{"id":602790,"date":"2023-12-28T21:03:13","date_gmt":"2023-12-28T18:03:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/"},"modified":"2023-12-28T21:03:13","modified_gmt":"2023-12-28T18:03:13","slug":"the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"#The Year Ahead: Politics in 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3a7a9da5af6\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a3a7a9da5af6\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#1_Justin_Trudeau_will_face_new_challengers%E2%80%94both_within_his_party_and_beyond\" >1. Justin Trudeau will face new challengers\u2014both within his party and beyond<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#2_The_Liberals_will_prepare_for_a_Trump_victory_in_the_US\" >2. The Liberals will prepare for a Trump victory in the U.S.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#3_Danielle_Smith_will_try_to_create_an_Alberta_pension_plan\" >3. Danielle Smith will try to create an Alberta pension plan<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#4_LGBTQ_rights_will_be_an_election_issue\" >4. LGBTQ+ rights will be an election issue<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#5_The_Greenbelt_will_haunt_Doug_Ford\" >5. The Greenbelt will haunt Doug Ford<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#6_New_policies_will_detect_Pretendians\" >6. New policies will detect Pretendians<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#7_Pharmacare_could_splinter_a_fragile_political_alliance\" >7. Pharmacare could splinter a fragile political alliance<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#8_Canada_will_welcome_half_a_million_immigrants\" >8. Canada will welcome half a million immigrants<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#9_Quebec_will_court_Francophone_newcomers\" >9. Quebec will court Francophone newcomers<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/the-year-ahead-politics-in-2024\/#10_The_federal_government_will_pay_for_its_past\" >10. The federal government will pay for its past<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<div>\nImmigration, LGBTQ+ rights and language laws will raise provincial hackles, while Justin Trudeau\u2019s long-time leadership might be on shaky ground. Meanwhile, the next Oval Office occupant will have a ripple effect on Canada\u2019s relationship with its closest neighbour.\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div id=\"attachment_1257025\" style=\"width: 2010px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-sizes=\"auto\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1257025 lazyload\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1122\" srcset=\"https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB-171x96.jpg 171w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB-489x275.jpg 489w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB-750x422.jpg 750w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB-766x431.jpg 766w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB-1000x561.jpg 1000w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Illustration by Anna Minzhulina)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_Justin_Trudeau_will_face_new_challengers%E2%80%94both_within_his_party_and_beyond\"><\/span>1. Justin Trudeau will face new challengers\u2014both within his party and beyond<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Many political insiders are predicting a federal election in 2024. But after nine years in power and three election wins, the bloom is off the rose for Justin Trudeau, who\u2019s staring down generation-high interest rates, a dire housing crisis and his lowest <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>roval ratings ever. A recent Angus Reid poll suggests most Canadians, including almost half of Liberal respondents, think he should step down before the next election; potential successors include Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, Foreign Affairs Minister M\u00e9lanie Joly and former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney, who\u2019s already floated the idea of a leadership run. Meanwhile, Trudeau\u2019s Conservative counterpart, Pierre Poilievre, will keep picking up popularity as he promises to lower the cost of living and calls for an end to carbon taxes. The CPC also stands to benefit from a redrawn federal electoral map, set to take effect in April.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_The_Liberals_will_prepare_for_a_Trump_victory_in_the_US\"><\/span>2. The Liberals will prepare for a Trump victory in the U.S.<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>MSNBC is prepping its electoral map, the New York Times is dusting off its prediction needle and all eyes are on America as the Democrats prepare to square off against an as-yet-unknown Republican adversary. Should Donald Trump or another ultra-conservative prospect win in November, Canada might expect an influx of political refugees, increased economic and diplomatic isolationism and a rise in far-right movements on home soil. Foreign Affairs Minister M\u00e9lanie Joly has said the Trudeau government is readying a <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/game\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Game\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">game<\/a> plan for every scenario.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3_Danielle_Smith_will_try_to_create_an_Alberta_pension_plan\"><\/span>3. Danielle Smith will try to create an Alberta pension plan<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Smith won the Alberta premiership last spring on a platform powered by anti-federalist sentiment. One of her top promises was that Alberta would pull out of the Canadian Pension Plan and create its own, with lower contributions and higher returns. Support is growing for the idea, and Smith plans to hold a referendum next year. A report commissioned by the province suggests that if it defects, it\u2019s entitled to 53 per cent of the CPP\u2019s $375 billion in assets\u2014a figure disputed by the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, which estimates the province would get 16 per cent, and economist Trevor Tombe, who puts the number between 20 and 25 per cent.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"4_LGBTQ_rights_will_be_an_election_issue\"><\/span>4. LGBTQ+ rights will be an election issue<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>In 2023, both New Brunswick and Saskatchewan tabled legislation requiring schools to receive parental consent before allowing students to use their preferred name or gender identity at school. These moves are part of a burgeoning movement called \u201cparental rights,\u201d which has received considerable pushback from students, parents and educators who claim that kids should be free to make identity choices without their parents\u2019 involvement. Both provinces have elections scheduled for October, and the issue will no doubt be a litmus test for voters\u2019 enthusiasm for\u2014or abhorrence of\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">social<\/a> conservatism.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"5_The_Greenbelt_will_haunt_Doug_Ford\"><\/span>5. The Greenbelt will haunt Doug Ford<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Ontario\u2019s premier spent much of 2023 touting the Greenbelt expansion, an ambitious plan that would allow urban development on a ribbon of the province\u2019s pristine farmland. After months of outcry from farmers and conservationists, allegations that he favoured certain developers and a damning report from Ontario\u2019s auditor <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/general\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"3\" title=\"General\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">general<\/a>, Ford walked back the deal. But he\u2019s not off the hook yet: the RCMP has launched a probe into the deal and allegations of corruption. (Ford has denied any criminal activity took place and promised to co-operate with the investigation.) In a symbolic gesture of regret, his government is introducing laws to ensure any further Greenbelt changes will occur via the legislature rather than regulations.