{"id":410914,"date":"2022-03-01T05:57:55","date_gmt":"2022-03-01T02:57:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/yes-russia-could-use-nuclear-weapons\/"},"modified":"2022-03-01T05:57:55","modified_gmt":"2022-03-01T02:57:55","slug":"yes-russia-could-use-nuclear-weapons","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/yes-russia-could-use-nuclear-weapons\/","title":{"rendered":"#Yes, Russia could use nuclear weapons"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2814d7f4214\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2814d7f4214\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/yes-russia-could-use-nuclear-weapons\/#Like_a_caged_animal\" >Like a caged animal<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/yes-russia-could-use-nuclear-weapons\/#Deal_or_no_deal\" >Deal or no deal<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<p>&#8220;<strong>#Yes, Russia could use nuclear weapons<\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<div>\n<aside class=\"single__inline-module alignleft\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>\u201cNuclear war is part of our strategic culture. Yes, we would start one if our homeland, our way of life, was threatened, absolutely. Why wouldn\u2019t we?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s what a retired Russian diplomat told me on the sidelines of a Track 2 dialogue between US, Russian and Chinese experts back in 2012. And to be honest, for several years, I didn\u2019t believe him. I took his comments as bragging, atomic machismo, if you will.<\/p>\n<p>The context of the conversation was a response to a question to my Russian colleague on the subject of Moscow\u2019s nuclear-weapons doctrine and thinking. Russia for several years has believed in the concept of escalating nuclear tensions to de-escalate tensions, or what defense scholars call \u201cescalate to de-escalate.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Like_a_caged_animal\"><\/span>Like a caged animal<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The thinking goes that if Moscow\u2019s actual territory was under threat by overwhelming conventional force \u2014 think a NATO attack \u2014 then Russia reserved the right to respond with tactical nuclear weapons, or more, as Moscow has no way to win a long-term conventional war against NATO forces.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, in war-<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/game\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Game\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">game<\/a> simulations I have participated in for several years now, we always assume that Russia would use tactical nuclear weapons against NATO if a war ever did break out.<\/p>\n<p>But such thinking leaves a lot of ground uncovered. NATO is not exactly itching for a fight with Moscow or to attack its territory, even with Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine still unfolding.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"704\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Ukraine.warmap.Feb28-2.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1024\" alt=\"Map of points of Russian attacks in Ukraine.\" class=\"wp-image-21367390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Ukraine.warmap.Feb28-2.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Ukraine.warmap.Feb28-2.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all 1024w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Ukraine.warmap.Feb28-2.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=512 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption>Russia has attacked several cities across Ukraine, particularly near its borders.<\/figcaption><figcaption><span class=\"credit\">Post image<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Back in 2012, I pressed my Russian colleague, asking in what other situations Russia would use nuclear weapons, if any. He explained that \u201cif anything threatens our ability to exist as a nation and prosper, it is my view that we would use nuclear weapons.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I didn\u2019t believe him then, but I do now.<\/p>\n<p>With Russian President Vladimir Putin now putting his nation\u2019s nuclear forces on alert status, Moscow is signaling to us that recent arms shipments, sanctions, lashings in the <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">media<\/a> and pressure placed on the Putin government are rattling nerves.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n<p><strong>Get the latest<\/strong> <strong>updates<\/strong> <strong>in the Russia-Ukraine conflict with the Post\u2019s live coverage.<\/strong><\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n<p>Putin is trying to tell us in no uncertain terms that we are coming close to his geopolitical red lines and, like a caged animal, he will strike back if we <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>ly too much pressure. That could even mean using nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n<p>Recent sanctions that have targeted Russian banks and their access to the SWIFT messaging network were surely the triggers for Putin to flex his nuclear muscles. With 10 Russian banks now essentially locked out of global markets and Moscow\u2019s Central Bank limited in how it can use its $600 billion in foreign-exchange reserves, Putin is now facing what could be a financial crisis on par with what Boris Yeltsin faced in 1998, when the Russian economy nearly collapsed.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Deal_or_no_deal\"><\/span>Deal or no deal<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The good <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">news<\/a>, if there is any, is that peace talks seem to be underway whereby both sides could come to some sort of agreement to end hostilities. Ukraine, for example, could make a formal pledge not to join NATO in name only, but so tightly knit itself to the alliance and the EU that Russia would think twice about a second invasion. Russia may accept that, knowing its forces would need at this point to rely on heavy weapons, large-scale bombing, hundreds more missile strikes and much more overall force to truly take over Ukraine.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/AFP_32442DQ-1.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1024\" alt=\"People stand in line in front of a supermarket while smoke billows over the town of Vasylkiv.\" class=\"wp-image-21367387\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/AFP_32442DQ-1.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=2048 2048w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/AFP_32442DQ-1.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/AFP_32442DQ-1.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all 1024w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/AFP_32442DQ-1.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=512 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption>Kyiv\u2019s mayor said in an interview Sunday that Ukraine\u2019s capital was fully \u201cencircled\u201d by Russian troops with no way out.<\/figcaption><figcaption><span class=\"credit\">DIMITAR DILKOFF<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>But here is where things could go from bad to worse. If both sides can\u2019t come to a deal, Putin may decide to truly go all-in against Kyiv, determining that a scorched-earth policy and winning at any cost is better than taking weeks or months to take the country in full. The level of carnage we would see would be something akin to images from World War II: bombed-out cities, bodies on the streets and total carnage everywhere.<\/p>\n<p>The world would be horrified \u2014 and would demand action against Russia. What would the West do? It\u2019s likely that more weapons would flow into Ukraine on a grand scale, putting more pressure on Putin to respond. More sanctions would then follow, including disconnecting all of Russia\u2019s banks and financial institutions from SWIFT, including entities tied to Russian energy, the lifeblood of Moscow\u2019s economy.<\/p>\n<p>At that point, Russia\u2019s way of life, its ability to exist, would be threatened. The Putin regime would be threatened. What, oh, what would Moscow do then? Think \u201cescalate to de-escalate\u201d \u2014 and that could mean something horrible for all of us.<\/p>\n<p><em><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/spectatorworld.com\/topic\/russia-use-nuclear-weapons-nato-ukraine\/\">From The Spectator<\/a><\/em>\n                        <\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more News articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2022\/02\/28\/yes-russia-could-use-nuclear-weapons\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;#Yes, Russia could use nuclear weapons&#8221; \u201cNuclear war is part of our strategic culture. Yes, we would start one if our homeland, our way of life, was threatened, absolutely. Why wouldn\u2019t we?\u201d That\u2019s what a retired Russian diplomat told me on the sidelines of a Track 2 dialogue between US, Russian and Chinese experts back&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":410915,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/russia-nuclear.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=1024","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[126248,126278,72348,125897,4975,126128],"class_list":["post-410914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-2-28-22","tag-nuclear-war","tag-nuclear-weapons","tag-putin","tag-russia","tag-ukraine-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/410914","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=410914"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/410914\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/410915"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=410914"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=410914"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=410914"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}