{"id":535092,"date":"2023-01-04T20:02:23","date_gmt":"2023-01-04T17:02:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/three-scenarios-for-how-the-mccarthy-speakership-fight-could-end\/"},"modified":"2023-01-04T20:02:23","modified_gmt":"2023-01-04T17:02:23","slug":"three-scenarios-for-how-the-mccarthy-speakership-fight-could-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/three-scenarios-for-how-the-mccarthy-speakership-fight-could-end\/","title":{"rendered":"#Three scenarios for how the McCarthy Speakership fight could end"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2902534a782\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2902534a782\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/three-scenarios-for-how-the-mccarthy-speakership-fight-could-end\/#Three_scenarios_for_how_the_McCarthy_Speakership_fight_could_end\" >Three scenarios for how the McCarthy Speakership fight could end<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Three_scenarios_for_how_the_McCarthy_Speakership_fight_could_end\"><\/span>Three scenarios for how the McCarthy Speakership fight could end<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/01\/mccarthykevin_010423gn4_w.jpg?w=900\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>A historic stalemate over choosing a new Speaker has left the House GOP divided and the chamber unorganized and in chaos.<\/p>\n<p>After three votes on Tuesday in which Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) failed to win a majority and those opposed to his Speakership showed no signs of standing down, the question of how the fight will end is growing more intriguing.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>McCarthy and his allies have not given up, but McCarthy was weakened by the Tuesday votes. A number of observers have questioned whether he can win a vote or whether a new contender could emerge?<\/p>\n<p>Or could some Republicans join with Democrats to reach a governing deal?<\/p>\n<p>Here are three possible scenarios for how the drama could end.<\/p>\n<p><strong>McCarthy drops out and Scalise becomes Speaker<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Speculation that this could all end with the No. 2 House Republican \u2014 Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.) \u2014 as the Speaker has ticked up in the last 24 hours.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents of McCarthy have long said that they think he should bow out of the Speaker\u2019s race to make way for an alternative GOP candidate.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Scalise is seen as the most obvious potential alternative \u2013 even as Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) has the support of McCarthy detractors.<\/p>\n<p>As a former chair of the conservative Republican Study Committee, Scalise has the conservative bona fides some members might be looking for.<\/p>\n<p>But Scalise is supporting McCarthy, and gave a nominating speech in favor of him on the House floor on Tuesday. He is also politically paralyzed from making moves toward the gavel while McCarthy is still in the race.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>McCarthy would almost certainly need to decide to step aside to clear the way for Scalise.<\/p>\n<p>Even then, Scalise could face hurdles.<\/p>\n<p>There is a question of whether Scalise is seen as too similar to McCarthy to be a viable alternative.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019re almost, to me, they\u2019re the same. They represent a lot of the same ideology, and they\u2019ve built this team together,\u201d said moderate Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.). \u201cSo what\u2019s the purpose of them demanding Kevin to step down?\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Other members supporting McCarthy are not willing to start seriously considering Scalise just yet, shutting down talk of a Scalise Speakership.<\/p>\n<p>McCarthy, meanwhile, said on Tuesday night that there is no scenario in which he bows out of the Speaker\u2019s race.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Moderate Republicans work with Democrats to elect an alternative<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bacon has said for weeks that if it becomes clear that McCarthy cannot win and he exits the race, he is open to working with Democrats to elect a moderate GOP compromise Speaker.<\/p>\n<p>Rep. Fred Upton (R-Mich.), a moderate who voted in favor of impeaching Trump, has been floated as a possible alternative even though he is not a member of the House anymore. Upton did not run for reelection last year.<\/p>\n<p>House rules do not require that the Speaker be a sitting member, though such a situation has never h<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>ened in American history.<\/p>\n<p>Upton has not ruled out the possibility, telling the\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ga8bXqzflZ\">Detroit News<\/a>\u00a0that being Speaker is \u201can intriguing suggestion that I have not rejected.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) is one Democrat who has expressed openness to working with Republicans to find a compromise alternative. But any Democratic cooperation would come at a steep price.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr5_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>\u201cThere have to be, in my view, at least two conditions that are met first. They can\u2019t hold this country hostage with the debt ceiling or government shutdowns. And second, they can\u2019t have subpoena power to do frivolous investigations against the president,\u201d Khanna\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=irT5XePUx0c\">said<\/a>\u00a0on CNN Tuesday evening.<\/p>\n<p>House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) said Tuesday evening he has not had outreach from Republicans leadership or individuals about agreeing to a moderate GOP alternative Speaker.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe are looking for a willing partner to solve problems for the American people, not save the Republicans from their dysfunction,\u201d Jeffries said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>McCarthy wears down his opponents and Democrats to win<\/strong><\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr6_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>McCarthy and his allies are still working to find a way to win over the 20 GOP members who did not vote for him on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>He is also crunching the numbers, and looking at paths to the gavel with fewer than 218 votes \u2013 the threshold for a majority and winning the gavel if every member votes.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou\u2019re sitting at 202 votes, so you need technically just 11 more votes to win,\u201d McCarthy said after emerging from meetings with allies on Tuesday night.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDemocrats have 212 votes. You get 213 votes, and the others don\u2019t say another name, that\u2019s how you can win. You can win with 218. You could win with 222. But if you want to look at how you have to go about doing it,\u201d McCarthy said.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr7_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>The House Speaker is elected by a majority of all those voting for a specific Speaker candidate, not necessarily all members. Those voting \u201cpresent\u201d and those who are absent do not count toward that total, lowering the threshold.<\/p>\n<p>It is unclear, though, what McCarthy could do at this point to not only win over 11 of his detractors, but also convince 9 more to vote \u201cpresent\u201d or not at all. No breakthroughs were made in negotiations with McCarthy allies and detractors on Tuesday night.<\/p>\n<p>The suggestion of allowing McCarthy to win with fewer than 218 votes was im<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">media<\/a>tely shot down, though, by McCarthy opponents like Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas).\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI just don\u2019t see that as the right path to a strong leadership position,\u201d Roy said.<\/p>\n<p>Another option for McCarthy is to have patience and try to wear down his detractors in hopes they will flip.<\/p>\n<p>He could also try to wear down Democrats if the House goes days without a Speaker, waiting for enough weary members to be absent to give him the gavel.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/house\/3798444-three-scenarios-for-how-the-mccarthy-speakership-fight-could-end\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three scenarios for how the McCarthy Speakership fight could end A historic stalemate over choosing a new Speaker has left the House GOP divided and the chamber unorganized and in chaos. After three votes on Tuesday in which Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) failed to win a majority and those opposed to his Speakership showed no&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":535093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/01\/mccarthykevin_010423gn4_w.jpg?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[134747,134343,135641,87077,90482,124783,89113,35813,115,136393,89448],"class_list":["post-535092","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-arts-culture","tag-campaign","tag-fred-upton","tag-hakeem-jeffries","tag-house","tag-international","tag-jim-jordan","tag-kevin-mccarthy","tag-news","tag-speakership-vote","tag-steve-scalise"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/535092","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=535092"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/535092\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/535093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=535092"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=535092"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=535092"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}