{"id":195780,"date":"2021-03-06T17:01:00","date_gmt":"2021-03-06T14:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/the-u-s-economy-is-ready-to-surge-again-so-is-inflation\/"},"modified":"2021-03-06T17:01:00","modified_gmt":"2021-03-06T14:01:00","slug":"the-u-s-economy-is-ready-to-surge-again-so-is-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-u-s-economy-is-ready-to-surge-again-so-is-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"#\n  The U.S. economy is ready to surge again. So is inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a40b47f6e118\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a40b47f6e118\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-u-s-economy-is-ready-to-surge-again-so-is-inflation\/#Inflation_has_been_low_for_a_long_time_but_thats_not_stopping_Wall_Street_from_worrying\" >Inflation has been low for a long time, but that\u2019s not stopping Wall Street from worrying<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-u-s-economy-is-ready-to-surge-again-so-is-inflation\/#Jeffry_Bartash\" >Jeffry Bartash<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<p>&#8220;<strong>#<br \/>\n  The U.S. economy is ready to surge again. So is inflation<br \/>\n<\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"article__subhead\" itemprop=\"alternativeHeadline\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Inflation_has_been_low_for_a_long_time_but_thats_not_stopping_Wall_Street_from_worrying\"><\/span>\n  Inflation has been low for a long time, but that\u2019s not stopping Wall Street from worrying<br \/>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"column column--full article__content\">\n<div id=\"js-article__body\" class=\"article__body article-wrap at16-col16 barrons-article-wrap\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"WP-MKTW-0000189777\">\n<div class=\"barrons-article-ad-wrapper\">\n<div data-track=\"barrons-article-ad-wrap\" class=\"barrons-article-ad sticky_item\">\n<div class=\"barrons-main-article-ad-target sticky_target body_ad\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>       The U.S. added a robust 379,000 jobs in February and the economy is primed to take off, but improved growth prospects might come with a cost in the short run.<\/p>\n<p> In a word, inflation.<\/p>\n<p>Make no mistake, inflation is still very low right now and it has been for the past decade. The coronavirus pandemic squelched inflation early last year and even now, prices are rising less than 2% a year.<\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n       <strong>Read:<\/strong> Inflation worries are back. Should you worry?<\/p>\n<p>The loss of so many jobs during the pandemic \u2014 nearly 10 million are still missing \u2014 and resulting drop in demand is also helping to keep a lid on inflation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is difficult, if not impossible, to generate sustained inflation and higher inflation expectations when the economy is still so far away from full employment,\u201d said chief economist Scott Anderson of Bank of the West.<\/p>\n<p><strong>See:<\/strong> A visual look at how an unfair pandemic has reshaped work and home<\/p>\n<p>That could change in the coming months. How come? Rising oil prices. Shortages of raw materials and other key supplies such as lumber and semiconductors. And another round of massive government financial aid to Americans. <\/p>\n<p>After falling to near zero last May, the yearly increase in the consumer price index rose to 1.4 % in January \u2014 and it\u2019s expected to keep going up. The CPI is the government\u2019s main tool for tracking the cost of living and determining how much to increase <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Social<\/a> Security benefits every year, among other things.<\/p>\n<div data-layout=\"inline\n                \" data-layout-mobile=\"\" class=\"\n          media-object\n          type-InsetDynamic\n            inline\n    scope-web|mobileapps\n  article__inset\n          article__inset--type-InsetDynamic\n            article__inset--inline\n  \"><\/p>\n<div class=\"dynamic-inset-container article__inset__dynamic\">\n<div id=\"chart_3db62cc04120cef9b9e550e9\"><\/div>\n<p><script>\n(function () {\n  function createChart() {\n    var CHART_ENGINE_NAME = 'CustomDataChart_MARKETWATCH_0_8_59';\n    var definitions = {};\n    function loadScript(src) {\n      var script = document.createElement('script');\n   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'chartlos',\n        chartId: '3db62cc04120cef9b9e550e9',\n        chartVersion: '0_8_59',\n        chartProduct: 'MARKETWATCH',\n        articleId: articleId ? articleId.getAttribute('content') : '',\n        articleType: metaType ? metaType.getAttribute('content') : '',\n        articleSection: metaType ? metaSection.getAttribute('content') : '',\n        pageSource: pageSource ? pageSource.getAttribute('content') : ''\n      }\n      window.NREUM.addPageAction(\n        'chartlos:' + action,\n        data\n      );\n    }\n  }\n  if (document.readyState === 'complete') {\n    createChart();\n  } else {\n    window.addEventListener('load', createChart, false);\n  }\n})();\n<\/script><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>       Economists predict the CPI will increase 0.3% in February, nudging the yearly rate up to as high as 1.7%. The report, which comes out next Wednesday, is the highlight of the week on a light economic calendar. <\/p>\n<div id=\"cx-membership-tile\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>See:<\/strong> MarketWatch Economic Calendar<\/p>\n<p>By summer, many economists estimate the cost of living will rise above 2% on a yearly basis and  push past the Federal Reserve\u2019s 2% target.<\/p>\n<p>The evidence of rising prices is mounting. A pair of ISM purchasing managers reports last week, for example, showed that companies are paying sharply higher prices for a wide array of supplies they need to produce  goods and services.<\/p>\n<p>One price barometer for business supplies soared to a 10-year peak, leading one wholesale executive to fret about \u201can ongoing influx of price increases due to raw-material shortages, labor shortages, and transportation delays.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Then there\u2019s oil prices. The cost of petroleum has jumped 25% since early January after Saudi Arabia and other providers outside the U.S. slashed production. That\u2019s also feeding into higher prices. <\/p>\n<p>Throwing fuel on the fire is nearly $2 trillion in new financial aid from Washington just as the economy <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>ears to be speeding up. The Democratic-led Congress and White House are expected to approve the bill in a matter of days.<\/p>\n<p>The upshot is, inflation is sure to rise in the months ahead. The big question is, will it just be a temporary phenomenon tied to a full reopening or the economy? Or something worse that will persevere?<\/p>\n<p>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and most  senior central bank officials are betting the price increases won\u2019t last. Powell has repeatedly predicted the expected burst of inflation will peter out and not pose any threat to the economy.<\/p>\n<p>The danger, some economists warn, is that a spike in inflation will create more uncertainty among investors, drive interest rates higher and potentially  sap the economic recovery. <\/p>\n<p>Home sales, auto sales and many other consumer and business activities have benefited greatly from rock-bottom interest rates. And that\u2019s not to mention record stock market gains that some Fed critics tie to the central bank\u2019s easy-money strategy. <\/p>\n<p>Even if Powell is right, the rise in inflation is likely to complicate the path of a U.S. economic recovery if investors continue to harbor doubts.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPowell is prepared to let inflation take off, and is unlikely to take action in the face of that, unless it gets out of control,\u201d said economists James Knightley and Padhraic Garvey of  ING in a note to clients. \u201cThe problem is we won\u2019t know whether it is in or out of control until we let it rip a bit.\u201d<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"byline article__byline\">\n<p>      <span>By<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"author  hasMenu\" data-scrim='{\"type\":\"author\",\"header\":\"Jeffry Bartash\",\"subhead\":\"The Wall Street Journal\",\"list\":[]}' itemscope itemprop=\"author\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\">\n<h4 itemprop=\"name\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Jeffry_Bartash\"><\/span>Jeffry Bartash<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/news\/story.asp?guid=%7B21005575-02D4-D4B5-4572-D2E551501A8F%7D&#038;siteid=rss&#038;rss=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;# The U.S. economy is ready to surge again. So is inflation &#8221; Inflation has been low for a long time, but that\u2019s not stopping Wall Street from worrying The U.S. added a robust 379,000 jobs in February and the economy is primed to take off, but improved growth prospects might come with a cost&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":195781,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-195780","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195780","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=195780"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195780\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/195781"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=195780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=195780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=195780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}