{"id":432562,"date":"2022-04-16T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-16T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/back-the-underdog-as-one-of-two-best-bets\/"},"modified":"2022-04-16T12:00:00","modified_gmt":"2022-04-16T09:00:00","slug":"back-the-underdog-as-one-of-two-best-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/back-the-underdog-as-one-of-two-best-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"#Back the underdog as one of two best bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a26901bddaa6\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a26901bddaa6\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/back-the-underdog-as-one-of-two-best-bets\/#%E2%80%9CBack_the_underdog_as_one_of_two_best_bets%E2%80%9D\" >&#8220;Back the underdog as one of two best bets&#8221;<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-2' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/back-the-underdog-as-one-of-two-best-bets\/#Brighton_500_vs_Tottenham_Hotspur_7_30_am_ET_on_Saturday\" >Brighton (+500) vs. Tottenham Hotspur, 7:30 a.m. ET on Saturday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/back-the-underdog-as-one-of-two-best-bets\/#Brentford_150_vs_Watford_10_am_ET_on_Saturday\" >Brentford (+150) vs. Watford, 10 a.m. ET on Saturday<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CBack_the_underdog_as_one_of_two_best_bets%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>&#8220;Back the underdog as one of two best bets&#8221;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<div>\n<aside class=\"single__inline-module alignleft\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>With the FA Cup semifinals taking place on Saturday and Sunday, the English Premier League features a smaller-than-usual six-<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/game\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Game\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">game<\/a> slate over the weekend.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Two of the six matches stand out in terms of betting value:<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Brighton_500_vs_Tottenham_Hotspur_7_30_am_ET_on_Saturday\"><\/span><strong>Brighton (+500) vs. Tottenham Hotspur, 7:30 a.m. ET on Saturday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>No matter the sport, knowing when to sell high on in-form teams is a good skillset for bettors to develop. It is more art than <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/sciencee\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"5\" title=\"Science\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">science<\/a>, trying to figure out when the market has finally reached a tipping point on a particular team, but oftentimes the numbers can help guide you to a pragmatic decision.<\/p>\n<p>Tottenham Hotspur are on fire. With six wins from their last seven matches, Antonio Conte\u2019s Spurs now look like the favorites to nab the final Champions League spot in the Premier League.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.bettercollective.rocks\/archives\/42\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"100%\" height=\"200\" frameborder=\"0\" class=\"betting-iframe\"><br \/>\n<\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Tottenham\u2019s surface-level numbers during this 6-0-1 (Win-Draw-Loss) run sparkle. Spurs have scored 25 times and conceded just five goals. Tottenham have scored at least two goals in each of their last seven games and have netted four tallies four times in that span. It\u2019s been a whirlwind two months for the North London outfit, so it\u2019s no wonder Spurs now find themselves as -190 favorites over Brighton &amp; Hove Albion.<\/p>\n<p>While Tottenham\u2019s run has been impressive and they deserve full marks for getting themselves into the pole position for fourth-place, they are running quite hot offensively. Over their last seven games Spurs have created 16.5 expected goals. That is still an impressive number, but it lags behind their actual output of 25 goals. At some point you\u2019d expect Tottenham\u2019s attack to sputter \u2014 if only a little bit \u2014 and open the door for a team to produce a surprising result.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/rodrigo-bentancur-tottenham-e1650047657658.jpg?w=1024\" alt=\"Rodrigo Bentancur claps.\" class=\"wp-image-21920163\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/rodrigo-bentancur-tottenham-e1650047657658.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1535 1536w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/rodrigo-bentancur-tottenham-e1650047657658.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all 1024w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/rodrigo-bentancur-tottenham-e1650047657658.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all&amp;w=512 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption>Rodrigo Bentancur celebrates after a Tottenham win.<\/figcaption><figcaption><span class=\"credit\">Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Brighton &amp; Hove Albion could be that team. Despite a horrendous run of form, the Seagulls still profile as one of the EPL\u2019s most dangerous underdogs. Graham Potter\u2019s club upset Arsenal at a similar price last weekend and has typically given the \u201cBig Six\u201d trouble over the last year. In addition to that win over the Gunners, Brighton has earned draws against Chelsea (twice), Liverpool and Arsenal this season.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s been an atypical stretch for Potter\u2019s Seagulls. Just two matches removed from a six-match losing streak, Brighton has also struggled to control matches. Known as the xG kings last season, the Seagulls have conceded more expected goals than they\u2019ve created in nine of their last 11 matches.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Brighton is better than what it\u2019s shown over the last few months and this is a good price to buy in on a turnaround from the Seagulls against a team that has some negative regression coming.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Bet:\u00a0<\/strong>Brighton +500 (down to +470)<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Brentford_150_vs_Watford_10_am_ET_on_Saturday\"><\/span><strong>Brentford (+150) vs. Watford, 10 a.m. ET on Saturday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>While the market has probably become too fond of Tottenham, it seems like there is still opportunity to hop in on the Brentford Bandwagon.<\/p>\n<p>With four wins in their last five matches, the Bees went from a relegation scrap to a potential top-10 finish in their first-ever Premier League season. And if you\u2019ve been paying attention to Brentford\u2019s predictive metrics, you could see this hot run coming.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Over their last five matches, Brentford has four wins and a loss with a +8 goal differential. According to Understat, the Bees have generated 10.05 xG compared to 4.4 xG against. There\u2019s nothing that screams \u201cfluke!\u201d about this current hot stretch and it\u2019s also no coincidence that Brentford\u2019s best run of form came directly after the club signed Christian Eriksen. The Great Dane has provided the Bees with the play-making prowess they\u2019ve been missing in the middle of the field and his chemistry with star striker Ivan Toney has been superb.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Brentford will now make the short <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/trip-and-travel\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"10\" title=\"Trip &amp; Travel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trip<\/a> from West London to Vicarage Road to take on relegation-favorites Watford. While the Bees are in terrific form, the Hornets have been a mess lately and seem all but doomed to be sent down to the Championship.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This is a must-win match for Watford, but the Hornets don\u2019t profile as the type of team that should thrive in this situation. Brentford is one of the best pressing teams in the Premier League and the Hornets don\u2019t have the ball-movers to beat the lines. Roy Hodgson\u2019s teams typically like to sit back and absorb pressure before countering, and that type of soccer is fine in a relegation battle when you\u2019re trying to keep pace with the pack, but that isn\u2019t Watford\u2019s task right now. The Hornets need to swim up to the surface, not tread water.<\/p>\n<p>There will come a time to sell high on this Brentford club, but this isn\u2019t it. Getting +140 or better on the Bees against a club that has lost nine home matches on the spin seems good value, even if it ends up being a square play.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Bet: Brentford +140 or better<\/strong>\n                        <\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2022\/04\/16\/brighton-vs-tottenham-back-the-underdog-as-one-of-two-best-bets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Back the underdog as one of two best bets&#8221; With the FA Cup semifinals taking place on Saturday and Sunday, the English Premier League features a smaller-than-usual six-game slate over the weekend.\u00a0 Two of the six matches stand out in terms of betting value: Brighton (+500) vs. Tottenham Hotspur, 7:30 a.m. ET on Saturday No&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":432563,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/rodrigo-bentancur-tottenham-e1650047657658.jpg?quality=75&strip=all&w=1024","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[128085,61251,127496,70351,128091],"class_list":["post-432562","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-4-16-22","tag-premier-league","tag-soccer-betting","tag-sports-picks","tag-tottenham-hotspur-fc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/432562","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=432562"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/432562\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/432563"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=432562"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=432562"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=432562"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}