{"id":517945,"date":"2022-11-29T17:47:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-29T14:47:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/"},"modified":"2022-11-29T17:47:00","modified_gmt":"2022-11-29T14:47:00","slug":"bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/","title":{"rendered":"#Bond Report: Treasury yields edge higher as traders absorb latest Fed comments"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3d878a0ed3a\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3d878a0ed3a\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/#%E2%80%9CBond_Report_Treasury_yields_edge_higher_as_traders_absorb_latest_Fed_comments%E2%80%9D\" >&#8220;Bond Report: Treasury yields edge higher as traders absorb latest Fed comments&#8221;<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/#Whats_happening\" >What\u2019s happening<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-6'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/#Whats_driving_markets\" >What\u2019s driving markets<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-6'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/#What_analysts_are_saying\" >What analysts are saying<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/#Vivien_Lou_Chen\" >Vivien Lou Chen<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/bond-report-treasury-yields-edge-higher-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments\/#Jamie_Chisholm\" >Jamie Chisholm<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CBond_Report_Treasury_yields_edge_higher_as_traders_absorb_latest_Fed_comments%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>&#8220;Bond Report: Treasury yields edge higher as traders absorb latest Fed comments&#8221;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<h2 class=\"article__subhead\" itemprop=\"alternativeHeadline\">\n<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"column column--full article__content\">\n<div class=\"article__side\">\n<div class=\"container--sticky not-active\">\n<div id=\"cx-next\" data-nosnippet>\n              <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"js-article__body\" class=\"article__body article-wrap at16-col16 barrons-article-wrap crawler\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"WP-MKTW-0001432974\" role=\"document\">\n<div class=\"barrons-article-ad-wrapper\">\n<div data-track=\"barrons-article-ad-wrap\" class=\"barrons-article-ad sticky_item\">\n<div class=\"barrons-main-article-ad-target sticky_target body_ad\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div data-layout=\"\n                inline\" data-layout-mobile=\"\" class=\"\n          media-object\n          type-InsetArticleReader\n              \n              inline\n  article__inset\n          article__inset--type-InsetArticleReader\n              article__inset--inline\n  \"><\/p>\n<div class=\"media-object-article-reader\">\n<div class=\"audioplayer\" data-sbid=\"WP-MKTW-0001432974\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"Listen to Article\" tabindex=\"-1\" id=\"articlereader\" data-show-title=\"false\" data-theme=\"wsj-article-reader\" data-show-header=\"false\" data-show-subscribe=\"false\" data-ads-enabled=\"true\" data-save-publication=\"false\">\n        <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>       U.S. bond yields inched higher on Tuesday as more hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve counteracted signs of cooling inflation in Europe.<\/p>\n<h6><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Whats_happening\"><\/span>What\u2019s happening<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h6>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      The yield on the 2-year Treasury<br \/>\n        TMUBMUSD02Y,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.000%\" channel=\"\" class=\"\">4.483%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       advanced to 4.479%, up slightly from 4.469% on Monday. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      The yield on the 10-year Treasury<br \/>\n        TMUBMUSD10Y,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.000%\" channel=\"\" class=\"\">3.744%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       jumped to 3.741%  from 3.701% as of Monday afternoon.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      The yield on the 30-year Treasury<br \/>\n        TMUBMUSD30Y,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.000%\" channel=\"\" class=\"\">3.778%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       was 3.786%, up from 3.748% late Monday.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h6><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Whats_driving_markets\"><\/span>What\u2019s driving markets<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h6>\n<p> Benchmark U.S. government bond yields moved up on Tuesday as investors continued to absorb the latest hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, who indicated that they\u2019ll probably leave borrowing costs high for years to come.<\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n       St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Monday that the central bank will likely need to keep its benchmark interest rate above 5% for most of next year and into 2024 in order to cool inflation that running not far below 40-year highs.<\/p>\n<p>Markets are pricing in a 67.5% probability that the Fed will raise its policy rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.5% on Dec. 14, and a 32.5% chance of another 75-basis-point hike, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The central bank is mostly expected to take its fed-funds rate target to at least 4.75% to 5% by March. <\/p>\n<p>In U.S. economic data on Tuesday,  the S&amp;P Case-Shiller 20-city U.S. home price index dropped 1.2% in September, its third consecutive monthly decline.