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"6_New_policies_will_detect_Pretendians\"><\/span>6. New policies will detect Pretendians<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Last year, several notable Canadians were accused of feigning or fudging their Indigenous identity\u2014alleged Pretendians included former judge Mary-Ellen Turpel-Lafond, ex\u2013Memorial University president Vianne Timmons and folk music icon Buffy Sainte-Marie. To deter future fakers, a number of universities are implementing Indigenous identity verification systems for future hires, with requirements such as signed affidavits, government ID and references from family and Elders. This year, that practice will likely extend to school boards (the Toronto District School Board says it\u2019s developing new procedures for verification) and the private sector (the Saskatchewan NDP is pushing for a policy requiring employers to independently confirm Indigenous identity claims).<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"7_Pharmacare_could_splinter_a_fragile_political_alliance\"><\/span>7. Pharmacare could splinter a fragile political alliance<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>In 2022, the federal NDP and Liberals entered into a shaky coalition: in exchange for the NDP\u2019s support, the Liberals agreed to push for affordable housing and a universal pharmacare program. A year and a half later, the Libs hadn\u2019t come through on the pharmacare promise, and the NDP was threatening to pull its support unless the party made good. By the end of 2023, the parties had confirmed that the legislation will be tabled by March. A new report suggests that a single-payer drug plan will cost the government $11 billion in its first year, but create net savings of up to $1.4 billion for the economy, since the feds will be able to negotiate on bulk drug prices.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"8_Canada_will_welcome_half_a_million_immigrants\"><\/span>8. Canada will welcome half a million immigrants<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The government plans to welcome 485,000 new permanent residents this year\u2014roughly 1.2 per cent of the current population\u2014and 500,000 in both 2025 and 2026. The goal is to boost the economy, fill labour shortages and compensate for Canada\u2019s lagging fertility rate. The problem, critics say, is that Canada doesn\u2019t have the housing, public resources or resettlement services to absorb that many newcomers in such a short period of time. But Immigration Minister Marc Miller insists that the influx of new Canadians is essential to solve deeply entrenched problems like the housing crisis: the government\u2019s intention is to bring in the kinds of skilled workers who can build new housing stock.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"9_Quebec_will_court_Francophone_newcomers\"><\/span>9. Quebec will court Francophone newcomers<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Under the Canada-Quebec Accord, established in 1991, Quebec sets its own immigration targets. This year, that means 60,000 new international students and economic migrants\u2014but, as part of Premier Fran\u00e7ois Legault\u2019s aggressive francophone-first policy, all temporary foreign workers will have to pass a French-language exam before they\u2019re admitted. This is in keeping with the government\u2019s goal of having 89 per cent of the Quebec workforce qualify as French-language speakers (a huge bump from the 2023 goal of 66 per cent). The move has been controversial in Quebec, where business owners say the new requirements will add more barriers to hiring.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"10_The_federal_government_will_pay_for_its_past\"><\/span>10. The federal government will pay for its past<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Last summer, a federal judge approved the largest class-action settlement in Canadian history: a whopping $23.4 billion to compensate some 300,000 Indigenous children and families who were victims of Canada\u2019s discriminatory child welfare system. The Canadian Human Rights Tribunal ruled that, going back to 1991, the claimants in the case were adversely affected by racist government policies and, in some cases, denied services altogether in areas like health care and education. Each claimant is entitled to $40,000 plus interest, and payments will start rolling out this year. On top of that, the government has also agreed to set aside an additional $20 billion for long-term child welfare reform.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p><img data-sizes=\"auto\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1257773 lazyload\" alt=\"\" width=\"181\" height=\"247\" srcset=\"https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Cover_0124_DRE-2.jpg 2361w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Cover_0124_DRE-2-768x1049.jpg 768w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Cover_0124_DRE-2-750x1024.jpg 750w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Cover_0124_DRE-2-411x562.jpg 411w, https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Cover_0124_DRE-2-732x1000.jpg 732w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 181px) 100vw, 181px\"\/>This article is part of\u00a0the Year Ahead 2024, which is\u00a0<i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">Maclean\u2019s<\/i>\u00a0annual look at everything that\u2019s coming your way next year. You can buy the print version\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/canadianmags.ca\/products\/macleans-january-2024\" data-stringify-link=\"https:\/\/canadianmags.ca\/products\/macleans-january-2024\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async defer crossorigin=\"anonymous\" src=\"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMLG0nwswvr63Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For forums sites go to <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/forum.buradabiliyorum.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum.BuradaBiliyorum.Com<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/general\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">General category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/macleans.ca\/year-ahead\/canadian-politics-today\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Immigration, LGBTQ+ rights and language laws will raise provincial hackles, while Justin Trudeau\u2019s long-time leadership might be on shaky ground. Meanwhile, the next Oval Office occupant will have a ripple effect on Canada\u2019s relationship with its closest neighbour. (Illustration by Anna Minzhulina) 1. Justin Trudeau will face new challengers\u2014both within his party and beyond Many&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":602791,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/macleans.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/YA_Politics_WEB.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[147569],"class_list":["post-602790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-year-ahead-2024"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/602790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=602790"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/602790\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/602791"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=602790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=602790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=602790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}