{"id":556503,"date":"2023-02-25T14:09:21","date_gmt":"2023-02-25T11:09:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/quake-prone-istanbul-not-at-heightened-risk-expert\/"},"modified":"2023-02-25T14:09:21","modified_gmt":"2023-02-25T11:09:21","slug":"quake-prone-istanbul-not-at-heightened-risk-expert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/quake-prone-istanbul-not-at-heightened-risk-expert\/","title":{"rendered":"#Quake-prone Istanbul not at heightened risk: expert"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a326b95a2d87\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a326b95a2d87\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/quake-prone-istanbul-not-at-heightened-risk-expert\/#%E2%80%9CQuake-prone_Istanbul_not_at_heightened_risk_expert%E2%80%9D\" >&#8220;Quake-prone Istanbul not at heightened risk: expert&#8221;<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-2' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/quake-prone-istanbul-not-at-heightened-risk-expert\/#Early_warning\" >Early warning<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CQuake-prone_Istanbul_not_at_heightened_risk_expert%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>&#8220;Quake-prone Istanbul not at heightened risk: expert&#8221;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<div>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2023\/turkeys-top-seismologi.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2023\/turkeys-top-seismologi.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"Turkey's top seismologist says Istanbul isn't at a heightened risk of an earthquake.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2023\/turkeys-top-seismologi.jpg\" alt=\"Turkey's top seismologist says Istanbul isn't at a heightened risk of an earthquake\" title=\"Turkey's top seismologist says Istanbul isn't at a heightened risk of an earthquake.\" width=\"800\" height=\"530\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-darken text-low-up text-truncate-js text-truncate mt-3\">\n                Turkey&#8217;s top seismologist says Istanbul isn&#8217;t at a heightened risk of an earthquake.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Fears of another major earthquake have been rekindled in Istanbul since the February 6 disaster that hit Turkey and Syria, but a prominent Turkish seismologist has reassured the risk &#8220;hasn&#8217;t increased&#8221;.<\/p>\n<section class=\"article-banner first-banner ads-336x280\"><!-- \/4988204\/Phys_Story_InText_Box --><br \/>\n      <\/section>\n<p>&#8220;The risk hasn&#8217;t increased because we are talking about completely different systems,&#8221; Dogan Kalafat, the director of the Kandilli Observatory&#8217;s Earthquake-Tsunami Monitoring Center in Istanbul, told AFP.<\/p>\n<p>Turkey&#8217;s most populated city is situated near the North Anatolian Fault while the recent 7.8-magnitude quake that killed 43,500 people occurred along another fault in the country&#8217;s southeast, Kalafat explained.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the 16 million residents of Istanbul, a city that spreads over two continents and has seen skyscrapers mushroom in recent years, are wondering if they&#8217;re ready for the &#8220;Big One&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I&#8217;d like to say it, but sadly, it&#8217;s a very big city with too many poorly constructed buildings,&#8221; said Kalafat, who has denounced using low-quality cement and building on &#8220;soft soils&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>While waiting for a large-scale quake, &#8220;we must make good use of the time. We must build earthquake-proof houses on solid soil. It&#8217;s the most important precaution to take,&#8221; the seismologist stressed.<\/p>\n<p>At the observatory, seismologists take turns every eight hours watching a <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/watch-movies-tv-seriess\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"8\" title=\"Watch Movies &amp; TV Series\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">series<\/a> of computer screens monitoring potential tremors.\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2023\/there-are-260-seismic.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2023\/there-are-260-seismic.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"There are 260 seismic stations providing readings to Turkey's Kandilli Observatory.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img text-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2023\/there-are-260-seismic.jpg\" alt=\"There are 260 seismic stations providing readings to Turkey's Kandilli Observatory\" title=\"There are 260 seismic stations providing readings to Turkey's Kandilli Observatory.\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-left text-darken text-truncate text-low-up mt-3\">\n                There are 260 seismic stations providing readings to Turkey&#8217;s Kandilli Observatory.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>In front of them, on a wall at least five meters (16 feet) tall, a giant screen provides real-time readings from 260 seismic stations across the country.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Nine thousand aftershocks have taken place in Turkey since February 6,&#8221; which is more than &#8220;seven or eight times normal&#8221;, Kalafat said.\n<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Early_warning\"><\/span>Early warning<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>On one of the desks, a laminated map shows the North Anatolian Fault, which crosses the Sea of Marmara, only &#8220;15 to 17 kilometers&#8221; from the southern shores of Istanbul, Kalafat said.