{"id":607363,"date":"2024-02-04T20:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-04T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/"},"modified":"2024-02-04T20:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-02-04T17:00:00","slug":"why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/","title":{"rendered":"#Why it matters that this year\u2019s election campaign will be so long"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2f744bc6078\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2f744bc6078\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/#More_time_for_stumbles\" >More time for stumbles<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/#Voter_boredom_%E2%80%94_and_an_opportunity_for_third-party_candidates\" >Voter boredom \u2014 and an opportunity for third-party candidates<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/#Plenty_of_room_for_Trump_legal_dramas_to_run\" >Plenty of room for Trump legal dramas to run<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/#What_will_be_the_dollar_impact\" >What will be the dollar impact?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/#Nine_months_for_surprises\" >Nine months for surprises<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/02\/Thelongcampaign_020424_Illustration_CourtneyJonesGregNashandAdobeStock.png?w=900\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Get ready for the longest <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/general\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"3\" title=\"General\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">general<\/a> election campaign in memory.<\/p>\n<p>It is already odds-on that November\u2019s election will be a rematch between President Biden and former President Trump.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Biden faces no serious challenge for the Democratic nomination, whatever Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) and author Marianne Williamson might claim.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has comfortably won both early contests in the Republican primary cycle so far, driving Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) out of the race. Former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley needs something akin to a political miracle to defeat Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Neither Biden nor Trump will become the official nominees until their parties hold their conventions \u2014 the GOP in Milwaukee in July and the Democrats in Chicago in August. But that looks likely to be a mere formality.<\/p>\n<p>Both men have all but cleared the field \u2014 a task that eluded Biden in 2020, Trump in 2016 and other recent presidential nominees until far later. The epic 2008 Democratic primary clash between then-Sens. Barack Obama (Ill.) and Hillary Clinton (N.Y.), for example, remained fiercely competitive into May.<\/p>\n<p>Here are five reasons why the sheer length of this year\u2019s campaign will matter.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"More_time_for_stumbles\"><\/span><strong>More time for stumbles<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Republicans are fond of attacking Biden on the charge that he won the 2020 election \u201cfrom his basement.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>The tone of the attack is partisan but there is a germ of truth to it.<\/p>\n<p>The 2020 election, fought across a national landscape transformed by the COVID-19 pandemic, looked like no other. There were far fewer rallies and stump <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>earances, and the pandemic even affected the debate schedule. Trump declined to participate in the second scheduled debate after organizers decided it would be held virtually rather than in-person.<\/p>\n<p>Now, Biden, 81, and Trump, 77, face nine months of grueling campaigning. They will do so under a spotlight that will be unforgiving of physical or mental stumbles.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Polls consistently show more voters to be concerned about Biden than Trump when it comes to his mental capacity to serve a second term effectively. Any errors by the president could exact a steep political price.<\/p>\n<p>But the risks are far from a one-way street. A recent Trump speech in which he repeatedly used Haley\u2019s name when he clearly meant to refer to former Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) sharpened concerns about his fitness for office.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Voter_boredom_%E2%80%94_and_an_opportunity_for_third-party_candidates\"><\/span><strong>Voter boredom \u2014 and an opportunity for third-party candidates<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Even in a divided nation, millions of Americans can agree on one thing: They are rolling their eyes at a Biden-Trump rematch.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Polls repeatedly show dissatisfaction with a contest between the president, who has been a national political figure for half a century, and Trump, the most polarizing political figure of his generation.<\/p>\n<p>A Reuters\/Ipsos poll in January found a massive 67 percent of Americans saying they are \u201ctired of seeing the same candidates in presidential elections and want someone new.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>One big question is whether the ennui with a Biden-Trump rematch fuels any real enthusiasm for a third-party candidate.\u00a0<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr5_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>In a Gallup poll last fall, the number of Americans who said there was a need for a third party ticked up to 63 percent \u2014 the highest figure seen in 20 years of polling.<\/p>\n<p>But that doesn\u2019t necessarily mean an actual third-party candidate has any realistic chance of winning.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is pursuing an independent bid and typically polls more strongly than any other alternative option, received 14 percent support in a recent Quinnipiac University poll \u2014 more than 20 points shy of both Biden and Trump.