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“#338Canada: What is left of the Orange Wave in Quebec? Not much.” Philippe J. Fournier: Ten years ago, the NDP won a remarkable 59 seats in Quebec. In our latest election projection, the party is at risk of losing its lone seat in the province. I had friends over for drinks and pizza. We all…
“#The Liberals inch closer to majority territory: 338Canada” Philippe J. Fournier: The latest 338Canada projection puts the Liberals as 50-to-one favourites to win the most seats and the Conservatives failing to turn the tide post-convention Even though several parts of the country are entering a third wave of the pandemic with abrupt rises in infection…
“#338Canada: A major warning sign for Jason Kenney’s UCP” Philippe J. Fournier: New numbers confirm the UCP is bleeding support and the NDP is on the rise. The latest projection shows an election would be too close to call. Since the Wildrose and PC merger back in 2017, the Alberta NDP didn’t lead in any…
“#338Canada: Who leads among young voters? The NDP.” Philippe J. Fournier: When young people turn out to vote—like they did for the Liberals in 2015—they can be the difference between victory and defeat We do not have to go too far back in time to see the impact young voters can have in the results…
“#338Canada: What the polls told us in 2020” Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals escape 2020 holding a significant lead. The Tories still need a place to grow. And the NDP sees a flicker of promise. From a purely political point of view, the year 2020 was a great year for incumbents in Canada. Case in…
“#338Canada: Doug Ford remains solidly in command” Philippe J. Fournier: A new Mainstreet/338Canada poll shows the PC Party opening a huge lead in every region of the province over the second-place NDP Opinion polls in Canada from the past months have shown that Canadians are generally (although not unanimously) satisfied with their elected officials’ handling of…
“#338Canada federal vote projection: Steady as they go” Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals remain in strong minority territory, while the Conservatives sit near their unshakeable floor of 30 per cent support Election season appears to have come to an end in Canada for 2020. Since September, three provinces sent their voters to the polls amid…
“#The B.C. election at the starting line: 338Canada projection” Philippe J. Fournier: The NDP begins the campaign comfortably in majority territory with an average of 55 seats, while the Liberals face an uphill battle Opposition parties in British Columbia will grudgingly tell you—and many B.C. voters will agree—that it did not have to come to…