{"id":488483,"date":"2022-08-28T17:50:01","date_gmt":"2022-08-28T14:50:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/dangerous-heatwaves-likely-to-grip-the-tropics-daily-by-2100-study\/"},"modified":"2022-08-28T17:50:01","modified_gmt":"2022-08-28T14:50:01","slug":"dangerous-heatwaves-likely-to-grip-the-tropics-daily-by-2100-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/dangerous-heatwaves-likely-to-grip-the-tropics-daily-by-2100-study\/","title":{"rendered":"#&#8217;Dangerous&#8217; heatwaves likely to grip the tropics daily by 2100: study"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a413cc4ab5ee\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a413cc4ab5ee\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/dangerous-heatwaves-likely-to-grip-the-tropics-daily-by-2100-study\/#%E2%80%9C%E2%80%98Dangerous_heatwaves_likely_to_grip_the_tropics_daily_by_2100_study%E2%80%9D\" >&#8220;&#8216;Dangerous&#8217; heatwaves likely to grip the tropics daily by 2100: study&#8221;<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9C%E2%80%98Dangerous_heatwaves_likely_to_grip_the_tropics_daily_by_2100_study%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>&#8220;&#8216;Dangerous&#8217; heatwaves likely to grip the tropics daily by 2100: study&#8221;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<div>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2022\/dangerous-levels-of-he.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2022\/dangerous-levels-of-he.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"Dangerous levels of heat exposure pose a risk particularly to outdoor workers.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img\">\n            <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2022\/dangerous-levels-of-he.jpg\" alt=\"Dangerous levels of heat exposure pose a risk particularly to outdoor workers\" title=\"Dangerous levels of heat exposure pose a risk particularly to outdoor workers.\" width=\"800\" height=\"530\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-darken text-low-up text-truncate-js text-truncate mt-3\">\n                Dangerous levels of heat exposure pose a risk particularly to outdoor workers.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Many millions of people in the tropics could be exposed to dangerous heat for half the year by 2100 even if humanity manages to meet climate goals, researchers warned Thursday.<\/p>\n<section class=\"article-banner first-banner ads-336x280\">\n         <!-- \/4988204\/Phys_Story_InText_Box --><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p>In the most likely scenario, the world would miss those targets\u2014potentially subjecting people across the tropics to harmful temperatures most days of each typical year by the end of the century, the study found.<\/p>\n<p>If emissions go unchecked, large numbers of people in these regions could face potentially &#8220;nightmarish&#8221; periods of extreme heat.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s a possibility that if we don&#8217;t get our act together, billions of people are going to be really, really overexposed to these extremely dangerous temperatures in a way that we just fundamentally haven&#8217;t seen,&#8221; said lead author Lucas Vargas Zeppetello of Harvard University. <\/p>\n<p>Severe heatwaves\u2014made hotter and more frequent by climate change\u2014are already being felt across the world, threatening human health, wildlife and crop yields.<\/p>\n<p>Most climate projections predict temperature increases under different policy scenarios, but do not say which of those pathways is more likely. <\/p>\n<p>In this study, published in the journal <i>Communications Earth and Environment<\/i>, researchers estimated potential exposure to dangerous heat and humidity.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2022\/world-maps-showing-the.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2022\/world-maps-showing-the.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"World maps showing the number of days of 'dangerous' or 'extremely dangerous' heat in the period 1979-1998 and projections for 2050 and 2100.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img text-center\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2022\/world-maps-showing-the.jpg\" alt=\"World maps showing the number of days of 'dangerous' or 'extremely dangerous' heat in the period 1979-1998 and projections for 2\" title=\"World maps showing the number of days of 'dangerous' or 'extremely dangerous' heat in the period 1979-1998 and projections for 2050 and 2100.\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-left text-darken text-truncate text-low-up mt-3\">\n                World maps showing the number of days of &#8216;dangerous&#8217; or &#8216;extremely dangerous&#8217; heat in the period 1979-1998 and projections for 2050 and 2100.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>They used statistical projections to predict levels of carbon dioxide emissions from human activity and the resultant levels of global warming.<\/p>\n<p>They found that many people in tropical regions could face dangerous heat levels for half the year by the end of the century, even if the world limits temperature rises to the Paris climate deal goal of less than two degrees Celsius (35.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels.<\/p>\n<p>Outside the tropics, they said deadly heatwaves will likely become annual occurrences. <\/p>\n<p>The researchers used a heat index that puts &#8220;dangerous&#8221; levels at 39.4C, while temperatures above 51C are considered &#8220;extremely dangerous&#8221; and totally unsafe for humans.<\/p>\n<p>The extreme measure was originally developed for people working in scorching indoor environments, like a ship&#8217;s boiler room, and have rarely been observed outdoors, Zeppetello said.<\/p>\n<p>But by the end of the century, the researcher said it was &#8220;virtually guaranteed&#8221; that people in some parts of the tropics would experience this level of heat every year unless emissions are severely curtailed, with swathes of sub-Saharan Africa and India particularly at risk.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That&#8217;s pretty scary,&#8221; he told AFP, adding that even walking outside would be dangerous under those conditions. <\/p>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2022\/current-predictions-ba.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2022\/current-predictions-ba.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"Current predictions based on countries' carbon-cutting pledges would see the world far exceed the Paris Agreement's 2C target for 2100\u00a0.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img text-center\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2022\/current-predictions-ba.jpg\" alt=\"Current predictions based on countries' carbon-cutting pledges would see the world far exceed the Paris Agreement's 2C target fo\" title=\"Current predictions based on countries' carbon-cutting pledges would see the world far exceed the Paris Agreement's 2C target for 2100\u00a0.