{"id":263728,"date":"2021-06-01T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-01T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/veteran-trader-peter-brandt-sees-bitcoin-crashing-further-after-mays-50-drop\/"},"modified":"2021-06-01T12:00:00","modified_gmt":"2021-06-01T09:00:00","slug":"veteran-trader-peter-brandt-sees-bitcoin-crashing-further-after-mays-50-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/veteran-trader-peter-brandt-sees-bitcoin-crashing-further-after-mays-50-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"# Veteran trader Peter Brandt sees Bitcoin crashing further after May\u2019s 50% drop"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;<strong># Veteran trader Peter Brandt sees Bitcoin crashing further after May\u2019s 50% drop <\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\" data-v-5a136f3a>Bitcoin (BTC) faces the prospects of falling further even after its price made a strong recovery after crashing from $65,000 to $30,000 in May 2021.<\/p>\n<p>So, it reflects in the latest statements from Peter Brandt, chief executive of global trading firm Factor LLC, who questioned, if not asserted, the longevity of the ongoing relief rally in the Bitcoin market, especially after a 50%-plus price crash.<\/p>\n<p>The veteran commodity trader challenged \u201cBTC price historians\u201d to identify a single instance in the last decade that saw Bitcoin logging a new record high seven months after crashing more than 50%. He also asked to refer to one case when a 50% decline in Bitcoin\u2019s price did not lead up to at least a 70% correction.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Challenge to <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> price historians<br \/>In past 10 years (since May 2011) please identify a single (even one) instance: <br \/>1. When a 50%-plus correction did not lead to at least a 70% correction<br \/>2. When a 50%+ correction made a new ATH within 7 months<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1399538989489475586?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 1, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>One of the <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Twitter<\/a>ati\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/johnjhur\/status\/1399539392893444101\">responded<\/a>\u00a0with two instances: the March 2020 rebound, wherein Bitcoin\u2019s price recovered to its all-time high above $20,000 eight \u2014 if not seven \u2014 months after crashing to $3,850 in March from its long-term cyclical high of $13,880 in June 2019; and the 2013 bull run that saw the cryptocurrency rising by more than 2,450% eight months after bottoming out near $45 in an 80% overnight crash.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-06\/049f74ff-d4a4-40b4-a286-b94adf9c529d.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin price action from April\u2013November 2013 trading session. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Brand said, \u201cnope to both,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>rehensively because Bitcoin\u2019s prices took an additional month to reclaim their record highs in both cases. Nevertheless, the veteran\u2019s questions remained cryptic enough due to its selective timeframe and as to what they were attempting to prove about the crypto market bias in the first place.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">huh? why? your 2020 reasoning&#8230;maybe&#8230;.but 2013 was legit a 50%+ drop and rage to ATH in November that year. How can you invalidate that price move?<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Crow Bar (@CrowBar50360383) <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CrowBar50360383\/status\/1399605121294782464?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 1, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>On-chain analyst Willy Woo guessed that Brandt was trying to forecast a further price crash in the Bitcoin markets, based on the cryptocurrency\u2019s historical responses to a 50%-plus price correction event. <\/p>\n<p>Woo attempted to pour cold water on Brandt\u2019s fractal-oriented bearish market outlook by referring to \u201cfundamentals.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAll drops of that scale with long recoveries was from a starting point where the price was overextended above fundamental valuation,\u201d responded Woo. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThis setup is different in that price is BELOW fundamentals. As a guide, the COVID dump dropped below fundamentals and therefore recovered quickly.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Woo himself did not explain what he meant by the term \u201cfundamentals.\u201d His active followers on Twitter took up the charge to clarify that the analyst referred to the \u201cnetwork effect\u201d caused as investments sitting in gold and cash-oriented portfolios find a place in anti-inflationary holdings.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin rose from its March 2020 bottom to a new record high near $65,000 majorly because investors saw its scarcity as a defense against higher inflation. <\/p>\n<p>In retrospect, interest rate suppressions, a $120-billion bond purchasing program, and the United States government\u2019s trillions of dollars worth of stimulus packages \u2014 aimed at curbing the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. economy \u2014 led investors to risk-on assets, such as Bitcoin and stocks.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-06\/f80e144a-9eec-40b3-9408-c02a0ffa69f9.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin and S&amp;P 500 surged in tandem following the pandemic-led March 2020 crash. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>On May 12, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/opub\/ted\/2021\/consumer-price-index-up-4-2-percent-from-april-2020-to-april-2021.htm\">revealed<\/a> that the country\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) had risen to 4.2% year-over-year, logging its fastest climb since 2008. That tends to increase Bitcoin\u2019s appeal among individuals and organizations looking for hedging against inflation in the long run, especially as higher consumer prices punish savers by forcing the U.S. dollar valuations lower.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is the number one reason why I am bullish on something like Bitcoin,\u201d\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/pomp.substack.com\/p\/inflation-is-killing-the-american\">said<\/a>\u00a0Anthony Pompliano, investor at Pomp Investments, in January 2021. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIt is the single greatest protector of wealth in the world. There is extreme volatility in the short term, but over a long period of time, Bitcoin shines. It does a great job of preserving purchasing power and avoiding the perils of fiat currency devaluation.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, some analysts anticipate Bitcoin to continue declining, much in line with what Brandt hinted. One of them is Richard Durant, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, who <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4432296-bitcoin-the-top-is-probably-already-in\">called<\/a> Bitcoin a \u201csentimental asset\u201d\u00a0that cannot rise without positive price catalysts, adding that \u201cit is unclear at this stage what they could be.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Analysts at BiotechValley Insights <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4431253-bitcoin-sell-today-and-do-not-look-back\">wrote<\/a> that Bitcoin\u2019s rise against inflation fears does not make the flagship cryptocurrency a hedge. They referred to the May 19 price crash that appeared a week after the U.S. labor bureau reported a 4.2% CPI reading.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBitcoin is more correlated to high-risk momentum growth stocks like TSLA than to safe-haven assets such as gold or bonds,\u201d they noted.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Brandt, who correctly predicted the 2018 Bitcoin price crash, appeared more technically focused on the next market outlook. In March 2021, he had anticipated the BTC\/USD exchange rate to hit $200,000 in either the third or the fourth quarter this year.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Brandt was also the one to decide that he should keep his money in equities instead of cryptocurrencies just as Bitcoin\u2019s prices were approaching a breakout move above $12,000 in September 2020. The cryptocurrency closed the year at around $29,000.<\/p>\n<p>In March 2020, Brandt anticipated BTC to fall to $1,000. But the cryptocurrency reversed its bearish course upon testing upper $3,800 levels as support.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\"><\/template><\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. 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So, it reflects in the latest statements from Peter Brandt, chief executive of global trading firm&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":263729,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/images.cointelegraph.com\/images\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjEtMDYvZmI2NjU0ZDYtOTNkZS00NTRiLWJjNGEtNTFjNDA4NGY1NDU3LmpwZw==.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[79806,74862,81951,74937,82402,74939,73785],"class_list":["post-263728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-ether-price","tag-market-analysis","tag-markets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263728","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=263728"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263728\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/263729"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=263728"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=263728"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=263728"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}