{"id":437462,"date":"2022-04-26T06:09:58","date_gmt":"2022-04-26T03:09:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/"},"modified":"2022-04-26T06:09:58","modified_gmt":"2022-04-26T03:09:58","slug":"driving-key-in-pga-tour-event","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/","title":{"rendered":"#Driving key in PGA Tour event"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2570bc031dc\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2570bc031dc\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/#%E2%80%9CDriving_key_in_PGA_Tour_event%E2%80%9D\" >&#8220;Driving key in PGA Tour event&#8221;<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-2' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/#Modeling_Stat_1_%E2%80%93_Driving_Distance_22_percent_emphasis\" >Modeling Stat #1 \u2013 Driving Distance (22 percent emphasis)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/#Check_out_the_best_sports_betting_sites_and_apps\" >Check out the best sports betting sites and apps<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/#Modeling_Stat_2_%E2%80%93_Strokes-Gained_Approach_21_percent_emphasis\" >Modeling Stat #2 \u2013 Strokes-Gained: Approach (21 percent emphasis)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/#Modeling_Stat_3_%E2%80%93_Opportunities_Gained_20_percent_emphasis\" >Modeling Stat #3 \u2013 Opportunities Gained (20 percent emphasis)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/#Modeling_Stat_4_%E2%80%93_Bogey_Avoidance_19_percent_emphasis\" >Modeling Stat #4 \u2013 Bogey Avoidance (19 percent emphasis)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/#Modeling_Stat_5_%E2%80%93_Proximity_175_to_200_Yards_18_percent_emphasis\" >Modeling Stat #5 \u2013 Proximity: 175 to 200 Yards (18 percent emphasis)<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CDriving_key_in_PGA_Tour_event%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>&#8220;Driving key in PGA Tour event&#8221;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<div>\n<aside class=\"commerce-disclosure\">\n        <em>Commercial Content, 21+<\/em><br \/>\n    <\/aside>\n<aside class=\"single__inline-module alignleft\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffle produced a wire-to-wire victory to claim the Zurich Classic and now the tour heads to a brand new event. <\/p>\n<p>This week\u2019s stop at Vidanta Vallarta for the 2022 Mexico Open will provide golf bettors a first-look course that stretches beyond 7,400 yards and plays as a Par-71. <\/p>\n<p>Jon Rahm (+450) arrives as the pre-tournament favorite while Mexico native Abraham Ancer comes next at +1600 on the odds board. Tony Finau (+2000) is the only other top-25 player who will tee it up in Mexico. <\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.bettercollective.rocks\/archives\/42\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"100%\" height=\"200\" frameborder=\"0\" class=\"betting-iframe\"><br \/>\n<\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Before we dive into plays for the week, I\u2019ll begin by breaking down my modeling strategy for the event. Although there\u2019s some guessing to be done without course history to draw from, here are the factors I believe will lead to success this week. <\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Modeling_Stat_1_%E2%80%93_Driving_Distance_22_percent_emphasis\"><\/span>Modeling Stat #1 \u2013 Driving Distance (22 percent emphasis)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Although the reports from Vidanta Vallarta are that poor drives won\u2019t be punished as severely, the course length renders driving quite important this week. <\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why I\u2019m prepared to make driving the most important category on a course that features at least two 600+ yard Par 5\u2019s and (could) see a few Par 4\u2019s that extend to between 475 and 500 yards. So, although players won\u2019t need to be hyper-accurate, an ability to launch balls far will likely come in handy. <\/p>\n<p>Further, there are some shorter Par 4\u2019s where distance off the tee could leaves players with short <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>roaches. Although I\u2019m not sure if this week will prove a birdie-fest, that could prove decisive in winning. <\/p>\n<p>Here are the driving distance leaders across the last 36 rounds as well as their betting odds for the week: <\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Cameron Champ (+5000)<\/li>\n<li>Joseph Bramlett (+12500)<\/li>\n<li>Trey Mullinax (+25000)<\/li>\n<li>Wyndham Clark (+8000)<\/li>\n<li>Peter Uihlein (+15000)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\"\/>\n<h2 id=\"block-64a968e4-a4d2-494f-a0ec-d0b865dd0ab3\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Check_out_the_best_sports_betting_sites_and_apps\"><\/span>Check out the best sports betting sites and apps<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator aligncenter is-style-wide\"\/>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Modeling_Stat_2_%E2%80%93_Strokes-Gained_Approach_21_percent_emphasis\"><\/span>Modeling Stat #2 \u2013 Strokes-Gained: Approach (21 percent emphasis)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Vidanta Vallarta qualifies itself as a coastal setup that is simultaneously littered with bunkers \u2014 a staple of course designer Greg Norman \u2014 so accurate approaches will also be key. <\/p>\n<p>Look at other coastal courses on the PGA Tour swing \u2014 sites like Harbour Town Golf Links, Sea Island Golf Club and Pebble Beach \u2014 and it can be assumed accurate approaches are needed here as well. For reference, the winners at those aforementioned courses all ranked inside the top-10 in SG: approach for the week. <\/p>\n<p>Add in the extra element of the sand traps (Vidanta Vallarta has north of 100 total bunkers on the course) and I rate this equally as important as driving distance. <\/p>\n<p>Here are the 36-round leaders for SG: approach as well as their betting odds for the week:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Russell Knox (+5000)<\/li>\n<li>Luke Donald (+20000)<\/li>\n<li>Tony Finau (+2000)<\/li>\n<li>Jon Rahm (+450)<\/li>\n<li>Gary Woodland (+2200)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"703\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Jon-Rahm.jpg?w=1024\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-21282181\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Jon-Rahm.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1535 1536w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Jon-Rahm.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all 1024w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/Jon-Rahm.