{"id":59985,"date":"2020-09-03T23:23:00","date_gmt":"2020-09-03T20:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/scientists-want-ai-to-help-predict-dangerous-hurricanes\/"},"modified":"2020-09-03T23:23:00","modified_gmt":"2020-09-03T20:23:00","slug":"scientists-want-ai-to-help-predict-dangerous-hurricanes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/scientists-want-ai-to-help-predict-dangerous-hurricanes\/","title":{"rendered":"#Scientists want AI to help predict dangerous hurricanes"},"content":{"rendered":"

“#Scientists want AI to help predict dangerous hurricanes<\/strong>”<\/p>\n

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September 3, 2020 |<\/span> 4:23pm <\/p>\n

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\n \"Hurricane<\/img><\/p>\n
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\n Damaged buildings and a flooded street are seen after hurricane Michael passed through the downtown area on October 10, 2018 in Panama City, Florida. <\/p>\n

Getty Images\n <\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

\n \"Powerful<\/img><\/p>\n
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\n Trees bend in the tropical storm wind along North Fort Lauderdale Beach Boulevard as Hurricane Irma hits the southern part of the state September 10, 2017 in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. <\/p>\n

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\n \"Hurricane<\/img><\/p>\n
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\n In this satellite image provided by the National Aeronatics and Space Administration (NASA) and European Space Agency (ESA), Hurricane Florence churns through the Atlantic Ocean toward the U.S. East Coast on September 12, 2018. <\/p>\n

ESA\/NASA via Getty Images\n <\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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\n With the southern United States still dealing with the effects of a pair of intense storms that arrived almost simultaneously, now is as good a time as ever for scientists to weigh in on the future of hurricane forecasting. In a new paper published in Geophysical Research Letters, scientists using data gathered by NASA satellites explain how algorithms can spot the telltale signs of a storm that\u2019s about to become much more powerful.<\/p>\n

Being able to predict the intensity of a storm as it is brewing is incredibly difficult. There are many factors at play, but NASA\u2019s Jet Propulsion Laboratory has honed in on a few key variables that an AI algorithm could search for in order to make an accurate prediction.<\/p>\n

As JPL explains, the researchers have determined that a spike in the rainfall near the core of the storm is a good indicator that the storm is gearing up for something big. On top of that, the intensity of the storm can be judged in part by the amount of water ice present in the hurricane\u2019s intense cloud formations. The more powerful the winds, the greater the odds that water will be carried high enough to turn to ice.<\/p>\n

The good news<\/a> here is that these are things that can be sniffed out by NASA\u2019s own satellites, and pairing those satellites with an AI program to act as a watchdog could produce a useful early warning system for those in the path of a storm that\u2019s about to get a whole lot more powerful.<\/p>\n

In testing their new framework for predicting changes in storm intensity, the researchers found that it was between 40% and 200% more accurate than the standard method for predicting rapid intensification (or RI for short). On the other end of the spectrum, the rate of false positives was only 4% to 7% higher. That\u2019s a pretty dramatic improvement with very little risk downside.<\/p>\n

Hurricanes and other tropical storms don\u2019t exactly \u201csneak up\u201d on anyone anymore. We have plenty of data to show when and where a hurricane is likely to strike. However, predicting the intensity of the hurricane when it reaches land is still largely a guessing game<\/a>. If artificial intelligence combined with satellite data can change that in a meaningful way, it could save a lot of lives in the process. There\u2019s still more work to be done before AI can be unleashed to predict the weather, but things are looking promising.\n <\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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“#Scientists want AI to help predict dangerous hurricanes” September 3, 2020 | 4:23pm Damaged buildings and a flooded street are seen after hurricane Michael passed through the downtown area on October 10, 2018 in Panama City, Florida. Getty Images Trees bend in the tropical storm wind along North Fort Lauderdale Beach Boulevard as Hurricane Irma…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":59986,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[64276],"class_list":["post-59985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-scientists-want-ai-to-help-predict-dangerous-hurricanes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59985\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59986"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}