{"id":601134,"date":"2023-12-15T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-12-14T21:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/the-worlds-first-drone-war-is-happening-in-ukraine\/"},"modified":"2023-12-15T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-12-14T21:00:00","slug":"the-worlds-first-drone-war-is-happening-in-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-worlds-first-drone-war-is-happening-in-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"#The world\u2019s first drone war is happening in Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>            <iframe title=\"Audio Article\" id=\"instaread_iframe\" name=\"instaread_playlist\" scrolling=\"no\" allow=\"autoplay\" style=\"display:block\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>A lot of blame-shifting is h<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>ening about the failed Ukrainian military offensive. But strangely there\u2019s almost no discussion of its real causes, which are the steep learning curve of the Russian army and the military <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/technology\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"4\" title=\"Technology\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">technology<\/a> revolution happening right now on both sides.<\/p>\n<p>The Russo-Ukrainian war began as a classic artillery war. Now it is rapidly evolving into a drone war.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>The drones are ubiquitous. They destroy everything. Small <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/First-person_view_(radio_control)\">FPV (first-person view) drones<\/a>, or \u201cseeds\u201d in battle slang, are already hunting individual soldiers. The Russian offensive in Avdiivka is a bloodbath, and 70 percent of Russian armor is taken out by drones (the rest by mines). And Ukraine has fewer drones than Russia.<\/p>\n<p>There are already drone swarms, guided to the battlefield as a unit and then aimed separately; drones take out <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Mine_flail\">mine flails<\/a>, making minefields impassable. But soon they\u2019ll be taking out mines.<\/p>\n<p>A <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.defenseone.com\/business\/2023\/11\/race-make-artillery-shells-us-eu-see-different-results\/392288\/#:~:text=In%20October%2C%20NATO's%20senior%20military,according%20to%20an%20Army%20spokesperson.\">155 mm shell costs<\/a> the U.S. Army $3000, and it can\u2019t change course. An FPV \u201cseed\u201d costs $300 to 400 and can maneuver. Its payload is much smaller, six pounds max, but what if it is a cumulative charge that strikes a tank from its rear? Russian tanks are particularly vulnerable this way. They have thick frontal armor, with ammo stored in the back of the turret. An FPV can fly over and peck at the junction between the turret and the main body. What happens next is quite spectacular.<\/p>\n<p>Another option is to damage a track. Then the tank is abandoned, and in the night an expensive $50,000 \u201cbomber\u201d quadcopter will total it with a 3D-printed bomb. The \u201cbomber\u201d is noisy and slow compared to a lightning-fast FPV that flies at 120 mph, but its payload is 40 pounds. So it flies at night.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s not much of a chance that a gun will hit an advancing tank. There\u2019s a 30 percent chance that a good drone operator \u2014 a \u201cdronedriver,\u201d now \u2014 will hit a tank with an FPV. A drone will sometimes have an advantage over a Javelin anti-tank missile, too. A Javelin needs line of sight, but with the drone you just fly it until you see the target.<\/p>\n<p>At the beginning of the war, the M777 howitzer was a <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/game\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Game\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">game<\/a>changer for the Ukrainian army. Now, the moment it fires a shell, a counterbattery radar will pinpoint its location, and a Russian Lancet UAV drone, loitering nearby, can take it out.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>A <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.military.com\/equipment\/m109-paladin\">Paladin<\/a>, unlike an M777, is a self-propelled howitzer that can swiftly haul ass after the launch, but it\u2019s on tracks. It can\u2019t go far. And a Lancet, unlike an Excalibur, can look around.<\/p>\n<p>The <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Archer_Artillery_System\">Swedish Archer<\/a> is much better. It has wheels instead of tracks, and a multiple-round simultaneous impact mode, meaning that it launches several missiles in quick succession on different trajectories so that they will simultaneously hit one location. It makes itself scarce while the missiles are still in the air. In this new war, wheels have total advantage over tracks.<\/p>\n<p>The stalemate is a direct result of the drone revolution. The infantry advancing <em>en masse<\/em> is still taken out by shells. But this is changing, too: small groups of soldiers are more and more hunted out by FPV \u201cseeds.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>The drone revolution started out of desperation and the dearth of shells, with Ukrainian volunteers operating cheap \u201cmarriage drones.