{"id":449588,"date":"2022-05-19T18:25:14","date_gmt":"2022-05-19T15:25:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/bitcoin-price-predictions-abound-as-traders-focus-on-the-next-btc-halving-cycle\/"},"modified":"2022-05-19T18:25:14","modified_gmt":"2022-05-19T15:25:14","slug":"bitcoin-price-predictions-abound-as-traders-focus-on-the-next-btc-halving-cycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bitcoin-price-predictions-abound-as-traders-focus-on-the-next-btc-halving-cycle\/","title":{"rendered":"# Bitcoin price predictions abound as traders focus on the next BTC halving cycle"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_89 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6af4800da36ff\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6af4800da36ff\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bitcoin-price-predictions-abound-as-traders-focus-on-the-next-btc-halving-cycle\/#%E2%80%9D_Bitcoin_price_predictions_abound_as_traders_focus_on_the_next_BTC_halving_cycle_%E2%80%9C\" >&#8221; Bitcoin price predictions abound as traders focus on the next BTC halving cycle &#8220;<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-2' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bitcoin-price-predictions-abound-as-traders-focus-on-the-next-btc-halving-cycle\/#Maybe_the_market_will_bottom_in_November\" >Maybe the market will bottom in November?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bitcoin-price-predictions-abound-as-traders-focus-on-the-next-btc-halving-cycle\/#Traders_are_still_permabulls_despite_the_current_price_action\" >Traders are still permabulls despite the current price action<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9D_Bitcoin_price_predictions_abound_as_traders_focus_on_the_next_BTC_halving_cycle_%E2%80%9C\"><\/span>&#8221; Bitcoin price predictions abound as traders focus on the next BTC halving cycle &#8220;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<div class=\"post-content\" data-v-2a0745c6>Terra&#8217;s recent collapse has been repeatedly\u00a0singled out as the main source of weakness affecting crypto assets, but it&#8217;s much more likely that a combination of factors are behind the start of this current bear market.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time that the market was reeling from the Terra saga, the 2-year mark for the next Bitcoin (BTC) halving was also crossed and this is a metric some analysts have used as an indicator for the end of a bull market.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-05\/80fec340-3a53-42f9-be28-fae1763d1ce5.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD 1-week chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>As shown on the chart above, previous cycles have seen BTC hit a peak followed by a price decline that first drops below the 50-day moving average (MA) then a culminating capitulation event that thrusts the price below the 200-day MA. <\/p>\n<p>Many traders were thrown off by the lack of a blow-off top in the most recent bull market cycle because this phenomenon has typically marked the late stage of an exhausted trend.<\/p>\n<p>Traders also questioned the validity of the popular stock-to-flow <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lookintobitcoin.com\/charts\/stock-to-flow-model\/\">model<\/a>\u00a0after BTC failed to hit $100,000 before the end of 2021.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-05\/57b9b093-15df-4f3d-90a9-ee22871e23fd.jpg\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin stock-to-flow model. Source: LookIntoBitcoin<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>During previous market cycles, BTC was trading well above the S2F model at this stage in its progression with the model variance in the positive. Currently, the model variance is giving a reading of -0.86 while the price of BTC is well below the S2F line. <\/p>\n<p>This lack of a blow-off top has prompted some traders to stand by earlier calls for one final price run-up that will see BTC hit $100,000 before entering an extended bear market, but that remains to be seen. <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Looking forward to being bearish af after this wave up over 100k that I\u2019m expecting completes. Seeing the way sentiment is now during a mid-cycle correction means the correction that corrects the entire bull cycle from 3k to 100k+ is going to be absolutely brutal. <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CrediBULL Crypto (05.27) (@CredibleCrypto) <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CredibleCrypto\/status\/1526636167675797504?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 17, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Maybe_the_market_will_bottom_in_November\"><\/span>Maybe the market will bottom in November?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>While some still hold out hope for one last hoorah before the bear market really sets in, a more pessimistic view is predicting another 6 months of price decline before the market hits a bottom. <\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-05\/7f83aaeb-074a-4c64-8877-a9a34229d282.jpg\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD 1-month chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Based on previous cycles, the low in the market came roughly 13 months after the market top, which would suggest a bottom sometime around December of this year if the current trend holds. <\/p>\n<p>This is further validated when looking at the time between a market bottom and the next Bitcoin halving event. <\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-05\/69c7ad11-095a-438b-8089-b0ab89c700d6.jpg\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD 1-month chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>During the previous cycles, each cycle low was hit roughly 17 to18 months before the next halving. The next BTC halving is predicted to occur on May 5, 2024, which would suggest that that the market will bottom in November or December of 2022.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Related: <\/em><\/strong><strong><em>Bitcoin is discounted near its \u2018realized\u2019 price, but analysts say there\u2019s room for deep downside<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Traders_are_still_permabulls_despite_the_current_price_action\"><\/span>Traders are still permabulls despite the current price action<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>As far as price predictions go, there is far less consensus on this matter due to BTC&#8217;s underperformance during the last cycle where most traders were expecting $100,000.<\/p>\n<p>Traders continue to call for BTC to the surpass $100,000 mark in the not-too-distant future and a handful are holding on to the penultimate $1 million target.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-05\/61663ff0-7271-4093-8d3b-b7c5425268da.jpg\"><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin price prediction chart. Source: LookIntoBitcoin<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/general\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"3\" title=\"General\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">general<\/a> range of possible prices outlined by <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lookintobitcoin.com\/charts\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\">LookIntoBitcoins&#8217;<\/a>\u00a0price prediction tool suggests\u00a0a BTC high of $238,298, while the delta top indicator indicates a high of $119,886. The terminal price indicator is currently providing a price prediction at $107,801. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\"><\/template><\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/general\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">General category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-predictions-abound-as-traders-focus-on-the-next-btc-halving-cycle\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8221; Bitcoin price predictions abound as traders focus on the next BTC halving cycle &#8220; Terra&#8217;s recent collapse has been repeatedly\u00a0singled out as the main source of weakness affecting crypto assets, but it&#8217;s much more likely that a combination of factors are behind the start of this current bear market. At the same time that&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":449589,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/images.cointelegraph.com\/images\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMDUvZGNiZmU1MDMtOGRiOC00OGNmLTk3ZDktMDIzOGViOWEzMTk4LmpwZw==.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[74862,78828,74937,74982,74863,78827,74939,73785],"class_list":["post-449588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-halving","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc-markets","tag-cryptocurrencies","tag-halving","tag-market-analysis","tag-markets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/449588","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=449588"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/449588\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/449589"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=449588"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=449588"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=449588"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}