 74 percent of the 12,744 absentee ballots returned so far in his district to move ahead of GOP challenger Vito Bruno.<\/p>\n<p>But the data shows that registered Democrats account for 65 percent of those votes, leaving just a nine percentage point gap that could be easily closed with ballots from New Yorkers not registered with any party.<\/p>\n<p>The Post conducted its analysis by combining the early and Election Day voting totals with the tallies the absentee ballots returned for each Senate district as of Friday.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is simple arithmetic and it underscores that there\u2019s nothing strange about having votes to tally, or that those votes may skew in a particular direction,\u201d added Birdsell.<\/p>\n<p>He said that Democrats historically have leaned towards voting by mail when possible and that President Trump\u2019s repeated attacks on absentee balloting discouraged Republicans from voting absentee, exacerbating the long-standing skew.<\/p>\n<p>Officials say the number of returned ballots will likely increase over the next few days, too. Under New York state election law, ballots postmarked by Election Day have until November 10 to arrive at the local Board of Elections for tallying.<\/p>\n<p>The New York City Board of Elections plans to begin the process of counting the mail votes on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>State Republicans told The Post they are confident they can hang onto their early leads despite the outstanding and likely heavily Democratic votes on absentee ballots.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Senate Republican Conference had an amazing night on Tuesday,\u201d said spokeswoman Candice Giove. \u201cWe expect all of our candidates\u2019 leads to hold and for our conference to grow.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16581964\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone aligncenter\"><img class=\"size-nypost-large-desktop-uncropped wp-image-16581964 lazyload\" alt=\"Kevin Thomas\" width=\"662\" height=\"441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=300 300w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=640 640w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1280 1280w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=662 662w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1324 1324w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 662px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span>Sen. Kevin Thomas<\/span><span class=\"credit\"><a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Facebook<\/a><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Senate Democrats fired back, saying they believed the outstanding votes would propel them to victory.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere are over a million ballots still to be counted in competitive races and these ballots skew HEAVILY Democratic,\u201d said spokesman Mike Murphy. \u201cWhile Republicans shunned and discouraged early and absentee voting, Democrats supported and encouraged it and therefore have outperformed Republicans overwhelmingly.\u201d\n            <\/p><\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2020\/11\/06\/trailing-long-island-dems-face-climb-as-absentee-count-set-to-begin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;#Trailing Long Island Dems face climb as absentee count set to begin&#8221; Three Long Island state Senate Democrats face the steepest climbs to victory as election officials prepare to count the more than 1.5 million absentee ballots returned so far, a Post analysis reveals. State Sens. Monica Martinez, Jim Gaughran and Kevin Thomas face gaps&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":107032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/11\/martinez.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=1200","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[78822,69441,4950,2226,72693],"class_list":["post-107031","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-11-6-20","tag-2020-election","tag-brooklyn","tag-long-island","tag-new-york-state-senate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107031","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107031"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107031\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107032"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107031"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107031"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107031"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}