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“#The first leaders debate: The battle for small advantages” Stephen Maher: Trudeau and O’Toole—two leaders fighting for their political careers—stood out in a debate that may have been short on substance but not drama The French language debate Wednesday night seemed to signal that we will be in a war of attrition for the next…
“#338Canada: The Liberals stumble out of the gate in week one” Philippe J. Fournier: After one week, our projection shows the race tightening, support for the NDP growing and the odds of a Liberal majority shrinking The first of this five-week campaign has come and gone. Even though many observers have described the past seven…
“#338Canada: Trudeau’s election to lose” Philippe J. Fournier: A majority is within reach for the Liberals, but the NDP’s current level of support could yet throw a wrench into their plans After months of speculation, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has finally decided to push all his chip in the electoral pot, betting that his handling…
“#Friendly or cold? Careless or practical? What voters see in the federal parties” Innovative Research asked Canadians which human attributes describe the major parties. It’s a revealing look at what each does well—or needs to do better. If you imagined political parties as acquaintances or maybe colleagues, Canadians think of the Liberals as confident but…
“#A fall election? The Liberals may not get a better window.” Philippe J. Fournier: The latest 338Canada model suggests it will be a challenge for the Liberals to win a majority, and it’s unlikely to get any easier Who is in the mood for a general election in Canada this fall? Not many of us,…
“#Below the national numbers, big Liberal advantage” A new large-sample public-opinion survey that permits detailed examination of close races suggests the federal Liberals are well-positioned to make seat gains, as Justin Trudeau decides whether to call an election campaign that could begin as early as this summer. “The message from this survey for the Liberals…
“#Mumilaaq Qaqqaq: ‘It’s time to face the scale of justice’” On Tuesday, members of parliament who will not be seeking re-election in the next campaign—chattering-class money is currently on late summer or early fall in terms of timing—had a chance to make farewell remarks in the hybrid House of Commons. Amid the usual sincere but…
“#Canada, where vaccine acceptance isn’t political” Philippe J. Fournier: Unlike in the U.S, where vaccine eagerness shifts along party lines, a new poll shows Canadians of all stripes broadly support getting the shot Vaccination against COVID-19 continues to progress well across the country. As of this writing, nearly 60 per cent of Canadians—and counting—have received…
“#Doug Ford’s PC Party takes a hit: 338Canada” Philippe J. Fournier: A new poll shows recent events have taken a considerable toll on PC support, putting the party just barely ahead of the Ontario NDP and Liberals After a tumultuous spring marked by a deadly third wave of the pandemic in Ontario, Doug Ford’s Progressive…
“#Avi Lewis: You mean this isn’t how to kill the NDP?” Something there is about the pundit’s life that doesn’t mind a fight, so when I heard that Avi Lewis (kids: ask your parents!) will be running for the NDP in the next federal election, I called Anne McGrath. I suppose I could have called…