\u201d On February 23, 2022, they were civilian photographers filming marriages. Next evening, they were coordinating barrages with the help of their private drones. Within weeks, they were fitting grenades and building homemade release mechanisms.<\/p>\n<p>Drones were built in garages all over Ukraine. There are over 200 varieties of them, built with cheap Chinese assembly parts, queues lining up for the popular ones. The Russian army at first lagged behind, but now Putin is fully expanding his assembly capabilities, while Ukrainians are still playing amateurs.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDrones were 10:1 last year in Bakhmut, with the advantage on our side, now it\u2019s 1:5, the advantage to Russians,\u201d <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=AVwkJHusQUo\">sai<\/a><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=AVwkJHusQUo\">d<\/a><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=AVwkJHusQUo\"> Yuri Lytsenko<\/a>, 58. A former political prisoner and a former Attorney <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/general\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"3\" title=\"General\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">General<\/a> of Ukraine, he volunteered on the first day of the war, soon after a successful cancer treatment, and spent months in the trenches in Bakhmut operating drones from the frontline.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Both sides still buy assembly parts from China, but China sells mostly to Putin. Nothing crude here. There\u2019s no ban on selling to Ukraine. It\u2019s just that the Russian buyers are sitting right at the Chinese factory purchasing the crop wholesale. Last year, one would wager that Ukrainian desperation would outperform the ossified Russian state machine, incapable of quick decisions. Right now, it is the state machine \u2014 proven to be neither ossified nor stupid \u2014 that is outperforming embattled Ukraine.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"600\" height=\"121\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/op2.png?w=600\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4329764\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/op2.png?resize=600,121 600w, https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/op2.png?resize=300,61 300w, https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/op2.png?resize=50,10 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 899px) 100vw, 600px\"><\/figure>\n<p>The biggest bottleneck right now is the production rate, and it goes exponentially up, with Chinese factories churning out the assembly parts. The battlefields of old were covered with buzzing flies; soon they\u2019ll be covered by buzzing drones. Another bottleneck is that the drone is guided by a human driver and can easily succumb to electronic countermeasures. The implications are obvious. The next step is the creation of an AI drone that will pick the target all by itself, and will thus be impervious to electronic countermeasures and won\u2019t demand extra manpower.<\/p>\n<p>With the astonishing speed this revolution is taking place, I wager that we will see an AI drone taking out a tank in the Ukrainian steppes sooner than we will see a fully self-driving Tesla on the streets of Los Angeles. If the drone messes up and takes out the wrong target, nobody will sue.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr5_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p><em>Yulia Latynina, a writer and journalist, worked for Echo of Moscow radio station and the Novaya Gazeta <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">news<\/a>paper until they were shut down as part of the current war in Ukraine. She is a recipient of the U.S. State Department\u2019s Defender of Freedom award.<\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Copyright 2023 Nexstar <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Media<\/a> Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more News articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/international\/4360793-the-worlds-first-drone-war-is-happening-in-ukraine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A lot of blame-shifting is happening about the failed Ukrainian military offensive. But strangely there\u2019s almost no discussion of its real causes, which are the steep learning curve of the Russian army and the military technology revolution happening right now on both sides. The Russo-Ukrainian war began as a classic artillery war. Now it is&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":601135,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/12\/GettyImages-1537267443.jpg?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[4973,134353,70734,134661,73014,90482,124783,147681,4975,70289,70868,73234],"class_list":["post-601134","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-china","tag-court-battles","tag-drones","tag-energy-environment","tag-health-care","tag-house","tag-international","tag-military-technology","tag-russia","tag-senate","tag-ukraine","tag-vladimir-putin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601134","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=601134"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601134\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/601135"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=601134"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=601134"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=601134"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}