{"id":569638,"date":"2023-04-10T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-10T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/will-gavin-newsom-run-for-president-experts-say-its-not-if-but-when\/"},"modified":"2023-04-10T17:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-04-10T14:00:00","slug":"will-gavin-newsom-run-for-president-experts-say-its-not-if-but-when","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/will-gavin-newsom-run-for-president-experts-say-its-not-if-but-when\/","title":{"rendered":"#Will Gavin Newsom run for president? Experts say it\u2019s not if, but when."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/04\/newsomgavin_032423ap_newsom.jpg?w=900\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>While California Gov. Gavin <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a>om (D) has repeatedly denied that his sights are set on the White House, experts believe that it\u2019s not a question of if he will run for president, but when.<\/p>\n<p>Newsom, 55, has long been seen as a politician with Washington ambitions, and while no Democrat has ever jumped from the California governor\u2019s mansion to the White House, many believe Newsom would like to be the first.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>\u201cMy sense is that the governor is trying to leave his options open,\u201d Eric Schickler, a political <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/sciencee\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"5\" title=\"Science\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">science<\/a> professor at the University of California, Berkeley, told The Hill. \u201cI don\u2019t think there\u2019s any expectation at all he would challenge Joe Biden for reelection.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBuilding a national profile now, the most likely scenario where that really comes to fruition is for 2028,\u201d Schickler said.<\/p>\n<p>Newsom has been working to do just that, particularly in battling Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is widely seen as a likely GOP presidential candidate this year.<\/p>\n<p>Newsom stopped in Florida on a\u00a0red state speaking tour\u00a0last week as part of his new\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/campaignfordemocracy.com\/\">Campaign for Democracy<\/a>\u00a0initiative.<\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday, he paid a visit to the New College of Florida, where he\u00a0rallied against DeSantis\u2019s\u00a0efforts to gut the small public university\u2019s diversity office.<\/p>\n<p>Newsom argued that DeSantis has no \u201cmoral authority\u201d and is \u201cbullying and intimidating vulnerable communities,\u201d according to\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.heraldtribune.com\/story\/news\/politics\/2023\/04\/05\/gavin-newsom-rips-ron-desantis-during-new-college-florida-visit\/70083923007\/\">the Sarasota Herald-Tribune<\/a>.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Just a few months ago, it at least seemed possible Newsom could be in the 2024 mix given Biden\u2019s middling <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>roval ratings and questions about the 80-year-old president\u2019s age.<\/p>\n<p>A strong midterm performance by Democrats largely quieted such talk, and while Biden has not officially announced his own reelection campaign he is widely expected to do so. Big-name Democrats have stayed out of the field, and it does not appear that Biden will face a challenger considered to be potent.<\/p>\n<p>Schickler emphasized his doubts that the governor would be a 2024 candidate unless Biden is somehow unable to run.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>\u201cIn that case, it\u2019d be a very wide open, Democratic field and I think that Governor Newsom would be one of the people who would nationally be talked about as a serious contender,\u201d the professor said.<\/p>\n<p>Daniel Schnur, a Republican-turned-independent political strategist, echoed these sentiments, describing the governor as both \u201cambitious\u201d and \u201cimpatient,\u201d but \u201calso very smart.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe knows that challenging a sitting president of his own party is not going to be good for his own political prospects. So if he needs to, he\u2019ll wait another four years,\u201d said Schnur, who teaches at both Berkeley and the University of Southern California.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>If and when Newsom runs, Schickler said a big \u201cwildcard\u201d will be Vice President Harris, who has her own base of support and would be seen as Biden\u2019s logical successor. That could make the two Californians friendly rivals in a future contest.<\/p>\n<p>Newsom\u2019s current term as governor would end in January 2027, setting him up for a potential run in 2028.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s the governor of the biggest blue state out there, and his time in the governor\u2019s mansion is going to end at the end of this term,\u201d the professor said.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr5_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Newsom easily survived a recall election in September 2021, winning 61.9 percent of the vote.<\/p>\n<p>A March poll from\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3868\">Quinnipiac<\/a> found 44 percent of Californians approving of the way he is handling his job as governor, compared to 43 percent who disapprove. About 70 percent of all respondents did not want him to run for the White House in 2024, including 54 percent of Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>California governors have made the leap to the White House before, they\u2019ve just always been Republicans \u2014 Richard Nixon in 1968 and Ronald Reagan in 1980.