{"id":36753,"date":"2020-07-29T21:13:00","date_gmt":"2020-07-29T18:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/humanity-likely-faces-rapid-catastrophic-collapse-study-warns\/"},"modified":"2020-07-29T21:13:00","modified_gmt":"2020-07-29T18:13:00","slug":"humanity-likely-faces-rapid-catastrophic-collapse-study-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/humanity-likely-faces-rapid-catastrophic-collapse-study-warns\/","title":{"rendered":"#Humanity likely faces rapid \u2018catastrophic collapse,\u2019 study warns"},"content":{"rendered":"

“#Humanity likely faces rapid \u2018catastrophic collapse,\u2019 study warns<\/strong>”<\/p>\n

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July 29, 2020 |<\/span> 2:13pm <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s not the news<\/a> you want to hear during a global health crisis.<\/p>\n

In a new theoretical study app<\/a>earing in Nature Scientific Reports, a pair of statistical researchers have warned that rampant human consumption has sent us on a tailspin towards a rapid \u201ccatastrophic collapse\u201d \u2014 which could happen in the next two to four decades.<\/p>\n

Forest density, or the current lack thereof, is considered the cataclysmic canary in the coal mine, according to the report.<\/p>\n

By comparing the rate of deforestation against humanity\u2019s rate of consumption, study authors Mauro Bologna and Gerardo Aquino have determined there\u2019s a 90% chance our species will collapse within decades \u2014 calling this estimate an \u201coptimistic\u201d measure.<\/p>\n

\u201cBased on the current resource consumption rates and best estimate of technological rate growth our study shows that we have very low probability, less than 10% in most optimistic estimate, to survive without facing a catastrophic collapse,\u201d they wrote.<\/p>\n

While much attention has been paid to the ways in which greenhouse gases have contributed to the demise of our species, Aquino focused mathematical models on the \u201cundeniable fact\u201d of human-driven deforestation.<\/p>\n

\"deforested<\/img>
Deforested land in Sumatra, Indonesia.<\/span>Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u201cBefore the development of human civilizations, our planet was covered by 60 million square kilometers [37 million square miles] of forest,\u201d according to the article. \u201cAs a result of deforestation, less than 40 million square kilometers [25 million square miles] currently remain.\u201d<\/p>\n

The researchers set out to \u201cevaluate the probability of avoiding the self-destruction of our civilization\u201d based on numerical simulations \u2014 charts and graphs that don\u2019t look like much to us laymen, but for two theoretical physicists, they amount to disaster.<\/p>\n

They also call into play \u201cFermi\u2019s paradox,\u201d which refers to the theoretical discussion of extraterrestrial life from Enrico Fermi, an Italian physicist who once asked, \u201cWhere is everybody?\u201d One aspect of the discourse is the idea that self-destruction caused by unsustainable environmental exploitation may be an inevitability of intelligent life \u2014 and thus a potential reason why we have not yet had the opportunity to meet our galactic neighbors.<\/p>\n

\"Aerial<\/img>
Aerial view of Amazon rainforest deforestation in Brazil.<\/span>LightRocket via Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

To avoid such an outcome, it would require an alien society to prioritize \u201cculture\u201d over \u201ceconomy,\u201d which Aquino and Bologna assume to be unlikely, based on the human experience.<\/p>\n

\u201cEven if intelligent life forms were very common .\u2009.\u2009. only very few civilizations would be able to reach a sufficient technological level so as to spread in their own solar system before collapsing due to resource consumption,\u201d they added.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe answer to \u2018Where is everybody?\u2019 could be a lugubrious \u2018(Almost) everyone is dead.\u2019\u2009\u201d\n <\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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If you want to read more Living News articles, you can visit our General category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

“#Humanity likely faces rapid \u2018catastrophic collapse,\u2019 study warns” July 29, 2020 | 2:13pm It\u2019s not the news you want to hear during a global health crisis. In a new theoretical study appearing in Nature Scientific Reports, a pair of statistical researchers have warned that rampant human consumption has sent us on a tailspin towards a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":36754,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[45912,45911],"class_list":["post-36753","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-study-warns","tag-humanity-likely-faces-rapid-catastrophic-collapse"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36753"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36753\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36754"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}