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all&amp;w=512 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption>Jon Rahm<\/figcaption><figcaption><span class=\"credit\">Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Modeling_Stat_3_%E2%80%93_Opportunities_Gained_20_percent_emphasis\"><\/span>Modeling Stat #3 \u2013 Opportunities Gained (20 percent emphasis)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>As I mentioned earlier, I\u2019m unsure whether this course will show its teeth or succumb to a high-scoring winner. <\/p>\n<p>Either way, players who have previously demonstrated an ability to create scoring chances should find themselves in contention Sunday. It\u2019s also worth noting that in the other PGA Tour event held in Mexico \u2014 the World Wide <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/technology\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"4\" title=\"Technology\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Technology<\/a> Championship at Mayakoba \u2014 four straight winners have reached 20-under par. <\/p>\n<p>Although that course sets up 400 yards shorter than Vidanta Vallarta, that could prove a good indicator of how the course will set up this week. Players earning opportunities to score will naturally have an edge over the field, hence the strong emphasis here. <\/p>\n<p>The following players lead the field in opportunities gained across the last 36 rounds (betting odds in parentheses): <\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Jon Rahm (+450)<\/li>\n<li>Aaron Rai (+5000)<\/li>\n<li>Jason Dufner (+25000)<\/li>\n<li>Chris Kirk (+3300)<\/li>\n<li>Nate Lashley (+10000)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<div class=\"nyp-block-betting-offer has-gray-background\">\n<div class=\"betting-offer__main\">\n                    <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.bettercollective.rocks\/goto\/betmgm-sportsbook\" class=\"betting-offer__icon\" aria-label=\"Get Bonus\"><br \/>\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/02\/BetMGM-logo-square.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all\" alt=\"The BetMGM Logo\" width=\"82\"\/><br \/>\n            <\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"betting-offer__headline\">\n<p>Claim a Risk-Free First Bet up to $1,000        <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"betting-offer__disclaimer\">\n            New customers only. 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T&amp;C apply        <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Modeling_Stat_4_%E2%80%93_Bogey_Avoidance_19_percent_emphasis\"><\/span>Modeling Stat #4 \u2013 Bogey Avoidance (19 percent emphasis) <span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>According to the <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vidanta.com\/en\/web\/nuevo-vallarta\/the-norman-signature-course\">course description<\/a>, the putting surfaces here are described as \u201clarge undulating greens.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>We know players will (likely) see a lot of chances at birdie, but that description leads me to seek out players that can avoid mistakes in a potential high-scoring event. Add in these green sizes are (at least) in line with the tour average and it\u2019s my educated guess we won\u2019t see a high number of bogeys from players in contention. <\/p>\n<p>For reference, the last three winners at Mayakoba saw bogey or worse on under 10 percent of all 72 holes. Here are the leaders in bogey avoidance across the last 36 rounds as well as their betting odds this week: <\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Ryan Armour (+12500)<\/li>\n<li>Jon Rahm (+450)<\/li>\n<li>Mark Hubbard (+6600)<\/li>\n<li>Jonathan Byrd (+30000)<\/li>\n<li>Gary Woodland (+2200)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/09\/woodland.jpg?w=1024\" alt=\"Gary Woodland\" class=\"wp-image-16300849\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/09\/woodland.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1535 1536w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/09\/woodland.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all 1024w, https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/09\/woodland.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all&amp;w=512 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption>Gary Woodland<\/figcaption><figcaption><span class=\"credit\">PGA TOUR via Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Modeling_Stat_5_%E2%80%93_Proximity_175_to_200_Yards_18_percent_emphasis\"><\/span>Modeling Stat #5 \u2013 Proximity: 175 to 200 Yards (18 percent emphasis)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Considering the length of the course this week, players will need to be accurate with mid- to long-irons in order to create birdie chances.<\/p>\n<p>And, although we don\u2019t have data in terms of approach distance percentage at this specific event, other courses of like distance see a plurality of approach shots come from this range. For that reason, I want to see my model include players that are strong from long-range. <\/p>\n<p>That said, I don\u2019t think this is the most important category for the week \u2014 consider it more of a specific add-on to SG: approach \u2014 so it will not be receiving a ton of emphasis. That said, here are the leaders in this category across the last 36 rounds with betting odds for the week: <\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Jason Dufner (+25000)<\/li>\n<li>Robert Garrigus (+35000)<\/li>\n<li>Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+20000)<\/li>\n<li>Sebastian Munoz (+3300)<\/li>\n<li>Austin Smotherman (+12500)<\/li>\n<\/ol><\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2022\/04\/25\/mexico-open-modeling-strategy-driving-key-in-pga-tour-event\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Driving key in PGA Tour event&#8221; Commercial Content, 21+ Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffle produced a wire-to-wire victory to claim the Zurich Classic and now the tour heads to a brand new event. This week\u2019s stop at Vidanta Vallarta for the 2022 Mexico Open will provide golf bettors a first-look course that stretches beyond 7,400&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":437463,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/03\/1384910870.jpg?quality=75&strip=all&w=1024","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[128444,128482,128226,64266,78456,77164,101657],"class_list":["post-437462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-4-25-22","tag-abraham-ancer","tag-golf-betting","tag-jon-rahm","tag-pga-tour","tag-sports-betting","tag-tony-finau"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437462","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=437462"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437462\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/437463"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=437462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=437462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=437462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}