{"id":156128,"date":"2021-01-16T17:00:51","date_gmt":"2021-01-16T14:00:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/nfl-divisional-round-betting-trends-to-know\/"},"modified":"2021-01-16T17:00:51","modified_gmt":"2021-01-16T14:00:51","slug":"nfl-divisional-round-betting-trends-to-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/nfl-divisional-round-betting-trends-to-know\/","title":{"rendered":"#NFL divisional round betting trends to know"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;<strong>#NFL divisional round betting trends to know<\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Last week, I started my annual NFL playoff <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/watch-movies-tv-seriess\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"8\" title=\"Watch Movies &amp; TV Series\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">series<\/a> on recent trends in the wild-card round. I revealed a number of road, underdog and Under-the-total systems that had been very successful recently. A key part of that pattern continued last weekend, when visiting teams won four of the six <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/game\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Game\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">game<\/a>s. So, like the league itself, I will move on to the divisional round this week.<\/p>\n<p>The six winners last weekend join No. 1 seeds Green Bay and Kansas City in looking to take a big step toward the Super Bowl. The top seeds bring superior talent into their games, including arguably the two best quarterbacks in the business, and seemingly, each is capable of making it to Tampa next month for the Super Bowl.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, three of the four home teams advanced out of the divisional round. Home sweeps are rare, and if this season is like other recent ones, not all the top teams will move on, though it\u2019s a good bet that at least three will. In fact, looking back at the last nine playoff seasons, the hosts swept this round twice \u2014 in 2016 and 2019. They split in 2017. In the other six years, they went 3-1 for a cumulative record of 28-8, or 78 percent, in that span. If the pattern holds, expect one host to be eliminated this weekend. On paper, that team would figure to be Buffalo, which is the smallest favorite of the four host teams.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1024\" alt=\"Patrick Mahomes\" class=\"wp-image-16543422\" width=\"-122\" height=\"-78\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg 4784w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=150,93 150w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=300,186 300w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=768,477 768w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1024,636 1024w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1536,954 1536w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=2048,1272 2048w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=664,412 664w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1328,825 1328w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=322,200 322w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=644,400 644w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=231,143 231w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=462,287 462w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=305,189 305w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=260,161 260w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=520,323 520w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=390,242 390w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=780,484 780w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1560,969 1560w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=129,80 129w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=200,124 200w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=600,373 600w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=640,397 640w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1200,745 1200w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1739,1080 1739w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1286,799 1286w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1033,642 1033w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=915,568 915w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=642,399 642w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=610,379 610w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=456,283 456w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=568,353 568w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=814,506 814w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=620,385 620w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=285,177 285w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=618,384 618w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1236,768 1236w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1280,795 1280w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=320,199 320w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=1136,705 1136w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=100,62 100w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/Patrick-Mahomes.jpg?resize=164,102 164w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 4784px) 100vw, 4784px\"\/><figcaption>Patrick Mahomes<\/figcaption><figcaption><span class=\"credit\">Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Recent years have produced some wild action in this round. Last year\u2019s most exciting game was Kansas City\u2019s rally from a 24-0 deficit to beat Houston, 51-31, and the Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl. Surely, you remember Jacksonville\u2019s 45-42 win at Pittsburgh in 2018 or the Minnesota Miracle that same season. But rather than looking back at specific games, we will instead look back at some <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/general\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"3\" title=\"General\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">general<\/a> trends in the hope of finding nuggets from which we can profit in this year\u2019s contests.<\/p>\n<p>One trend to get us started: The divisional playoffs have produced a lot of points recently, with 26 of the 40 games (65 percent) over the past 10 years having surpassed the posted total.<\/p>\n<p>Here are some others:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The outright winner owns a 26-9-1 ATS mark in the past 36 divisional playoff games. The two most recent win\/no-cover games involved New Orleans, which has been on both ends of those results in the last two years. Last week\u2019s wild-card report showed that outright winners were on a much stronger 44-5-1 ATS run, and they went 5-1 last weekend.<\/li>\n<li>Since the road teams last held an edge, going 3-1 in 2009, home teams are on a convincing run of 33-11 SU and 23-20-1 ATS. Hosts are 12-7-1 ATS in the last five years, emphasizing the importance not only of home-field advantage, but also of the extra week of rest and health that comes with securing a bye in the wild-card round. Of course, for 2021, only the two No. 1 seeds enjoyed the luxury of having resting last weekend.<\/li>\n<li>Point spreads have proved to be a strong giveaway as to which team should win divisional playoff games. Home favorites of 5.5 points or fewer (or underdogs) are just 13-9 SU and 9-13 ATS since 2006, while those laying six points or more are 26-11 SU and 17-19-1 ATS in that span. That\u2019s a difference of a little over 11 percent outright.<\/li>\n<li>Double-digit home favorites in the divisional round are on a 6-1 SU and ATS surge. Tennessee\u2019s upset of Baltimore last year is the only conflicting result in that group. The Chiefs are currently the only team to match this trend this weekend.<\/li>\n<li>Road teams have proven worthy bets in the divisional round when underdogs in the +3.5 to +9.5 range, going 21-13-1 ATS in the last 35 tries (11-24 SU). However, both teams lost in this scenario a year ago. The Rams are the only underdogs that figure to qualify this time around.<\/li>\n<li>In intradivisional games in this playoff round, road teams are on a 3-1 SU and ATS surge. Tampa Bay will try to build on that trend when it takes on New Orleans for the third time this season.<\/li>\n<li>Here are the divisional-round records since 2002 for the teams playing this weekend: Rams 1-0 SU and ATS; Packers 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS; Ravens 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS; Bills first <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>earance since 1995; Browns first appearance since 1994; Chiefs: 2-3 SU and ATS; Buccaneers 1-0 SU and ATS; Saints 3-3 SU and ATS.<\/li>\n<li>On Saturdays, home teams have gone 19-3 SU and 16-6 ATS over the last 11 seasons. Over the total is also 15-7 in those games. On Sundays, road teams have performed much better, going 14-16 SU and 21-8-1 ATS since 2006. However, they were 0-2 SU and ATS in 2020.<\/li>\n<li>\u200aAFC home teams are 16-7 SU and 12-10-1 ATS in the last 23, while NFC hosts are 22-8 SU and 14-16 ATS since 2006 in this playoff round but are riding a six-game SU winning streak.<\/li>\n<li>\u200aIn terms of wild-card teams\u2019 potential success in the divisional round, 11 of the last 12 wild cards to cover the spread in divisional games played well defensively in the previous game, allowing 20 or fewer points. The Rams and Ravens are hoping to continue that trend in 2021.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2021\/01\/16\/nfl-divisional-round-betting-trends-to-know\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;#NFL divisional round betting trends to know&#8221; Last week, I started my annual NFL playoff series on recent trends in the wild-card round. I revealed a number of road, underdog and Under-the-total systems that had been very successful recently. A key part of that pattern continued last weekend, when visiting teams won four of the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":156129,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/10\/102220-aaron-rodgers.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=1200","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[89777,869,87275,70351],"class_list":["post-156128","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-1-16-21","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-playoffs","tag-sports-picks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156128","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=156128"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156128\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/156129"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=156128"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=156128"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=156128"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}