{"id":380354,"date":"2021-12-13T11:20:06","date_gmt":"2021-12-13T08:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week\/"},"modified":"2021-12-13T11:20:06","modified_gmt":"2021-12-13T08:20:06","slug":"i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"# \u2018I think BTC is ready&#8217; \u2014 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a357af9798e4\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a357af9798e4\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week\/#Same_same_but_different\" >Same, same but different?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week\/#To_taper_or_not_to_taper\" >To taper or not to taper?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week\/#Analyst_Cole_Garner_Bitcoin_%E2%80%98is_ready\" >Analyst Cole Garner: Bitcoin \u2018is ready\u2019<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week\/#Bitcoin_ETFs_galvanize_their_reserves\" >Bitcoin ETFs galvanize their reserves<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/i-think-btc-is-ready-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-this-week\/#%E2%80%9CEmotional_rollercoaster%E2%80%9D\" >\u201cEmotional rollercoaster\u201d<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<p>&#8220;<strong># \u2018I think BTC is ready&#8217; \u2014 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week  <\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\" data-v-128018ef>Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week on familiar ground below $50,000 but anticipation is building for major disruption to begin.<\/p>\n<p>After a fresh push above $50,000 ended in rejection, BTC\/USD is keeping traders guessing till the last when it comes to near-term price action \u2014 including the end-of-year close.<\/p>\n<p>With just two weeks to go, the kind of blow-off tops which characterized both 2013 and 2017 seem unlikely to repeat, but on-chain metrics are all but unanimously pointing to upside.<\/p>\n<p>With 90% of the Bitcoin supply now officially mined, Cointelegraph takes a look at what could lie in store for investors this week.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Same_same_but_different\"><\/span>Same, same but different?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Sunday was marked by a fresh push to $50,000 and beyond which ultimately failed to hold, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/?exchange=BITSTAMP\">TradingView<\/a>\u00a0shows.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/630b0e2f-f235-4a43-9109-0906230c8bd6.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>It&#8217;s a familiar story, and one which came as no surprise to seasoned market participants.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;53K has been my line in the sand as well. Flip that and we\u2019re back in business,&#8221; analyst William Clemente <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WClementeIII\/status\/1470035425523904513https:\/\/twitter.com\/WClementeIII\/status\/1470035425523904513\">reiterated<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>While Bitcoin remains under a $1 trillion asset sub-$53,000, other opinions were far from concerned about the unexpected sideways nature of the market this Q4.<\/p>\n<p>For popular <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Twitter<\/a> account TechDev, Bitcoin still &#8220;rhymes&#8221; with previous bull cycle years and seems <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TechDev_52\/status\/1470076383867064327\">similar<\/a> to Q4 last year \u2014 right before BTC\/USD began its ascent.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a> Weekly<\/p>\n<p>About as much reason to be bearish here as there was in late 2020 before the first major leg in my opinion. <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/62AptElE2G\">pic.twitter.com\/62AptElE2G<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 TechDev (@TechDev_52) <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TechDev_52\/status\/1470185721944317957?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 13, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, PlanB, the creator of the stock-to-flow BTC price models, was also optimistic. Uploading a representation of one of his forecasts, he argued that Bitcoin had in fact just been in an extended consolidation phase for most of the year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Patience is key,&#8221; he <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/100trillionUSD\/status\/1470136658372841483\">added<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/4bcd588b-dd38-4768-90c5-57342e26b00d.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin stock-to-flow vs. BTC\/USD chart. Source: PlanB\/ Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"To_taper_or_not_to_taper\"><\/span>To taper or not to taper?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This week\u2019s macro trigger comes in the form of the Federal Reserve and its next announcement on the state of its asset purchase program.<\/p>\n<p>A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) could provide valuable insights into the future of quantitative easing (QE) and the speed of \u201ctapering\u201d asset purchases.<\/p>\n<p>Amid an inflationary environment and the ongoing risk of Coronavirus fallout, the Fed faces an unenviable balancing act when it comes to the credibility of policies it chose to enact.<\/p>\n<p>As Cointelegraph reported, some are eyeing the meeting as being much more potentially disruptive to crypto markets than last week\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which showed the highest U.S. inflation since 1982.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith no opposition raised by other Fed officials, despite the uncertainty presented by the emergence of the Omicron variant, next week\u2019s meeting look set to see the Fed announce an acceleration in QE tapering, with a $30bn reduction for January (to $60bn of purchases) and a further $30bn reduction in February,\u201d a <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/think.ing.com\/articles\/what-to-expect-from-the-december-fomc-meeting\/\">note<\/a> from banking giant ING read last week. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThis would mean the Fed wr<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>ing up the programme by the beginning of March, leaving the Federal Reserve with $8.8tn of assets on its balance sheet \u2013 more than double its pre-pandemic January 2020 level!\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/c9170273-020d-4784-be88-249095839357.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Fed balance sheet chart. Source: Federal Reserve<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Major changes in QE effectively alters the availability of \u201ceasy\u201d money, in the words of BitMEX former CEO, Arthur Hayes, and has knock-on effects for risk assets such as Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Analyst_Cole_Garner_Bitcoin_%E2%80%98is_ready\"><\/span>Analyst Cole Garner: Bitcoin \u2018is ready\u2019<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>It\u2019s no secret that on-chain indicators have stayed strong despite spot price decreasing nearly 40% versus all-time highs.<\/p>\n<p>Now, more metrics have joined in, giving analyst Cole Garner some serious faith in \u201cgreen days\u201d ahead.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ColeGarnerXBT\/status\/1469909760480886787\">series of Twitter posts<\/a> over the weekend, the well-known statistician outlined several of his \u201cgo-to\u201d charts which have now turned conspicuously bullish.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think BTC is ready,\u201d he summarized about the outlook for BTC\/USD as a result. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cSuddenly all of my favorite leading indicators are lining up long &amp; strong.