{"id":509682,"date":"2022-11-14T00:42:35","date_gmt":"2022-11-13T21:42:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-keep-the-house\/"},"modified":"2022-11-14T00:42:35","modified_gmt":"2022-11-13T21:42:35","slug":"what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-keep-the-house","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-keep-the-house\/","title":{"rendered":"#What would it take for Democrats to keep the House?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a30c79487395\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a30c79487395\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-keep-the-house\/#What_would_it_take_for_Democrats_to_keep_the_House\" >What would it take for Democrats to keep the House?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-2' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-keep-the-house\/#Hold_the_nine_seats_with_steady_Democratic_leads\" >Hold the nine seats with steady Democratic leads<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-keep-the-house\/#Win_the_five_of_six_seats_where_count_is_neck-and-neck\" >Win the five of six seats where count is neck-and-neck<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_would_it_take_for_Democrats_to_keep_the_House\"><\/span>What would it take for Democrats to keep the House?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/11\/pelosinancy_mccarthykevin_split-gn_house-scenarios.jpg?w=900\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Nearly a week after Election Day, control of the House remains uncertain.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans are favored to win the lower chamber with 20 seats still in play, but Democrats still have a fighting chance in the race to win the necessary 218 seats.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>As of Sunday afternoon, The Associated Press has projected Republicans to win 211 seats and Democrats to win 204 seats.<\/p>\n<p><iframe class=\"ap-embed\" title=\"Live election results via the Associated Press\" src=\"https:\/\/interactives.ap.org\/election-results\/customers\/layouts\/organization-layouts\/published\/102294\/5063.html\" width=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" marginheight=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>That means of the remaining 20 contests, Republicans need just seven more seats to clinch the majority, while Democrats need to notch 14.<\/p>\n<p>For Democrats to hit that target, they need to win all of the races they currently lead and a few others where Republicans hold a slight edge. <\/p>\n<p>A little more than half of the undecided races are in California, where all active voters are sent mail ballots, creating a more sluggish tabulation process. Arizona, Colorado, Oregon each have two uncalled races, while Alaska, Maine and New York each have one.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s what Democrats would need to do to take the House majority:<\/p>\n<p><iframe class=\"ap-embed\" title=\"Live election results via the Associated Press\" src=\"https:\/\/interactives.ap.org\/election-results\/customers\/layouts\/organization-layouts\/published\/102294\/6706.html\" width=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" marginheight=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Hold_the_nine_seats_with_steady_Democratic_leads\"><\/span><strong>Hold the nine seats with steady Democratic leads<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Alaska at-large<\/strong>: With just over 80 percent of votes counted in Alaska\u2019s ranked-choice election, Rep. Mary Peltola (D) has garnered 47 percent of first-place votes. If she doesn\u2019t reach a majority in the first round, officials will drop the lowest candidate and redistribute their supporters\u2019 second-place votes, continuing until one candidate reaches a majority. It\u2019s possible Peltola will make it over the threshold in the first round, but even if not, she is close to clinching the majority in a later round.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 6th: <\/strong>Rep. Amy Bera (D) <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>ears likely to win re-election, but The Associated Press has not yet called the race, given that nearly half of the votes have yet to be reported. But NBC and ABC have both projected Bera as the winner, and she is leading by 12 percentage points among the votes already cast.<\/p>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 9th: <\/strong>Rep. Josh Harder (D) is running for re-election in this Central Valley district that includes Stockton, although he largely faces new voters following redistricting. Harder currently leads Republican Tom Patti, who sits on the San Joaquin County Board of Supervisors, by 13 percentage points with about half of votes counted. <\/p>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 21st: <\/strong>Further south in California\u2019s Central Valley, including Fresno, Rep. Jim Costa (D) is running for re-election in a largely redrawn district that voted for Biden by double digits in 2020. With three-quarters of the vote in, Costa leads by 9 points against former FBI Special Agent Michael Maher (R).\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 47th: <\/strong>In this district that includes Irvine and other parts of Orange County, Rep. Katie Porter\u2019s (D) a prominent progressive, holds a 3-point lead against Republican Scott Baugh. But 28 percent of the estimated vote has yet to be reported.<\/p>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 49th: <\/strong>Rep. Mike Levin (D) holds just a 5-point lead over Republican Brian Maryott in this Southern California district, which includes parts of Orange County and stretches southward close to San Diego. Twenty nine percent of the estimated vote remains, but Levin has recently expanded his lead, and the Cook Political Report\u2019s Dave Wasserman <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Redistrict\/status\/1591606379076280324\">projected<\/a> Levin as the winner.