{"id":417116,"date":"2022-03-16T23:43:03","date_gmt":"2022-03-16T20:43:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/"},"modified":"2022-03-16T23:43:03","modified_gmt":"2022-03-16T20:43:03","slug":"valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/","title":{"rendered":"#Valspar Championship best bets: Tournament winners and props"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3ccea6df672\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3ccea6df672\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/#%E2%80%9CValspar_Championship_best_bets_Tournament_winners_and_props%E2%80%9D\" >&#8220;Valspar Championship best bets: Tournament winners and props&#8221;<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/#Best_Bet_1_%E2%80%93_Russell_Knox_Top_40_100_DraftKings_Sportsbook\" >Best Bet #1 \u2013 Russell Knox Top 40 (+100), DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/#Check_out_the_best_sports_betting_sites_and_apps\" >Check out the best sports betting sites and apps<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/#Best_Bet_2_%E2%80%93_Matthew_Fitzpatrick_Top_20_150_Fanduel_Sportsbook\" >Best Bet #2 \u2013 Matthew Fitzpatrick Top 20 (+150), Fanduel Sportsbook<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/#Best_Bet_3_%E2%80%93_Justin_Thomas_Top_10_135_Fanduel_Sportsbook\" >Best Bet #3 \u2013 Justin Thomas Top 10 (+135), Fanduel Sportsbook<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CValspar_Championship_best_bets_Tournament_winners_and_props%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>&#8220;Valspar Championship best bets: Tournament winners and props&#8221;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<div>\n<aside class=\"commerce-disclosure\">\n        <em>Commercial Content, 21+<\/em><br \/>\n    <\/aside>\n<aside class=\"single__inline-module alignleft\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>On the heels of Cam Smith\u2019s victory at the Players Championship, the PGA Tour continues its Florida swing by heading to Tampa. <\/p>\n<p>The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club is the setting for the Valspar Championship. Despite a late finish at TPC Sawgrass, the tournament still features five top-ten players. <\/p>\n<p>Justin Thomas and Viktor Hovland (+900) arrive in Tampa as consensus co-favorites for the event, while Collin Morikawa (+1200), Xander Schauffele (+1600) and Louis Oosthuizen (+1600) aren\u2019t far behind. <\/p>\n<div class=\"nyp-block-betting-offer has-gray-background\">\n<div class=\"betting-offer__main\">\n                    <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.bettercollective.rocks\/goto\/caesars-sportsbook\" class=\"betting-offer__icon\" aria-label=\"Get Bonus\"><br \/>\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Caesars-Sportsbook-Logo-Square.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all\" alt=\"Caesars Sportsbook Logo Square\" width=\"82\"\/><br \/>\n            <\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"betting-offer__headline\">\n            Get up to $1100 in first bet insurance        <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"betting-offer__disclaimer\">\n            New users only, 21 or older. 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T&amp;C apply        <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>While I won\u2019t be targeting any outrights in this week\u2019s event, I still see plenty of value to be had on the board. So without further ado, here are my best bets for the Valspar Championship:<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Best_Bet_1_%E2%80%93_Russell_Knox_Top_40_100_DraftKings_Sportsbook\"><\/span>Best Bet #1 \u2013 Russell Knox Top 40 (+100), <em>DraftKings Sportsbook<\/em><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Knox is coming off a strong performance at the Players, posting a T6 finish thanks to a final round 70. <\/p>\n<p>Combine that with a good course history at this event and I believe you\u2019re getting a steal with this price. The Scot has two consecutive top-25 finishes at the Copperhead course and, in constructing my model for this week, does a lot of things well that inform success here. <\/p>\n<p>One big factor at the Valspar Championship that informs success is an ability to go low on the par 5s and Knox does that quite well. Over the last 50 rounds, he ranks 21st in strokes-gained on par 5s. Plus, over his last two appearances at the Valspar, he\u2019s combined to shoot 14-under on the four Par 5s. <\/p>\n<p>Another factor placing Knox relatively high in my model is his ability to score on Par 4\u2019s between 400 and 450 yards. Those holes will comprise nearly 28 percent of all 72 holes this week and Knox arrives second in my model in terms of his ability to score on those holes. Plus, given three of the five holes are within the nine easiest holes historically on the course, expect Knox to take advantage.