{"id":505401,"date":"2022-11-01T03:14:34","date_gmt":"2022-11-01T00:14:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/"},"modified":"2022-11-01T03:14:34","modified_gmt":"2022-11-01T00:14:34","slug":"these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/","title":{"rendered":"#These five races will determine the Senate majority"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2e8f718d2ae\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2e8f718d2ae\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/#These_five_races_will_determine_the_Senate_majority\" >These five races will determine the Senate majority<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-2' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/#Arizona\" >Arizona\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/#Georgia\" >Georgia<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/#Nevada\" >Nevada<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/#Pennsylvania\" >Pennsylvania<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/#Wisconsin\" >Wisconsin<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"These_five_races_will_determine_the_Senate_majority\"><\/span>These five races will determine the Senate majority<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/laxaltadam_rally_102222ap-john-locher_control.jpeg?w=900\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>The battle for the Senate is anyone\u2019s ball<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/game\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Game\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">game<\/a> with only a week to go until voters head to the polls.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans, needing to net only one seat, are knocking on the door as the national environment moves increasingly in their direction and some surveys show them in the lead in both Georgia and Nevada. According to FiveThirtyEight\u2019s latest projections, the fight for the majority is a \u201cdead heat,\u201d turning the final days into an all-out sprint to get voters out to the polls.\u00a0<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>Here are five races that will determine the Senate majority.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Arizona\"><\/span><strong>Arizona\u00a0<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Of the five states on this list, Democrats still have the best chance of holding Sen. Mark Kelly\u2019s seat, though Republican Blake Masters has closed the gap in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Kelly, long considered one of the best Senate Democratic incumbents up for reelection, held a sizable lead over Masters for nearly two months after the GOP nominee emerged from the early August primary. Much of that was thanks to the onslaught of ads as a result of the Democrat\u2019s juggernaut fundraising operation.<\/p>\n<p>But the <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">script<\/a> has flipped in recent weeks, with Masters cutting Kelly\u2019s lead to near the margin of error in most surveys. Much of that is due to two reasons, according to strategists: the natural tightening of the race in a swing state, and the impact of Republican Kari Lake\u2019s presence at the top of the ticket.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think Kelly squeaks it out, but it\u2019s way tighter than anybody would want,\u201d said one Democratic operative involved in Senate races.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>One Arizona-based GOP operative told The Hill that a The New York Times-Siena poll that emerged on Monday is \u201crealistic,\u201d but added that a 2- to-3-point undercount for Masters at this point is entirely plausible, with Lake being the driving force behind a possible upset.\u00a0<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s definitely a strategy of Lake and Masters working together,\u201d the strategist said. \u201cShe\u2019s trying to pull the whole team across the finish line.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to the latest\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2022\/governor\/az\/arizona_governor_lake_vs_hobbs-7842.html\">RealClearPolitics average<\/a>, Lake leads Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs (D) by 3.8 percentage points. Similarly,\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2022\/senate\/az\/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html\">Kelly tops Masters<\/a> by 2.4 percentage points.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Georgia\"><\/span><strong>Georgia<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) once appeared to have a distinct edge over his Republican opponent Herschel Walker, a former NFL star and first-time candidate who has grappled with a slew of personal and professional controversies over the course of his Senate campaign.\u00a0<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>Perhaps one of the most eye-popping revelations about Walker came early last month when the Daily Beast published a story detailing allegations that Walker had paid for his then-girlfriend to have an abortion in 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Yet Walker hasn\u2019t taken much of a hit in the polls. He has hammered Warnock repeatedly on perceived rising crime and lingering economic concerns, while largely brushing off the allegations as lies. In turn, he\u2019s steadily narrowed his polling gap with Warnock, who now leads in the race by little more than 1 percentage point, according to FiveThirtyEight\u2019s polling average.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe fact of the matter is he\u2019s been fired at as much as I\u2019ve ever seen,\u201d said Chuck Clay, a former state senator and Georgia GOP chair. \u201cUnless there\u2019s some other lurking horror story out there we\u2019re not aware of, I think he\u2019s been pretty well raked over the coals.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>What makes the race between Warnocok and Walker particularly volatile is the fact that Georgia is one of only two states where candidates are required to receive more than 50 percent of the vote to win their election. And as of now, neither Warnock nor Walker are hitting that threshold.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMaybe [Walker\u2019s] not at 50 percent, but it doesn\u2019t appear all the negatives have had a significant impact,\u201d Clay said. \u201cIt\u2019s all going to come down to that final 2 or 3 percent of people who are still on the fence.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nevada\"><\/span><strong>Nevada<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Of all the Senate Democrats locked in ever-tightening reelection bids, Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) might be the most vulnerable.<\/p>\n<p>Even in Democrats\u2019 brightest days of the campaign, she\u2019s never held the kind of clear lead over her Republican rival, former state Attorney <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/general\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"3\" title=\"General\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">General<\/a> Adam Laxalt, that other battleground state Democrats have. A new poll from The New York Times and Siena College released on Monday found Cortez Masto and Laxalt deadlocked at 47 percent apiece.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Nevada poses a <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/watch-movies-tv-seriess\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"8\" title=\"Watch Movies &amp; TV Series\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">series<\/a> of challenges for both parties. On one hand, Democrats have had a winning streak in the state in recent years, culminating with the ouster of former Sen. Dean Heller (R-Nev.) in 2018 and President Biden\u2019s victory there two years later.