\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-left text-darken text-truncate text-low-up mt-3\">\n                Current predictions based on countries&#8217; carbon-cutting pledges would see the world far exceed the Paris Agreement&#8217;s 2C target for 2100\u00a0.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>&#8216;Nightmarish&#8217; conditions<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Earth has warmed nearly 1.2C so far and current predictions based on countries&#8217; carbon-cutting pledges would see the world far exceed the Paris Agreement&#8217;s 2C target for 2100, let alone its more ambitious 1.5C aspiration. <\/p>\n<p>In their research Zeppetello and colleagues analysed predictions from global climate models, human population projections, and looked at the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions.<\/p>\n<p>They estimated that there is only a 0.1 percent chance of limiting global average warming to 1.5C by 2100, projecting that the world is likely to reach 1.8C by 2050. <\/p>\n<p>In 2100, the researchers found, the most likely global average temperature rise would be 3C, which Zeppetello said would spell &#8220;nightmarish&#8221; conditions for many people.  <\/p>\n<p>In a worst case scenario, in which emissions continue unchecked, he said extreme temperatures could last up to two months every year in parts of the tropics. <\/p>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2022\/severe-heatwaves----ma.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2022\/severe-heatwaves----ma.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"Severe heatwaves -- made hotter and more frequent by climate change -- are already being felt across the world.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img text-center\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2022\/severe-heatwaves----ma.jpg\" alt=\"Severe heatwaves -- made hotter and more frequent by climate change -- are already being felt across the world\" title=\"Severe heatwaves -- made hotter and more frequent by climate change -- are already being felt across the world.\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-left text-darken text-truncate text-low-up mt-3\">\n                Severe heatwaves &#8212; made hotter and more frequent by climate change &#8212; are already being felt across the world.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>But he said it depends on how swiftly humanity can cut emissions. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t have to go to that world. There&#8217;s nothing right now that says it is a certainty, but people need to be aware of just how dangerous that would be if it were to pass,&#8221; he said. <\/p>\n<p>The researchers said that under all scenarios there could be a large increase in heat-related illnesses, particularly among the elderly, vulnerable and those working outside. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I think this is a very important point that is receiving far too little attention,&#8221; said Kristin Aunan, a research professor at the Center for International Climate Research specialising in emissions and human health, who was not involved in the study. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Reduced workability in outdoor environments could have large economic impacts in addition to the human suffering arising from having to work under extreme temperatures,&#8221; she told AFP, adding crop production and livestock can also be affected by temperature extremes.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<div class=\"article-main__explore my-4 d-print-none\">\n<p>                                            &#8216;Dangerous&#8217; and &#8216;extremely dangerous&#8217; heat stress to become more common by 2100: study\n                                        <\/p><\/div>\n<hr class=\"mb-4\"\/>\n<div class=\"article-main__more p-4\">\n                                                                                                <strong>More information:<\/strong><br \/>\n                                                Lucas Vargas Zeppetello, Probabilistic projections of increased heat stress driven by climate change, <i>Communications Earth &amp; Environment<\/i> (2022).  <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-doi=\"1\" href=\"https:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1038\/s43247-022-00524-4\">DOI: 10.1038\/s43247-022-00524-4<\/a>. <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43247-022-00524-4\">www.nature.com\/articles\/s43247-022-00524-4<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"article-main__note mt-4\">\n                                                \u00a9 2022 AFP<\/p>\n<p>                                        <!-- print only --><\/p>\n<div class=\"d-none d-print-block\">\n<p>                                                 <strong>Citation<\/strong>:<br \/>\n                                                 &#8216;Dangerous&#8217; heatwaves likely to grip the tropics daily by 2100: study (2022, August 28)<br \/>\n                                                 retrieved 28 August 2022<br \/>\n                                                 from https:\/\/phys.org\/<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">news<\/a>\/2022-08-dangerous-heatwaves-tropics-daily.html<\/p>\n<p>                                            This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no<br \/>\n                                            part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script id=\"facebook-jssdk\" async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more Like this articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/science\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Science category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/phys.org\/news\/2022-08-dangerous-heatwaves-tropics-daily.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;&#8216;Dangerous&#8217; heatwaves likely to grip the tropics daily by 2100: study&#8221; Dangerous levels of heat exposure pose a risk particularly to outdoor workers. Many millions of people in the tropics could be exposed to dangerous heat for half the year by 2100 even if humanity manages to meet climate goals, researchers warned Thursday. In the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":488484,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2022\/dangerous-levels-of-he.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-488483","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sciencee"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/488483","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=488483"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/488483\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/488484"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=488483"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=488483"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=488483"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}