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, Knox enters the Valspar fifth in my model, so I believe there\u2019s plenty of wiggle room for a top-40 play and will happily take this number at plus-money. <\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\"\/>\n<h2 id=\"block-64a968e4-a4d2-494f-a0ec-d0b865dd0ab3\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Check_out_the_best_sports_betting_sites_and_apps\"><\/span>Check out the best sports betting sites and apps<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator aligncenter is-style-wide\"\/>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Best_Bet_2_%E2%80%93_Matthew_Fitzpatrick_Top_20_150_Fanduel_Sportsbook\"><\/span>Best Bet #2 \u2013 Matthew Fitzpatrick Top 20 (+150)<em>, Fanduel Sportsbook<\/em><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>There\u2019s one element of my model that disagrees with Fitzpatrick \u2014 he\u2019s 106th in proximity to the hole between 175 and 200 yards \u2014 but there are other encouraging signs. <\/p>\n<p>Fitzpatrick ranks first overall in the field in the aforementioned SG: Par 5s metric and 12th overall in Par 4 scoring between 400 and 450 yards. Additionally, he posted strong metrics at the players in key scoring categories \u2014 the Englishman gained strokes on the field in both tee-to-green and approach \u2014 and played the par 5s in three-under at Sawgrass despite missing the cut. <\/p>\n<p>Fitzpatrick doesn\u2019t have any course history to go off of for the Valspar Championship, but he does have a strong run of results entering this event. Prior to his MC at the Players, he posted four straight top-12 finishes, two of which were ninth or better. <\/p>\n<p>Further, Fitzpatrick has success at the strongest correlated course for this event. Per <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/course-fit-tool\">datagolf.com<\/a>, the course with the strongest correlations to the Copperhead Course is the Concession Golf Club. At the WGC-Workday at Concession last season, Fitzpatrick posted a solo 11th.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, this also may be nothing, but it\u2019s worth noting Fitzpatrick loves playing in the state of Florida. Across his last six events in the state, he\u2019s posted a top-20 finish in five. If he continues that strong record on the par 5s, expect a good bounce-back performance from the Brit. <\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Best_Bet_3_%E2%80%93_Justin_Thomas_Top_10_135_Fanduel_Sportsbook\"><\/span>Best Bet #3 \u2013 Justin Thomas Top 10 (+135), <em>Fanduel Sportsbook<\/em><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Across his last 36 rounds, Thomas shows up first in my model and is top-two in three of five measured categories. <\/p>\n<p>JT shows up first in SG: T2G and opportunities gained while ranking second behind Fitzpatrick in the SG: Par 5s metric. Plus, even though he posted a T33 at TPC Sawgrass, I\u2019m encouraged by the fact Thomas gained nearly five strokes on the field in the tee-to-green category while simultaneously gaining north of two strokes on the field off-the-tee and in approach. <\/p>\n<p>Prior to that finish, Thomas posted two consecutive top-10s at the Genesis Invitational and the Phoenix Open. There\u2019s also good recent history to consider at the Valspar, where he posted a solo 13th in 2021, gaining north of 13 strokes on the field tee-to-green. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"711\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/03\/Justin-Thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1024\" alt=\"Justin Thomas plays an approach shot into the seventh hole in the second round of The Players Championship.\" class=\"wp-image-21510476\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/03\/Justin-Thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=2048 2048w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/03\/Justin-Thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/03\/Justin-Thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all 1024w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/03\/Justin-Thomas.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=512 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption>Justin Thomas plays an approach shot into the seventh hole in the second round of The Players Championship.<\/figcaption><figcaption><span class=\"credit\">Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The flat stick let Thomas down that week as he dropped north of six strokes on the field putting, per fantasynational.com, but every other metric was solid. <\/p>\n<p>If Thomas can produce average putting metrics this weekend, I expect his ball-striking will prime the American for his third top-10 in his last four events.\n                        <\/p><\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2022\/03\/16\/valspar-championship-best-bets-tournament-winners-and-props\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Valspar Championship best bets: Tournament winners and props&#8221; Commercial Content, 21+ On the heels of Cam Smith\u2019s victory at the Players Championship, the PGA Tour continues its Florida swing by heading to Tampa. The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club is the setting for the Valspar Championship. Despite a late finish at TPC&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":417117,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/03\/Justin-Thomas.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=1024","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[126855,70881,71479,111771,78456,77164,70351,126878],"class_list":["post-417116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-3-16-22","tag-golf","tag-justin-thomas","tag-matthew-fitzpatrick","tag-pga-tour","tag-sports-betting","tag-sports-picks","tag-valspar-championship"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/417116","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=417116"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/417116\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/417117"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=417116"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=417116"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=417116"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}