{"id":319133,"date":"2021-08-09T13:18:54","date_gmt":"2021-08-09T10:18:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/no-bitcoin-isnt-entering-a-2018-like-bear-cycle-new-data-suggests-as-btc-targets-45k\/"},"modified":"2021-08-09T13:18:54","modified_gmt":"2021-08-09T10:18:54","slug":"no-bitcoin-isnt-entering-a-2018-like-bear-cycle-new-data-suggests-as-btc-targets-45k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/no-bitcoin-isnt-entering-a-2018-like-bear-cycle-new-data-suggests-as-btc-targets-45k\/","title":{"rendered":"# No, Bitcoin isn&#8217;t entering a 2018-like bear cycle, new data suggests as BTC targets $45K"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3c6de6b0e47\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3c6de6b0e47\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/no-bitcoin-isnt-entering-a-2018-like-bear-cycle-new-data-suggests-as-btc-targets-45k\/#Panic_selling_missing\" >Panic selling missing<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/no-bitcoin-isnt-entering-a-2018-like-bear-cycle-new-data-suggests-as-btc-targets-45k\/#Short-term_investors_returning\" >Short-term investors returning?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<p>&#8220;<strong># No, Bitcoin isn&#8217;t entering a 2018-like bear cycle, new data suggests as BTC targets $45K <\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\" data-v-128018ef>The scale of Bitcoin&#8217;s (BTC) ongoing downside correction might not be as alarming as it was in 2018, indicates data shared by Glassnode.<\/p>\n<p>The blockchain analytics firm <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1424606943646154756\">reported<\/a> that investors who have held Bitcoin for more than one year showed a lesser interest in liquidating their investments versus those who held the digital asset for 3-6 months. Its dataset covered the period of Bitcoin&#8217;s correction from circa $65,000 on April 14 to around $44,000 on Aug. 9.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-08\/5f35cea8-670b-491b-ba03-4702ae8676e9.jpeg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin spent output age bands. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>On the other hand, all investor cohorts were instrumental in crashing the BTC price in 2018 from $19,891 to $3,128. <\/p>\n<p>With a majority of &#8220;old coins&#8221; not deciding to secure their 275% year-over-year profits even after a 35% downside correction, Glassnode data hinted strong &#8220;hodling behavior&#8221; that might have Bitcoin escape a 2018-like mass capitulation event. <\/p>\n<p>Glassnode noted:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Despite a strong rally to $45k, the Bitcoin market still has not seen a significant increase in old coins (&gt;1y) being spent. This is very different to the 2018 bear market where old hands took exit liquidity on most relief rallies.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Panic_selling_missing\"><\/span>Panic selling missing<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Excessive valuations led by the initial coin offering (ICO) frenzy were the main cause behind the 2018 cryptocurrency market crash. Random startups raised billions of dollars to build blockchain platforms, but a majority of them turned out to be either vaporware or scams in the end.<\/p>\n<p>When the bubble finally popped, the cryptocurrency market ended up crashing from $700 billion in January 2018 to $102bn in December 2018. As a result, Bitcoin\u2014which was one of the currencies of choice during startup fundraisers\u2014fell 85.27% from its then-record high of\u00a0$19,891.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-08\/d9edf6a1-2fee-4005-962b-67c9308512d2.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin performance during 2018 crypto bubble burst. Source: TradingView.com<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Nevertheless, 2021&#8217;s Bitcoin price rally originated from solid macroeconomic grounds as investors hunted for safe havens against loose monetary policies implemented by central banks worldwide. As a result, central banks&#8217; efforts to guard economies against the financial aftermath of the coronavirus pandemic, pushed the global debt to over $281 trillion last year.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Related:\u00a0$7B investment firm recommends crypto to beat currency debasement<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>That was 355% of the global gross-to-domestic product (GDP). According to the Institute of International Finance, the borrowing expects to increase by another $10tn in 2021.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-08\/8884f3ca-8700-4e8c-818c-2af306c440c2.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\">Global public debt rises to all-time high in 2020. Source: Institute of International Finance<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&#8220;People have less wealth and more debt. The devaluation of fiat currencies has made everything more expensive around us,&#8221; said Anthony Pompliano, partner at Pomp Investments, in a note to clients, adding:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Bitcoin promises that we will usher in a new era of sound money. The currency is outside the system. No one controls it. People will once again be able to save their way to financial freedom. [Moreover], the money won\u2019t lose value over time. [Instead], the purchasing power will increase.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Short-term_investors_returning\"><\/span>Short-term investors returning?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s recent rebound from below $30,000 to over $45,000 also coincided with a modest spike in the percentage of investors that last bought the digital asset 3-6 months ago.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-08\/3e92e819-fc8f-40e8-9234-3971d0577af8.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin unspent transaction output heat map. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>On July 19, when Bitcoin was wobbling near $30,000, the cryptocurrency&#8217;s net unspent transaction output for 3M-6M investors was 12.84%. That surged to 13.44% on Aug. 9. Bitcoin was trading around $45,130 on the same day, showcasing that weak hands were turning strong.<\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\"><\/template><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/general\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">General category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/no-bitcoin-isn-t-entering-a-2018-like-bear-cycle-new-data-suggests-as-btc-targets-45k\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;# No, Bitcoin isn&#8217;t entering a 2018-like bear cycle, new data suggests as BTC targets $45K &#8221; The scale of Bitcoin&#8217;s (BTC) ongoing downside correction might not be as alarming as it was in 2018, indicates data shared by Glassnode. The blockchain analytics firm reported that investors who have held Bitcoin for more than one&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":319134,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/images.cointelegraph.com\/images\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjEtMDgvOTRmNjg0YjAtOTQ0ZC00YWZmLWExNWUtOGVhMmQ1ZjFmMzAzLmpwZw==.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[79806,74862,81951,74939,75150,78261,73785],"class_list":["post-319133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-market-analysis","tag-market-update","tag-tech-analysis","tag-markets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319133","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=319133"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319133\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/319134"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=319133"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=319133"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=319133"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}