{"id":119267,"date":"2020-11-24T19:11:27","date_gmt":"2020-11-24T16:11:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/cascading-events-led-to-2018-kilauea-volcanic-eruption-providing-clues-for-forecasting\/"},"modified":"2020-11-24T19:11:27","modified_gmt":"2020-11-24T16:11:27","slug":"cascading-events-led-to-2018-kilauea-volcanic-eruption-providing-clues-for-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/cascading-events-led-to-2018-kilauea-volcanic-eruption-providing-clues-for-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"#Cascading events led to 2018 K\u012blauea volcanic eruption, providing clues for forecasting"},"content":{"rendered":"

“#Cascading events led to 2018 K\u012blauea volcanic eruption, providing clues for forecasting<\/strong>”<\/p>\n

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\n Fissure 8 lava fountain in Leilani Estates during the 2018 Kilauea eruption. Credit: Bruce Houghton
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The 2018 eruption of K\u012blauea Volcano was one of the largest volcanic events in Hawai’i in 200 years. This eruption was triggered by a relatively small and rapid change at the volcano after a decade-long build-up of pressure in the upper parts of the volcano, according to a recent study published in Nature Communications<\/i> by earth scientists from the University of Hawai’i (UH) at M\u0101noa and U.S. Geological Survey (USGS).<\/p>\n


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Using USGS Hawaiian Volcanoes Observatory (HVO) data from before and during the 2018 eruptions at the summit and flank, the research team reconstructed the geologic events.<\/p>\n

“The data suggest that a backup in the magma plumbing system at the long-lived Pu’u ‘\u014c’\u014d eruption site caused widespread pressurization in the volcano, driving magma into the lower flank,” said Matthew Patrick, research geologist at the USGS HVO and lead author of the study.<\/p>\n

The eruption evolved, and its impact expanded, as a sequence of cascading events allowed relatively minor changes at Pu’u ‘\u014c’\u014d to cause major destruction and historic changes across the volcano.<\/p>\n

A cascading series<\/a> of events of this type was not considered the most likely outcome in the weeks prior to the onset of the eruption.<\/p>\n

“This form of tunnel vision, which gives less attention to the least likely outcomes, is a bias that can be overcome by considering the broader, longer history of the volcano,” said Bruce Houghton, the Hawai’i State Volcanologist, earth science<\/a>s professor at the UH M\u0101noa School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology<\/a> and study co-author. “For K\u012blauea, this consists of widening the scope to consider the types of behavior seen in the first half of the 20th century and perhaps earlier.”<\/p>\n

Video of Fissure 8 lava fountain during the 2018 Kilauea eruption on Hawaii Island, Hawaii. Credit: Bruce Houghton, University of Hawaii.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

“Our study demonstrates that eruption forecasting can be inherently challenging in scenarios where volcanoes prime slowly and trigger due to a small event, as the processes that build to eruption may be hard to detect and are easy to overlook on the scale of the entire volcano,” said Patrick. “It is also a cautionary tale against over-reliance on recent activity as a guide for future eruptions.”<\/p>\n

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\n Fissure 8 lava fountain and lava channel during 2018 Kilauea eruption. Credit: Bruce Houghton
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The State of Hawai’i absorbed a significant amount of the economic and social<\/a> cost of the 2018 eruption and likely will do so again as K\u012blauea and Mauna Loa continue to erupt, suggested Houghton. Studies like this, which probe the more subtle influences of the behavior of these volcanoes, are targeted at reducing the costs, human and physical, of the next eruptions.<\/p>\n

With future work the research team aims to adopt diverse app<\/a>roaches to understanding the subsurface structure and movement of magma on K\u012blauea’s East Rift Zone.<\/p>\n\n

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Deep origins to the behavior of Hawaiian volcanoes\n <\/p><\/div>\n

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\n More information:<\/strong>
\n M. R. Patrick et al, The cascading origin of the 2018 K\u012blauea eruption and implications for future forecasting, Nature Communications<\/i> (2020). DOI: 10.1038\/s41467-020-19190-1<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n
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\n University of Hawaii at Manoa
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Citation<\/strong>:
\n Cascading events led to 2018 K\u012blauea volcanic eruption, providing clues for forecasting (2020, November 24)
\n retrieved 24 November 2020
\n from https:\/\/phys.org\/news<\/a>\/2020-11-cascading-events-klauea-volcanic-eruption.html<\/p>\n

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