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr6_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Whether the Democratic leader of a state seen as a center of progressivism in the 21<sup>st<\/sup> century could do so, however, is a matter of debate.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan ran for president, California represented America\u2019s dream \u2014 all those Midwestern voters turned on the Rose Bowl parade on New Year\u2019s Day and started thinking about moving to the sunshine themselves,\u201d Schnur said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s simply not the way the state is perceived in the 21st century,\u201d he continued.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr7_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Former California Govs. Jerry Brown (D) and Pete Wilson (R) both lost presidential bids in 1992 and 1996, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Schnur acknowledged that this \u201cdoesn\u2019t mean a Californian can\u2019t get elected,\u201d but stressed that \u201cthe political winds are going to be in his face, not at his back.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Schickler, however, said being a California governor is \u201cnot the kind of knock that it may have been 20 years ago.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Newsom \u201cis positioning himself as an upholder of sort of Democratic values\u201d \u2014 someone who will go to bat against Trump Republicans and anti-abortion Republicans, he said.<\/p>\n<p>Schnur similarly described the governor as \u201cthe most aggressive progressive fighter you\u2019ll ever see on issues like abortion rights and gun control,\u201d noting that he also strives to appeal to the center-left.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOne of the biggest challenges for somebody like Newsom running on the national stage is going to be the homelessness situation, housing situation in California,\u201d Schickler said.<\/p>\n<p>But there are also advantages to being at the helm of California, a state that often takes the lead on implementing new policies and legislation, particularly when it comes to environmental issues. \u201cHe can match [Sens. Elizabeth] Warren [D] or [Bernie] Sanders [I] word for word on most climate change policy,\u201d Schnur said.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Newsom has had to contend with California\u2019s massive drilling footprint, as well as ongoing nuclear operations \u2014\u00a0to which he recently granted his support, despite the opposition of green groups.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAt a certain point, even an ardent environmentalist like Newsom feels the need to bow to economic reality,\u201d Schnur said. \u201cHe also can\u2019t afford a summer of rolling blackouts.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>By targeting individuals like Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and DeSantis, Newsom can \u201ctake harder shots than Biden wants to at this point,\u201d in a way that bolsters his national stature and \u201cboosts his stock with the hometown crowd,\u201d according to Schnur.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen Newsom talks about issues like housing and homelessness, the answers can be fairly complicated and controversial,\u201d Schnur added. \u201cFor California Democrats, taking the shots at DeSantis and Abbott are a lot easier.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Biden\u2019s comparative restraint on such matters is also an opportunity for Newsom.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you asked who\u2019s the Democrat that\u2019s attacked Ron DeSantis, or targeted Ron DeSantis, the most \u2014 that wouldn\u2019t be Biden, right?\u201d said Schickler.<\/p>\n<p>He added that it\u2019s natural a relatively young, term-limited governor would be spreading his wings beyond California.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt would be surprising if he were doing nothing to burnish a national campaign,\u201d Schickler added.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Copyright 2023 Nexstar <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Media<\/a> Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more News articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/state-watch\/3939743-will-gavin-newsom-run-for-president-experts-say-its-not-if-but-when\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) has repeatedly denied that his sights are set on the White House, experts believe that it\u2019s not a question of if he will run for president, but when. Newsom, 55, has long been seen as a politician with Washington ambitions, and while no Democrat has ever jumped from the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":569639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/04\/newsomgavin_032423ap_newsom.jpg?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[134432,117,13096,5069,134661,73109,80445,124783,991,54282,71525,29102,134345],"class_list":["post-569638","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-2024-presidential-race","tag-business","tag-california","tag-economy","tag-energy-environment","tag-gavin-newsom","tag-healthcare","tag-international","tag-joe-biden","tag-kamala-harris","tag-national-security","tag-ron-desantis","tag-state-watch"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/569638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=569638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/569638\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/569639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=569638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=569638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=569638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}