{"id":610558,"date":"2024-02-28T07:52:14","date_gmt":"2024-02-28T04:52:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries\/"},"modified":"2024-02-28T07:52:14","modified_gmt":"2024-02-28T04:52:14","slug":"five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries\/","title":{"rendered":"#Five takeaways from the Michigan primaries"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2e8ec93d51d\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #dd3333;color:#dd3333\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6a2e8ec93d51d\" checked aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries\/#A_warning_sign_for_Biden\" >A warning sign for Biden<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries\/#Trump_registers_a_solid_win_but_questions_remain\" >Trump registers a solid win but questions remain<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries\/#Haley_staying_in_the_game\" >Haley staying in the game<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries\/#Be_wary_of_general_election_predictions\" >Be wary of general election predictions<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/five-takeaways-from-the-michigan-primaries\/#Voters_turned_out_even_when_the_results_were_obvious\" >Voters turned out, even when the results were obvious<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/02\/Biden-Trump-02.21.24.png?w=900\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>President Biden faced his first challenging day in the Democratic primary process on Tuesday as Michigan voters went to the polls.<\/p>\n<p>The problem for the president was not the token opposition from Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) but, rather, the push for a protest vote over Biden\u2019s vigorous support for Israel during its assault on Gaza.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr1_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>The protest campaign, advocating for people to vote \u201cuncommitted,\u201d had a solid night. By 11:30 p.m. Eastern time, it had racked up more than 50,000 votes, or about 14 percent of all ballots cast.<\/p>\n<p>Those numbers are sure to grow, with most votes in Wayne County \u2014 home to Detroit and Dearborn \u2014 still to be counted.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>On the Republican side, former President Trump won as expected. Trump had 67 percent of the vote at 11:30 p.m. by comparison to 27 percent for his last remaining rival, former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the main takeaways from the primaries.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_warning_sign_for_Biden\"><\/span><strong>A warning sign for Biden<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Democratic primary was not a catastrophe for Biden \u2014 he got about 80 percent of the vote, after all \u2014 but it was worrying.<\/p>\n<p>In a battleground state where his margin of error in November will be slim, he bled tens of thousands of votes.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr2_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>There was also chatter on Tuesday evening about activists in other states trying to replicate what the \u201cListen to Michigan\u201d campaign pulled off in the Wolverine State.<\/p>\n<p>That could be an uphill climb in places where Arab Americans are not such a large share of the population. In Michigan, there were also prominent voices \u2014 most notably Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) and Dearborn Mayor Abdullah Hammoud (D) \u2014 calling for an \u201cuncommitted\u201d vote.<\/p>\n<p>The White House has been seeking to persuade voters it is at least hearing their concerns.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr3_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Earlier on Tuesday, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre acknowledged that the conflict in Gaza was \u201cdeeply painful\u201d for many Arab Americans and said that the president \u201ccares about what that community is feeling very deeply.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But other voices emphasize how dissent over Biden\u2019s policies extends beyond Arab Americans.<\/p>\n<p>Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.) told CNN on Tuesday evening that the ranks of the discontented included young people who \u201care watching innocent civilians being killed.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr4_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Biden has a politically difficult challenge on Israel and the Palestinians, an issue that splits his party down the middle.<\/p>\n<p>But the Michigan result made the gravity of the problem crystal clear.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Trump_registers_a_solid_win_but_questions_remain\"><\/span><strong>Trump registers a solid win but questions remain<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>There\u2019s no doubt at this point that Trump will be the GOP nominee, barring some truly stunning turn of events.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr5_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>He was projected as the winner as soon as the final polls closed in Michigan at 9 p.m. Eastern.<\/p>\n<p>The Trump train rolls on \u2014 but the result here was not entirely overwhelming.<\/p>\n<p>Haley\u2019s performance, likely earning somewhere between 25 and 30 percent of the vote when all ballots are counted, showed how many Republicans remain resistant to Trump, despite his <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/download-scripts-themes-apps\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"9\" title=\"Download Scripts &amp; Themes &amp; Apps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">app<\/a>arent inevitability.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr6_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>Yes, Trump\u2019s victory was bigger in Michigan than in South Carolina on Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>But South Carolina is Haley\u2019s home state, where she twice won election as governor. In Michigan, she campaigned in-person for one day, on Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>Trump, in brief remarks, contended that \u201cthe numbers are far greater than we even anticipated.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"ad-unit ad-unit--mr7_ab\"><\/aside>\n<p>It\u2019s hard to imagine that\u2019s true, given that polls were predicting a victory of almost 50 points.<\/p>\n<p>It looks like Trump will fall short of that benchmark.