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“#338Canada: Canada is not immune to Trumpism” Philippe J. Fournier: There is ample evidence that the buds of authoritarianism are already germinating here. Canadians should not be complacent. In the last month of the 2020 U.S. presidential election, I published an analysis of a Léger poll about Canadians’ impressions of the two main candidates. “If you…
“#338Canada: What the polls told us in 2020” Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals escape 2020 holding a significant lead. The Tories still need a place to grow. And the NDP sees a flicker of promise. From a purely political point of view, the year 2020 was a great year for incumbents in Canada. Case in…
“#338Canada: The federal Liberals hold steady. Jason Kenney sinks.” Philippe J. Fournier: While Canadians still mostly approve of their political leaders, a spring federal election may hinge on a smooth vaccine rollout Although many Canadians will be restricted to visit loved ones during the upcoming Christmas/Holiday break, reports from the scientific community indicate the end…
“#338Canada federal vote projection: Steady as they go” Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals remain in strong minority territory, while the Conservatives sit near their unshakeable floor of 30 per cent support Election season appears to have come to an end in Canada for 2020. Since September, three provinces sent their voters to the polls amid…
“#338Canada: A final B.C. election projection and an overwhelming outcome” Philippe J. Fournier: A flurry of polls over the past week put the B.C. NDP odds of winning at 98 per cent, with 59 seats and possibly the highest vote share in its history Canada’s second pandemic election is coming to an end today, as…
“#Donald Trump’s potential path to victory: 338Canada” Philippe J. Fournier: Some modest polling errors in a number of toss-up states and a win in Pennsylvania could push Trump over the tipping point to win With less than two weeks to go in the election campaign south of the border, national polls still overwhelmingly show Joe…
“#The sinking B.C. Liberal campaign: 338Canada election projection” Philippe J. Fournier: Barring a major polling error, John Horgan’s NDP is projected to win a comfortable majority in the B.C. election this month The first and only leaders’ debate of the British Columbia election campaign came and went on Tuesday night, and while many seem to…
“#The odds of a Trump win? 19 per cent: 338Canada election forecast” Philippe J. Fournier: The current map shows a distinct advantage towards Joe Biden. But any victory will ultimately come down to three crucial states. The first presidential debate has not had the desired effect for President Donald Trump according to the data made…
“#338Canada exclusive poll: The B.C. NDP’s commanding lead” Philippe J. Fournier: John Horgan’s election gamble appears to be paying off, with a new Mainstreet poll showing an NDP majority and the Liberals in trouble Only three weeks remain in the British Columbia election campaign, and it appears thus far that John Horgan’s NDP may find…
“#How much do Canadians dislike Donald Trump? A lot.” A new 338Canada/Léger poll shows that from coast to coast Canadians overwhelmingly support Biden over Trump. The only exception is among Conservatives. This November, millions of American voters will flock to the voting booths (or will already have voted by mail) to elect over 400 congressmen…