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr6_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>There are two other big unknowns \u2014 whether Kennedy and other third-party candidates can get on the ballot in the crucial states, and whether the controversial, purportedly centrist group No Labels runs a candidate.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Plenty_of_room_for_Trump_legal_dramas_to_run\"><\/span><strong>Plenty of room for Trump legal dramas to run<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The basic details of Trump\u2019s unprecedented legal troubles are becoming familiar. He has been indicted in four criminal cases totaling 91 charges.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Those charges cover alleged falsification of business records in New York, the sensitive documents uncovered at Mar-a-Lago, attempts to overturn the 2020 election in Georgia, and the federal case about efforts to overturn the election, including the Capitol riot of Jan. 6, 2021.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr7_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Separately, Trump was found liable at a civil trial last year for sexual abuse of the writer E. Jean Carroll and for defaming her.<\/p>\n<p>It all puts the GOP in a very odd spot. The man almost assured of being their nominee could very plausibly be a convicted felon by the time the election rolls around.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s legal teams have been trying to delay all the trials, and they have had some success.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>On Friday, U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan formally postponed the start of Trump\u2019s trial in the federal case regarding the 2020 election. The proceedings there have been slowed by the Trump team\u2019s claim that he is immune from prosecution over his actions while in office. That claim is still being decided in other courts.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, Trump\u2019s New York trial is still set to start late next month, the Mar-a-Lago case in May and the Georgia case in August.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s a lot of time for his conduct to be under the legal microscope.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_will_be_the_dollar_impact\"><\/span><strong>What will be the dollar impact?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>It\u2019s unclear exactly how the costs of this year\u2019s campaign will shake out.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Biden and Trump have more time to wage a TV ad air-war against each other. But Biden has spent virtually nothing to vanquish his primary opponents and Trump looks set to be coming toward the end of that process on the GOP side.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, Biden became the first candidate to raise over $1 billion from donors, according to OpenSecrets, which tracks political spending. The group estimates that total spending on the presidential election four years ago, including from outside groups, totaled roughly $5.7 billion.<\/p>\n<p>There will, for sure, be colossal spending in the roughly seven states that are expected to decide the election\u2019s outcome.<\/p>\n<p>The most recent fundraising figures show the Biden campaign with a cash advantage over Trump.<\/p>\n<p>The Biden campaign had roughly $46 million cash on hand as 2024 dawned, while Trump\u2019s campaign had $33 million.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nine_months_for_surprises\"><\/span><strong>Nine months for surprises<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The political picture right now could have changed irrevocably by the time Election Day rolls around.<\/p>\n<p>Does the economic recovery pick up pace or could a recession yet bite? What happens with the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians, which appears to be expanding already with U.S. strikes on Iraq and Syria Friday? Could Biden or Trump suffer a health event that transforms everything?<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s easy to underline just how fast things can change.<\/p>\n<p>Four years ago almost to the day, the Department of Homeland Security directed all flights from China to the U.S. to be routed through 11 airports for enhanced screening amid concerns about an unusual respiratory virus. Roughly six weeks later, the nation locked down and all was transformed.<\/p>\n<p>There may not be anything on that scale this year, but nine months is a long, long time in politics.\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Copyright 2024 Nexstar <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Media<\/a> Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMN63nwsw68G3Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/4445620-why-it-matters-that-this-years-election-campaign-will-be-so-long\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Get ready for the longest general election campaign in memory. It is already odds-on that November\u2019s election will be a rematch between President Biden and former President Trump. Biden faces no serious challenge for the Democratic nomination, whatever Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) and author Marianne Williamson might claim. Trump has comfortably won both early contests&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":607364,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/02\/Thelongcampaign_020424_Illustration_CourtneyJonesGregNashandAdobeStock.png?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[134343,140894,4941,90482,124783,991,87912,115,79172,29102,70289],"class_list":["post-607363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-campaign","tag-dean-phillips","tag-donald-trump","tag-house","tag-international","tag-joe-biden","tag-marianne-williamson","tag-news","tag-nikki-haley","tag-ron-desantis","tag-senate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/607363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=607363"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/607363\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/607364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=607363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=607363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=607363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}