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Colorado\u2019s 8th: <\/strong>With nearly every vote counted, Democrat Vadira Caraveo leads Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer by just 0.7 percentage points in the district, which includes portions of the Denver suburbs and stretches northward to more rural areas. Despite the race remaining uncalled, Kirkmeyer conceded the race on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p><strong>Maine\u2019s 2nd: <\/strong>Moderate Rep. Jared Golden (D) holds a 3-point lead over Republican challenger Bruce Poliquin. Nearly every vote has been tabulated, but Maine uses a ranked-choice voting system. Golden remains at 48.5 percent, slightly below the majority needed to win outright in the first round. Golden\u2019s lead gives him an edge in subsequent rounds once others are eliminated, but the Democrat himself ousted Poliquin in 2018 after trailing in the first round.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oregon\u2019s 6th: <\/strong>In Salem and portions of Portland\u2019s southwest suburbs, Democrat Andrea Salinas has a narrow 1.8-point lead over Republican Mike Erickson. Nineteen percent of the vote has yet to be reported. Salinas on Wednesday <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AndreaRSalinas\/status\/1590488370530353152\">said<\/a> she was confident she will come out on top once the votes are all counted, while Erickson on Friday <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MikeErickson_OR\/status\/1591242762397323267\">said<\/a> his team remains optimistic.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Win_the_five_of_six_seats_where_count_is_neck-and-neck\"><\/span><strong>Win the five of six seats where count is neck-and-neck<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Arizona\u2019s 1st: <\/strong>Rep. David Schweikert (R) is fighting to hold on to his seat drawn more favorable to Democrats during redistricting. Democrat David Hodge leads by less than a percentage point with 14 percent of the estimated vote outstanding. The district lies in Maricopa County, including Scottsdale and other parts of the Phoenix area. Counting of mail ballots, expected to be completed by Tuesday, is expected to shift redder as time goes on.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Arizona\u2019s 6th: <\/strong>Republican Juan Ciscomani, a former senior adviser to Arizona\u2019s governor, leads former Arizona state Rep. Kirsten Engel (D) by just 0.45 percent. Thirteen percent of the estimated vote remains in the district, which includes parts of Tucson. The winner will replace retiring Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D), whose seat was drawn more favorable to Republicans this year.<\/p>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 13th: <\/strong>Businessman Juan Duarte (R) is in a near-tie with moderate California state Rep. Adam Gray (D), with just 0.11 percentage points separating the two candidates. But nearly 49 percent of the estimated vote remains in this Central Valley district that includes Merced. <\/p>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 22nd: <\/strong>Rep. David Valadao (R) is the only House Republican running this year that impeached former President Trump and did not face a Trump-backed primary challenger. But with just over half of the votes reported, Valadao holds just a 5-point lead over Democrat Rudy Salas, giving Democrats hope the seat still could be in reach. The district includes Bakersfield and parts of the Central Valley.<\/p>\n<p><strong>California\u2019s 41st: <\/strong>Rep. Ken Calvert (R) leads Democrat Will Rollins by 1.5 points as of Sunday in this Riverside County district. But roughly a third of the estimated vote remains outstanding, potentially giving way for Democrats a path to flip the seat. Following redistricting, Calvert\u2019s seat now includes areas like Palm Springs, which is known for its LGBTQ community.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Colorado\u2019s 3rd: <\/strong>Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) leads by a razor-thin margin of just 0.35 percentage points. With nearly all votes counted, the small margin could trigger an automatic recount, thought Wasserman says Boebert will likely win. <\/p>\n<p>The other remaining districts all appear to be heading in Republicans\u2019 direction.\u00a0\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/3733444-what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-keep-the-house\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What would it take for Democrats to keep the House? Nearly a week after Election Day, control of the House remains uncertain. Republicans are favored to win the lower chamber with 20 seats still in play, but Democrats still have a fighting chance in the race to win the necessary 218 seats. As of Sunday&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":509683,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/11\/pelosinancy_mccarthykevin_split-gn_house-scenarios.jpg?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[134346,135069,135515,134343,124783,135516,135517,135518,135519,135481,135520,70289,134446],"class_list":["post-509682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-2022-midterms","tag-2022-midterms-house","tag-bruce-poliquin","tag-campaign","tag-international","tag-jared-golden","tag-jim-costa","tag-josh-harder","tag-katie-porter","tag-mary-peltola","tag-mike-levin","tag-senate","tag-sunday-talk-shows"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/509682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=509682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/509682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/509683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=509682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=509682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=509682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}