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Chief among the signals was that coming from over-the-counter (OTC) trading desks. These entities\u2019 BTC balance saw a sudden increase last week, corresponding to buying activity among clients.<\/p>\n<p>While not always corresponding to price increases, OTC remains firmly on Garner\u2019s radar as \u201cpowerful alpha.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOne of the very best leading indicators I&#8217;ve ever seen. The more you think about it &#8212; the more it makes so much intuitive sense,\u201d he wrote. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIt&#8217;s gone and flipped full bull.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/bd172057-dd52-4f3d-882f-306bd853637e.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD vs. OTC balance annotated chart. Source: Cole Garner\/ Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Another is combined volume delta (CVD) for Bitcoin whales, this sloping upward in what Garner says is an infallible bull sign.<\/p>\n<p>CVD is used to determine the ratio of buyers and sellers during market moves, and its data suggests that buyer interest likewise remains strong at current levels.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis metric has evolved to be my go-to indicator, over the course of this bull,\u201d he commented. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIt does not lie.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/8abaa63c-6233-4287-8fbb-14a870e7e9a5.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD vs. whale CVD annotated chart. Source: Cole Garner\/ Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>As ever, not everyone was convinced, with responses arguing that the spike in OTC numbers could be just that \u2014 a brief divergence in an overall downtrend. Others are sticking to a narrative that requires Bitcoin to end 2021 with a whimper, slowly consolidating on the way to a return to the upside next year.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_ETFs_galvanize_their_reserves\"><\/span>Bitcoin ETFs galvanize their reserves<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Continuing a previous trend, institutional investors show no signs of divesting themselves of BTC as a &#8220;risk&#8221; asset under current conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Amid the OTC suspicions, <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/etf\">fresh data<\/a> shows that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are busy accumulating and that demand is there for them to do so.<\/p>\n<p>The Purpose Bitcoin ETF, Canada&#8217;s first licensed spot ETF product for Bitcoin, added 4,342 BTC to its reserves in December, an increase of 17.6%.<\/p>\n<p>Now with 28,974 BTC, Purpose shows what many have been arguing throughout the year \u2014 that Bitcoin exposure for institutional entities is a tide, which must be catered for sooner or later.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/e53f5849-4075-445f-8879-9598a81b1a31.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Purpose Bitcoin ETF holdings chart. Source: Coinglass<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&#8220;That&#8217;s just one ETF,&#8221; Lex Moskovski, CIO of Moskovski Capital, <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mskvsk\/status\/1470056995554217988\">commented<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The issue of the U.S. denying spot-based Bitcoin ETFs a market remains contentious meanwhile, as industry representatives and even lawmakers get in on pressuring regulators to explain their position.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Can anyone explain&#8230; why Fidelity Investments, one of America&#8217;s best-known investment advisors, had to go to Canada to offer an ETF, or why physically-settled crypto ETFs are safe and legal in Germany, Brazil, Singapore and elsewhere, but somehow not in the United States?&#8221; Brian Brooks, CEO of BitFury, told the Senate Committee on Financial Services in <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/financialservices.house.gov\/uploadedfiles\/hhrg-117-ba00-wstate-brooksb-20211208.pdf\">testimony<\/a> last week.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CEmotional_rollercoaster%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>\u201cEmotional rollercoaster\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>It may be that the market simply does not know what to think.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Related:\u00a02 key Bitcoin trading metrics suggest BTC price has bottomed<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If the <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/alternative.me\/crypto\/fear-and-greed-index\/\">Crypto Fear &amp; Greed Index<\/a> is any guide, changes in Bitcoin\u2019s overall rangebound price activity are currently able to upend the mood with just a few thousand dollars up or down.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/ffd836d9-6354-4585-8b44-3752b750066c.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Crypto Fear &amp; Greed Index. Source: Alternative.me<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Fear &amp; Greed has returned to the spotlight in recent weeks thanks to the unexpected nature of the BTC downturn.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, it hit its lowest reading since July \u2014 16\/100 or \u201cextreme fear.\u201d It then almost doubled to 28\/100 in a single day, before reversing back down to 16 \u2014 and then up to 27 \u2014 over the weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Over that period, BTC\/USD acted within a range of around $4,000.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis range has turned my Twitter feed into an emotional rollercoaster,\u201d analyst William Clemente <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WClementeIII\/status\/1469737536121622536\">joked<\/a> alongside a chart showing sentiment reactions to recent price moves.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/886f6cfe-1a75-4054-a732-e2f5e4ec6110.png\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD annotated chart. Source: William Clemente\/ Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>TechDev meanwhile <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TechDev_52\/status\/1469368621914898438\">noted<\/a> that sentiment is still lower than at the start of the year, which Bitcoin opened at $29,000.<\/p>\n<p>So too is its relative strength index (RSI), a key metric which highlights overbought and oversold phases of an asset at a certain price point.<\/p>\n<p>This, TechDev added, is hiding a \u201cbig\u201d bullish divergence.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\"><\/template><\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. 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After a fresh push above $50,000 ended in rejection, BTC\/USD is keeping traders guessing till the last when it&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":380355,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/images.cointelegraph.com\/images\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjEtMTIvMDU0NGRlZjEtOWYyZi00NThhLWJjMzAtODI4YzA0ZGI1MzdkLmpwZw==.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[74862,74937,73785],"class_list":["post-380354","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-markets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380354","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=380354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380354\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/380355"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=380354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=380354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=380354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}