{"id":597259,"date":"2023-11-10T23:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-10T20:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/what-i-know-about-joe-manchin\/"},"modified":"2023-11-10T23:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-11-10T20:00:00","slug":"what-i-know-about-joe-manchin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/what-i-know-about-joe-manchin\/","title":{"rendered":"#What I know about Joe Manchin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/12\/manchinjoe_120822gn_w.jpg?w=900\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>            <iframe title=\"Audio Article\" id=\"instaread_iframe\" name=\"instaread_playlist\" scrolling=\"no\" allow=\"autoplay\" style=\"display:block\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Several months ago, I hosted a fundraiser for Sen. Joe Manchin on Long Island. My progressive friends flooded my in-box almost instantly with incredulous, all caps, \u201cHOW COULD YOU?????\u201d protests. One would have thought I was supporting Vlad the Impaler instead of the Democratic senator from West Virginia.<\/p>\n<p>I should have expected it. It\u2019s been easy for the far-left to attack Manchin and much harder for them to credit his left-of-center accomplishments. As the New York Times <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/11\/09\/us\/politics\/manchin-democrats-senate-reelection.html\">noted<\/a> in its coverage of Manchin\u2019s decision, he was instrumental in the \u201cpassage of the biggest investment in clean energy in U.S. history, the largest financing of bridges since the construction of the interstate highway system, the first\u00a0bipartisan gun safety legislation\u00a0in a generation, a huge\u00a0microchip production and scientific research bill\u00a0to bolster American competitiveness with China, a major\u00a0veterans health care measure, and an overhaul of the electoral system designed to prevent another Jan. 6-style attempt to overturn a presidential election\u201d as well as \u201cplaying a central role in shaping Mr. Biden\u2019s efforts\u00a0to fight climate change.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Pretty progressive, if you ask me.<\/p>\n<p>Manchin\u2019s decision has put the political world in a state hyperventilation. The pundits are recalibrating the mix of 2024 Senate races that will decide the majority. Like old Kremlinologists, they parse and analyze every faint hint about whether Manchin will run for president \u2014 and, if he does, whom will it help and whom will it hurt?<\/p>\n<p>Just as Manchin set the stage and commanded the spotlight with every close vote in the Senate, he did so again in the <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=c-xiBEy8GTg\">video<\/a> announcing he wouldn\u2019t seek reelection. He announced he would <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/trip-and-travel\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"10\" title=\"Trip &amp; Travel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">travel<\/a> the country and assess the <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>etite for a new movement that brings together Democrats and Republicans. Tongues wagged, hearts beat, predictions blared with absolute certainty (if not credulity) on what it all meant for the future of a Democratic Senate and Democratic White House.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s take a breath.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, Manchin\u2019s decision undeniably steepens the Democrats\u2019 path to retain their 51-seat majority, but it doesn\u2019t blockade them. Manchin was the only Democrat able to win West Virginia (Donald Trump won the state by nearly 40 points). Meanwhile, Democrats continue to defend incumbents in two tossup races in Montana (John Tester) and Ohio (Sherrod Brown.)<\/p>\n<p>But, especially after last Tuesday\u2019s successes in Kentucky, Ohio and Virginia, the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee sees opportunities in Texas and Florida. According to most credible political forecasters, Democratic incumbents currently retain the advantage in competitive seats in Montana, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The most accurate thing we can say a year away from election day is that Manchin\u2019s decision has cost Democrats a seat, but not the majority.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>The larger questions are whether Manchin runs for president, and whether a third-party candidacy tips the scales for Biden or Trump. Here, the path for a third-party presidential victory is paved with a mix of ravenous appetite and wishful thinking. But neither wins elections. It\u2019s very late in the <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/game\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Game\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">game<\/a> to raise the hundreds of millions of dollars necessary to run a winning national campaign. As the New York Times <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/11\/09\/us\/politics\/joe-manchin-president-2024.html\">reported<\/a>, even Manchin\u2019s supporters note that he\u2019s not the most enthusiastic fundraiser in politics \u2014 he\u2019s much more interested brokering a deal than begging for dollars.<\/p>\n<p>A presidential campaign requires infrastructure that is planted deeply and expansively on the ground. According to another Times <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/11\/09\/us\/politics\/joe-manchin-president-2024.html\">report<\/a>, the centrist group No Labels, which has been raising money and laboring to qualify an as-yet-unnamed candidate for the presidential ballot has stalled in the effort, securing access in only 12 states. Perhaps Manchin would give them the spark they need. But you need more than a spark \u2014 you need nuclear energy to do the hard, the laborious work of getting on the ballot and winning states.<\/p>\n<p>More than anything, Joe Manchin has a career of being effective. He\u2019s delivered to West Virginia \u2014 and to Democrats and Republicans \u2014 seeking compromise in the Senate. He runs to win; negotiates to achieve realistic, pragmatic victories. But 270 votes in the Electoral College? I can see the political math where his presidential campaign helps Donald Trump win, but I can also see the political math where his presidential campaign helps Joe Biden win. I just don\u2019t see creditable political math that helps Joe Manchin win, at least for now.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>One of my fondest memories of Manchin was in the fall of 2016, when he invited me to travel with several senators across a network of military bases protecting us from a North Korean missile attack. At one point, our group was escorted to the Demilitarized Zone. There, just a few feet over a slight curb, menacing North Korean guards glared at us, clenched their fists and aimed their cameras. Manchin leaned over to me and kidded, \u201cSteve, I think we can take them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I laughed. But the moment is instructive. Manchin has always understood the difference between winnable and unwinnable fights; the difference between pipe-dreams and pragmatism; the vital lesson of fighting to make a difference, not to make a point.<\/p>\n<p>America needs a movement that can unify moderate Democrats and Republicans and push our country forward. I hope Joe Manchin runs that movement. But run for president? It could be a fool\u2019s errand, and Joe Manchin is anything but foolish.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p><em>Steve Israel\u00a0represented New York in the U.S. House of Representatives over eight terms and was chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee from 2011 to 2015. He is now director of the Cornell Jeb E. Brooks School of Public Policy Institute of Politics and Global Affairs.\u00a0Follow him <\/em><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/repsteveisrael\"><em>@RepSteveIsrael<\/em><\/a><em>.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Copyright 2023 Nexstar <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Media<\/a> Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/white-house\/4304570-what-i-know-about-joe-manchin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Several months ago, I hosted a fundraiser for Sen. Joe Manchin on Long Island. My progressive friends flooded my in-box almost instantly with incredulous, all caps, \u201cHOW COULD YOU?????\u201d protests. One would have thought I was supporting Vlad the Impaler instead of the Democratic senator from West Virginia. I should have expected it. It\u2019s been&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":597260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/12\/manchinjoe_120822gn_w.jpg?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[78209,134417,117,134418,4941,134420,90482,991,89017,34149,27926,70289,88969,42873],"class_list":["post-597259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-2024-presidential-election","tag-blog-briefing-room","tag-business","tag-congress-blog","tag-donald-trump","tag-equilibrium-sustainability","tag-house","tag-joe-biden","tag-joe-manchin","tag-latino","tag-north-korea","tag-senate","tag-west-virginia","tag-white-house"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/597259","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=597259"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/597259\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/597260"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=597259"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=597259"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=597259"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}