<\/p>\n<p>Helping suppress yields was better <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">news<\/a> on inflation from Europe. The German 10-year bund yield<br \/>\n        TMBMKDE-10Y,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.000%\" channel=\"\" class=\"\">1.939%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       fell 4.8 basis points to 1.947% after data showed Germany\u2019s annual rate of inflation decelerated in November. <\/p>\n<h6><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_analysts_are_saying\"><\/span>What analysts are saying<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h6>\n<p>Bullard said \u201cmarkets are under-pricing the risk that FOMC might be more aggressive and again referred to the output of his Taylor Rule model, saying that he thinks the Fed should get to the bottom of the 5-7% range. That is an extremely wide spread and markets are already pricing a terminal rate that reaches the bottom of that range,\u201d  Jan Nevruzi, John Briggs, and Brian Daingerfield of Nat West wrote in a note.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe expect the Fed to remain on hold in 2023, but reduce rates sharply in 2024, ending the year near 2%, which is well below market pricing. From today\u2019s vantage point, it is hard to imagine how the Fed could even entertain cuts, but if rates are at 5% (terminal) when inflation is in the 7-8% range, I don\u2019t think it would be a problem for the Fed to cut towards neutral if inflation gets back to our forecast of ~2% in 2024 (or shows a strong trend in that direction),\u201d they said.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"byline article__byline\">\n<p>    <span>By<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"author mobile-scrim hasMenu\" data-scrim='{\"type\":\"author\",\"header\":\"Vivien Lou Chen\",\"subhead\":\"The Wall Street Journal\",\"list\":[{\"type\":\"link\",\"icon\":\"bio\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/author\/vivien-lou-chen\",\"text\":\"Biography\"},{\"type\":\"link\",\"icon\":\"twitter\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/vivienlouchen\",\"text\":\"@vivienlouchen\"}]}' itemscope itemprop=\"author\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\">\n<h4 itemprop=\"name\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Vivien_Lou_Chen\"><\/span>Vivien Lou Chen<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p><ufc-follow-author-widget product=\"marketwatch\" author-id=\"250_MW\" author-name=\"Vivien Lou Chen and Jamie Chisholm\" signin-url=\"https:\/\/accounts.marketwatch.com\/login?target=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.marketwatch.com%2Fstory%2Ftreasury-yields-nudge-lower-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments-11669719086%3Frss%3D1%26siteid%3Drss\" panda-api=\"https:\/\/follow-api.marketwatch.com\"><\/ufc-follow-author-widget><\/div>\n<div class=\"author  hasMenu\" data-scrim='{\"type\":\"author\",\"header\":\"\",\"subhead\":\"The Wall Street Journal\",\"list\":[]}' itemscope itemprop=\"author\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\">\n<h4 itemprop=\"name\"><\/h4>\n<p> and\n          <\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"author mobile-scrim hasMenu\" data-scrim='{\"type\":\"author\",\"header\":\"Jamie Chisholm\",\"subhead\":\"The Wall Street Journal\",\"list\":[{\"type\":\"link\",\"icon\":\"bio\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/topics\/journalists\/jamie-chisholm\",\"text\":\"Biography\"},{\"type\":\"link\",\"icon\":\"email\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/news\/mailto:jamie.chisholm@marketwatch.com\",\"text\":\"jamie.chisholm@marketwatch.com\"}]}' itemscope itemprop=\"author\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\">\n<h4 itemprop=\"name\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Jamie_Chisholm\"><\/span>Jamie Chisholm<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p><ufc-follow-author-widget product=\"marketwatch\" author-id=\"273_MW\" author-name=\"Vivien Lou Chen and Jamie Chisholm\" signin-url=\"https:\/\/accounts.marketwatch.com\/login?target=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.marketwatch.com%2Fstory%2Ftreasury-yields-nudge-lower-as-traders-absorb-latest-fed-comments-11669719086%3Frss%3D1%26siteid%3Drss\" panda-api=\"https:\/\/follow-api.marketwatch.com\"><\/ufc-follow-author-widget><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more News articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/news\/story.asp?guid=%7B20C06575-04D4-B545-715D-D8E6F8CA0428%7D&#038;siteid=rss&#038;rss=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Bond Report: Treasury yields edge higher as traders absorb latest Fed comments&#8221; U.S. bond yields inched higher on Tuesday as more hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve counteracted signs of cooling inflation in Europe. What\u2019s happening The yield on the 2-year Treasury TMUBMUSD02Y, 4.483% advanced to 4.479%, up slightly from 4.469% on Monday. The yield&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":517946,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/mw3.wsj.net\/mw5\/content\/logos\/mw_logo_social.png","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-517945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/517945","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=517945"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/517945\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/517946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=517945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=517945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=517945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}