<\/p>\n<p>In 2001, two years after a 7.4-magnitude quake left 17,000 people dead in northwest Turkey, Kalafat calculated a 65 percent probability that a quake with a magnitude above 7 would occur before 2030 in the same region\u2014which includes Istanbul.<\/p>\n<p>The risk climbed to 75 percent in 50 years and 95 percent in 90 years.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These statistics are still relevant,&#8221; said Kalafat, adding: &#8220;even with the <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/technology\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"4\" title=\"Technology\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">technology<\/a> of today, it is impossible to predict an earthquake.&#8221;\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2023\/seismologists-at-turke.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2023\/seismologists-at-turke.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"Seismologists at Turkey's Kandilli Observatory have been monitoring aftershocks since the February 6 quake.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img text-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2023\/seismologists-at-turke.jpg\" alt=\"Seismologists at Turkey's Kandilli Observatory have been monitoring aftershocks since the February 6 quake\" title=\"Seismologists at Turkey's Kandilli Observatory have been monitoring aftershocks since the February 6 quake.\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-left text-darken text-truncate text-low-up mt-3\">\n                Seismologists at Turkey&#8217;s Kandilli Observatory have been monitoring aftershocks since the February 6 quake.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&#8220;We can indicate, with a certain margin of error, where an earthquake can occur and what magnitude it can be, but we can&#8217;t know when it will occur,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>                                              The Kandilli Observatory has developed an early warning system &#8220;but Istanbul is too close to the fault line&#8221; for a system to be effective, Kalafat said.<\/p>\n<p>On one of the desks, sitting between two screens, is a black telephone with two red labels with the public disaster management agency&#8217;s acronym, allowing scientists to send an alert for a major earthquake.<\/p>\n<p>The early warning could win &#8220;a maximum of seven or eight seconds&#8221;\u2014not enough time to allow inhabitants to get to safety.\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-gallery lightGallery\">\n<div data-thumb=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/tmb\/2023\/turkeys-kandilli-obser.jpg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2023\/turkeys-kandilli-obser.jpg\" data-sub-html=\"Turkey's Kandilli Observatory has developed an earthquake early warning system.\">\n<figure class=\"article-img text-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/scx1.b-cdn.net\/csz\/news\/800a\/2023\/turkeys-kandilli-obser.jpg\" alt=\"Turkey's Kandilli Observatory has developed an earthquake early warning system\" title=\"Turkey's Kandilli Observatory has developed an earthquake early warning system.\"\/><figcaption class=\"text-left text-darken text-truncate text-low-up mt-3\">\n                Turkey&#8217;s Kandilli Observatory has developed an earthquake early warning system.<br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>In comparison, the telephonic warning system in Japan&#8217;s Tohoku region, which was struck by a devastating earthquake and tsunami in March 2011, buys the public 45 seconds.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There, you can send a message warning citizens, but we don&#8217;t have this possibility here,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-main__note mt-4\">\n                                                  \u00a9 2023 AFP<\/p>\n<p>                                        <!-- print only --><\/p>\n<div class=\"d-none d-print-block\">\n<p>                                                <strong>Citation<\/strong>:<br \/>\n                                                Quake-prone Istanbul not at heightened risk: expert (2023, February 25)<br \/>\n                                                retrieved 25 February 2023<br \/>\n                                                from https:\/\/phys.org\/<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">news<\/a>\/2023-02-quake-prone-istanbul-heightened-expert.html<\/p>\n<p>                                             This document is subject to copyright. 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Fears of another major earthquake have been rekindled in Istanbul since the February 6 disaster that hit Turkey and Syria, but a prominent Turkish seismologist has reassured the risk &#8220;hasn&#8217;t increased&#8221;. &#8220;The risk hasn&#8217;t increased&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":556504,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/scx2.b-cdn.net\/gfx\/news\/2023\/turkeys-top-seismologi.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-556503","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sciencee"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/556503","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=556503"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/556503\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/556504"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=556503"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=556503"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=556503"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}