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Republicans\u2019 improving margins among Latino voters could chip away at a base of support that Democrats have long relied on to propel their victories in Nevada. The state also has a transient population that makes it particularly hard to pin down politically.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think, in a lot of ways, Nevada has just been kind of hard to get a hold on,\u201d said one Democratic strategist who has worked on Senate campaigns. \u201cIt\u2019s kind of a meeting point for a lot of the crosscurrents and trends we\u2019ve been seeing.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Pennsylvania\"><\/span><strong>Pennsylvania<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The wind is firmly at the back of Mehmet Oz in the final week of the campaign, but it remains to be seen whether that will be enough for him to defeat Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) next week.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The trend lines are clearly in Oz\u2019s favor at this stage. His constant attacks on crime have resonated with voters for months and he was the beneficiary of Fetterman\u2019s continued struggles during last week\u2019s debate due to his stroke.\u00a0<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr5_ab\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>However, Oz\u2019s push in the late stages hinges on whether he can peel off enough supporters of state Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D) in the gubernatorial race, particularly in the Philadelphia suburbs. Shapiro is considered the heavy favorite against state Sen. Doug Mastriano (R) to replace Gov. Tom Wolf (D), who is term-limited.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat crossover group in a really tight race could be impactful,\u201d said Chris Borick, a political <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/sciencee\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"5\" title=\"Science\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">science<\/a> professor at Muhlenberg College, who laid out Oz\u2019s recent message. \u201cIt\u2019s \u2018beat up Fetterman and sell yourself as moderate.\u2019 He\u2019s not talking about Trump. He\u2019s not talking about any lightning-rod partisan stuff like Mastriano.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s an appeal,\u201d Borick continued. \u201cHis pitch to those folks is that he\u2019s OK. That he\u2019s not radical.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Fetterman still leads by 1.5 percentage points, according to the latest\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2022\/senate\/pa\/pennsylvania_senate_oz_vs_fetterman-7695.html\">RealClearPolitics average<\/a>\u00a0of surveys.\u00a0<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr6_ab\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>No matter who emerges victorious, the winner is likely to win by a slim margin, increasing the likelihood that a winner will not be known on election night and that it could take days to determine who will be the next senator. Acting Secretary of State Leigh Chapman (D)\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/10\/27\/us\/politics\/election-night-absentee-ballots.html\">said last week<\/a>\u00a0that churning out full results could \u201ctake at least a few days.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf this is a tight election, we\u2019re going to go down a very dangerous rabbit hole again where legitimacy of the election is called into question,\u201d one Pennsylvania-based GOP operative told The Hill. \u201cWhen you see other states that get this stuff done on time, it calls into question why Pennsylvania is unable to.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Wisconsin\"><\/span><strong>Wisconsin<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Despite facing a tough political environment in 2022 overall, Democrats eyed Wisconsin eagerly, believing that voters just might be convinced to oust their controversy-prone Republican incumbent, Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.).\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>They nominated Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (D-Wis.) for the job following a long and occasionally bitter primary campaign. And while early polls suggested that Johnson was in danger, Barnes also struggled to get his general election bid off the ground, opening himself up to weeks of attacks casting him as a \u201cradical leftist.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr7_ab\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>Democrats have been pouring cash into the race in its final weeks, hoping to give Barnes a last-minute boost. Former President Obama, still one of the most popular Democrats in the country, swung through Wisconsin over the weekend in an effort to salvage his party\u2019s chances there.<\/p>\n<p>And to be sure, the race remains close, with Johnson holding a 3.4-point advantage over Barnes in FiveThirtyEight\u2019s average of the race. Still, Republicans argue that Barnes\u2019s prospects were overplayed and that Democrats underestimated Johnson\u2019s strength.<\/p>\n<p>Doug Heye, a Republican strategist, echoed Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), who earlier this year downplayed his party\u2019s prospects of winning the Senate because of \u201ccandidate quality.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSome people tried to give McConnell flack for saying that candidate quality matters. But it also matters on the Democratic side,\u201d Heye said. \u201cIt\u2019s part of why Mandela Barnes has been such a letdown.\u201d\n<\/p><\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/3712941-these-five-races-will-determine-the-senate-majority\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>These five races will determine the Senate majority The battle for the Senate is anyone\u2019s ballgame with only a week to go until voters head to the polls. Republicans, needing to net only one seat, are knocking on the door as the national environment moves increasingly in their direction and some surveys show them in&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":505402,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/laxaltadam_rally_102222ap-john-locher_control.jpeg?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[134895,134417,134343,134374,134418,134353,134376,134377,90482,134190,134896,111798,134350,71525,134380,134540,134590,134381,83144,70465,134897],"class_list":["post-505401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-arizona-senate-race","tag-blog-briefing-room","tag-campaign","tag-catherine-cortez-masto","tag-congress-blog","tag-court-battles","tag-georgia-senate-race","tag-herschel-walker","tag-house","tag-john-fetterman","tag-mandela-barnes","tag-mark-kelly","tag-mehmet-oz","tag-national-security","tag-nevada-senate-race","tag-overnight-defense","tag-overnight-energy-environment","tag-pennsylvania-senate-race","tag-raphael-warnock","tag-ron-johnson","tag-wisconsin-senate-race"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/505401","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=505401"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/505401\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/505402"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=505401"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=505401"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=505401"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}