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“#The Tell: Why Evergrande has suddenly exploded into a potential global financial market crisis”
It is the non-COVID, non-inflation risk that is been lurking in the global backdrop for months: A looming default by Chinese property developer Evergrande Group
3333,
On Monday, this somewhat obscure, overseas risk suddenly shook up financial markets from Asia to Europe and the U.S., where all three major benchmark stock indexes, the S&P 500
SPX,
Dow industrials
DJIA,
and Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
appeared to be headed for the worst one-day drop in more than two months. Though it is certainly not the only reason U.S. stocks slid, Evergrande was a factor behind investors’ risk-off mood.
Read: Evergrande fears send stock market tumbling: Here’s what investors need to know about the China property giant
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which is rattling confidence in the world’s second-largest economy.
China’s crackdown on property developers, without a known endgame, is what’s sapping liquidity from thinly traded securities, like Evergrande bonds, which are held in passive emerging-market-index exchange-traded funds and separately managed accounts at U.S., European and Asian money-management firms.
Some of the firms with significant holdings of Evergrande bonds are Ashmore Group PLC
ASHM,
and HSBC Holdings PLC
HSBA,
both of London; BlackRock Inc.
BLK,
based in New York; and UBS Group AG
UBSG,
of Zurich.
“The spillover that is happened to other markets is somewhat notable,” Ben Emons, managing director of global macro strategy at New York-based Medley Global Advisors, said via phone Monday. In particular, he said, the global stock selloff was accompanied by falling iron ore prices because of China’s stepped-up restrictions on industrial activity.
Markets will now be watching for whether the People’s Bank of China, will inject liquidity “tactically” Wednesday night, Emons says. The timing of all this comes as some investors are also bracing for a potentially hawkish outlook from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, and many have been waiting for a significant pullback in the S&P 500 during the month of September.
By
Vivien Lou Chen
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