{"id":319390,"date":"2021-08-09T18:40:01","date_gmt":"2021-08-09T15:40:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/we-need-deeds-not-words\/"},"modified":"2021-08-09T18:40:01","modified_gmt":"2021-08-09T15:40:01","slug":"we-need-deeds-not-words","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/we-need-deeds-not-words\/","title":{"rendered":"#We need deeds not words"},"content":{"rendered":"

“#We need deeds not words<\/strong>”<\/p>\n

\n Earth could exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius of global warming\u2014the “safe” limit for temperature rise outlined in the Paris Agreement\u2014as soon as the early 2030s, according to a landmark report by the world’s most senior climate scientists. Even in the most optimistic scenario, where the global community manages to significantly rein in greenhouse gas emissions, there is still only a 50:50 chance that global temperature rise will stop there.<\/p>\n

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The report’s conclusion that staying below 2 degrees Celsius this century will only happ<\/a>en if emissions reach net zero by 2050 is well publicized. But there is one, rather more urgent addendum to that: global emissions must peak some time in the middle of this decade. In other words, within the next few years.<\/p>\n

Let that sink in. It is a message which should concentrate the minds of every person on our planet. This is not “climate alarmism.” It is, as far as experts can ascertain, fact.<\/p>\n

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<\/a>, often referred to as the IPCC, is the international body behind the report. Established in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organisation and the United Nations Environment Programme, the IPCC provides governments at all levels with scientific information that they can use to develop climate policies. It currently has 195 members and relies on thousands of scientists who volunteer their time to support its work. <\/p>\n

After eight years of painstaking work, the panel’s Working Group I report<\/a> (WGI) has been published, providing a detailed assessment of the physical science<\/a> underpinning past, present and future climate change. It is the definitive statement of the current levels of greenhouse gas emissions and their impact on the global climate, how they are changing, and how these figures relate to our targets for reducing them. <\/p>\n

It will be followed in February 2022 by the WGII report, which will cover the impacts of climate change, adapting to them and how vulnerable different parts of the world are, and in March 2022 by the WGIII report outlining options for mitigating the climate crisis. Notably, it is a conservative assessment, and necessarily so because the IPCC goes to great lengths to avoid undermining the science by sounding false alarms. Which means, in IPCC terms, this is about as loud and urgent an alarm as we are likely to hear.<\/p>\n

Extreme weather events<\/b><\/p>\n

We can’t say we weren’t warned. In 2019 the IPCC published its Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5\u02daC<\/a>. This gave us the UN’s “12 years to save the planet<\/a>” media<\/a> soundbite\u2014and the more urgent message that we had 18 months<\/a> to decide how to do it.<\/p>\n

The Paris Agreement<\/a> commits us to limiting the average global temperature rise to 2\u02daC, which is based on accepting the impacts we think, with a high degree of confidence, that we can cope with. It also sets an aspirational target of 1.5\u02daC, which is considered the “safe” limit.<\/p>\n

Neither limit means completely avoiding the impacts, but they minimize their disruption to our global society as we know it. Going beyond those limits increasingly risks sudden, highly disruptive and, over human timeframes, irreversible impacts.<\/p>\n


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