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Haley_staying_in_the_game\"><\/span><strong>Haley staying in the game<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Haley insists she is staying in the GOP contest at least until Super Tuesday on March 5.<\/p>\n<p>The Michigan result makes that easy to do.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Haley isn\u2019t going to win but she can keep making the argument, as she did to CNN\u2019s Dana Bash, that Trump is \u201cnot bringing people into the party, he\u2019s pushing people out of the party.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Asked by Bash to confirm she would stay in the race until Super Tuesday, Haley responded \u201cabsolutely.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The former United Nations ambassador is scheduled to be in Utah on Wednesday, Virginia on Thursday, and Washington D.C., North Carolina, Massachusetts and Vermont in the following days.<\/p>\n<p>She is also keeping up a solid schedule of <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/social-mediaa\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"1\" title=\"Social Media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">media<\/a> appearances \u2014 much to the irritation of Team Trump \u2014 and her campaign manager Betsy Ankney recently announced a seven-figure ad buy ahead of Super Tuesday, when 15 states will hold GOP contests.<\/p>\n<p>The Michigan result lets Haley hang on as a standard-bearer for non-Trump Republicanism.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Be_wary_of_general_election_predictions\"><\/span><strong>Be wary of general election predictions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>In 2020, Biden won Michigan by roughly 150,000 votes \u2014 or slightly less than three percentage points.<\/p>\n<p>In The Hill\/Decision Desk HQ polling average, Trump leads by almost four points in a hypothetical match-up in the state this year.<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday\u2019s result underlines Biden\u2019s problem in the state over the Middle East question.<\/p>\n<p>But that being said, it\u2019s highly implausible that the uncommitted voters on Tuesday are going to transfer their allegiance to Trump in November.<\/p>\n<p>Biden\u2019s defenders also note that the last time an incumbent Democratic president ran in a Michigan primary \u2014 President Obama in 2012 \u2014 \u201cuncommitted\u201d got more than 10 percent of all votes cast.<\/p>\n<p>Obama went on to defeat GOP nominee Mitt Romney, whose father was once governor of Michigan, by almost 10 points in the state that November.<\/p>\n<p>Likewise, in Trump\u2019s case, the votes for Haley could easily return to his column in a <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/general\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"3\" title=\"General\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">general<\/a> election.<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday\u2019s primaries exposed vulnerabilities for both leading candidates.<\/p>\n<p>But it\u2019s just not certain exactly how those weaknesses shake out in November.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Voters_turned_out_even_when_the_results_were_obvious\"><\/span><strong>Voters turned out, even when the results were obvious<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>No one seriously doubted that Biden and Trump were going to win on Tuesday, but voters showed up in strong numbers anyways.<\/p>\n<p>Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) noted on Tuesday evening that \u201cover 1 million citizens in Michigan had cast their ballots before any polls opened today.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Benson also emphasized that she was pleased with the turnout \u201cgiven that this was a primary election where arguably the contests on either side of the aisle were not as competitive as they have been in years past, comparatively.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The final numbers will take some time to come in, but \u2014 despite the often-mentioned weaknesses of the leading candidates \u2014 Michiganders came out in force.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Julia Mueller contributed.<\/em>\n<\/div>\n<p>Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">If you liked the article, do not forget to share it with your friends. Follow us on\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMN63nwsw68G3Aw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Google News<\/a><\/span>\u00a0too, click on the star and choose us from your favorites.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you want to read more <a href=\"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/category\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"2\" title=\"News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News<\/a> articles, you can visit our <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/en.buradabiliyorum.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">News category.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: black;\"><a style=\"color: #ff9900;\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/4493113-michigan-joe-biden-donald-trump-uncommitted-arab-americans-israel-gaza\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Biden faced his first challenging day in the Democratic primary process on Tuesday as Michigan voters went to the polls. The problem for the president was not the token opposition from Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) but, rather, the push for a protest vote over Biden\u2019s vigorous support for Israel during its assault on Gaza&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":610559,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thehill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/02\/Biden-Trump-02.21.24.png?w=1280","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70897],"tags":[134343,134353,140894,991,128999,79172],"class_list":["post-610558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-campaign","tag-court-battles","tag-dean-phillips","tag-joe-biden","tag-karine-jean-pierre","tag-nikki-haley"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/610558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=610558"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/610558\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/610559"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=610558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=610558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buradabiliyorum.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=610558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}